2023 NFL Week 12 Black Friday Football Prop Bets

by DFSx42
2023 NFL Week 12 Black Friday Football Prop Bets

Welcome to the 2023 NFL Week 12 Black Friday Football Prop Bets!

The TL:DR disclaimer is that while I am a professional gambler, <1% of that income comes from football prop betting.

  • Many of these lines won't be available to everyone, do not bet a lesser line. I'm not originating, I'm finding bad lines.
  • Always do your homework and ensure market dynamics haven't changed - a lot can happen in the time between me writing this and you reading it. If I like -120 but you see -110 everywhere, then clearly something has happened where now not even -110 is good.
  • I'm not saying where the bad lines are to avoid conflict of interest & ensure you line shop.

You can also follow me on Twitter @DFSx42 for last-minute additions as I'll tweet out any updates. Sometimes there's some late value (a bunch of game props aren't released until the day of the event) before kickoff that I only have time to tweet.

Official Record: 154-122 +2.2u
Unofficial Bonus Bets for Degens: 42-32 +.99u (these all suck so 0.1u each)

Recap

Thanksgiving was an absolute slaughter, losing over 5 units and putting us in real danger of being back into the negative for the first time in months.

To really rub salt in the wounds, during this time the degen bets have been crushing it and an insanely good rate. Just wild variance that the 2% EV stuff is all winning and 5% stuff which is arbable because those lines are so bad is losing.

Anyway, we're onto New Jersey. Sorry if you saw this as a blank post earlier. Holidays and all.

2023 NFL Week 12 Black Friday Football Prop Bets

Continue the Betting discussion on Discord and discuss other betting lines with F6P Analysts!

Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets

The 4-6 Jets host the 7-3 Dolphins. This opened at MIA -7.5 and 42 and currently stands at -9.5 and 40.5 There is some -10.5 out there but I expect everything to consolidate at -9.5 by kickoff. So if you like the Jets, this is a good time to seek out the few +10.5 spots left.

I have no positions on this game.

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1 comment

2023 NFL Week 12 Sunday Night Football Prop Bets - Fantasy Six Pack November 26, 2023 - 7:31 pm

[…] of being back into the negative for the first time in months. However, we rebounded a decent bit on Black Friday to scrape back 3.46u by going […]

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