Welcome to the 2023 NFL Week 13 Sunday Night Football Prop Bets!
The TL:DR disclaimer is that while I am a professional gambler, <1% of that income comes from football prop betting.
- Many of these lines won't be available to everyone, do not bet a lesser line. I'm not originating, I'm finding bad lines.
- Always do your homework and ensure market dynamics haven't changed - a lot can happen in the time between me writing this and you reading it. If I like -120 but you see -110 everywhere, then clearly something has happened where now not even -110 is good.
- I'm not saying where the bad lines are to avoid conflict of interest & ensure you line shop.
You can also follow me on Twitter @DFSx42 for last-minute additions as I'll tweet out any updates. Sometimes there's some late value (a bunch of game props aren't released until the day of the event) before kickoff that I only have time to tweet.
Official Record: 181-141 +12.905u
Unofficial Bonus Bets for Degens: 47-40 +.619u (these all suck so 0.1u each)
Everything went disastrously on Thursday Night Football. The total went way over expectations. Since our model is based upon picking off outlier lines that disagree with consensus, when the game doesn't go according to plan, we're never going to be making money.
I consider it very fortunate that we still managed to go 8-6 and only lose .915 units. The worst part was we lost our 3-unit wager of Geno Smith o24.5 completions despite it being a shootout and him throwing the ball an astounding 41 times yet still unable to complete much more than roughly half his passes.
Here's hoping these upcoming games go more as planned 🙂
2023 NFL Week 13 Sunday Night Football Prop Bets
Continue the Betting discussion on Discord and discuss other betting lines with F6P Analysts!
Kansas City Chiefs @ Green Bay Packers
This opened at KC -7 and 41 and steamed heavily to 43 and -5. There are still some 4.5 and 43.5 out there so we haven't yet reached consensus.
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