2023 NFL Week 14 Sunday Night Football Prop Bets

by DFSx42
2023 NFL Sunday Night Football Prop Bets

Welcome to the 2023 NFL Week 14 Sunday Night Football Prop Bets!

The TL:DR disclaimer is that while I am a professional gambler, <1% of that income comes from football prop betting.

  • Many of these lines won't be available to everyone, do not bet a lesser line. I'm not originating, I'm finding bad lines.
  • Always do your homework and ensure market dynamics haven't changed - a lot can happen in the time between me writing this and you reading it. If I like -120 but you see -110 everywhere, then clearly something has happened where now not even -110 is good.
  • I'm not saying where the bad lines are to avoid conflict of interest & ensure you line shop.

You can also follow me on Twitter @DFSx42 for last-minute additions as I'll tweet out any updates. Sometimes there's some late value (a bunch of game props aren't released until the day of the event) before kickoff that I only have time to tweet.

Official Record: 199-152 +24.955u
Unofficial Bonus Bets for Degens: 55-44 +.566u (these all suck so 0.1u each)

Recap

Thursday night went about as well as it could possibly go. We went 6-3 for +4.7 units to keep our hot streak going and nearly get us to +25 units on the year. It would have been 6-2 +7.7 units had we not hedged our Zappe bet to guarantee a small profit.

We also went back to running well above expectation by going 5-0 in our degen bets to bring us just shy of 1 unit profit, which is impressive given that we're flat betting these at .1 units. Again, and I can't repeat this enough, I do not expect our win rate in the degen category to continue performing so well and would not be surprised int the slightest if they still finished the year in the hole.

On a personal note, as I mentioned here and in tweets, I was personally extremely heavy on Pats TD props, Pats player props overs, team total overs, total over, alt total overs, etc. I had not mathematical nor model-driven basis for that since it was all just pure feeling. I do not recommend wagering in that way normally as it usually leads to disaster, hence why I only talked about doing it and including it in the official tally nor even the degen bets. However, Thursday was very good for my upcoming grocery budget.

2023 NFL Week 14 Sunday Night Football Prop Bets

Continue the Betting discussion on Discord and discuss other betting lines with F6P Analysts!

Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys

The 10-2 Eagles visit the 9-3 Cowboys for what could be a preview of an upcoming playoff game between the two. This game will also have major MVP award implications because Dak and Jalen are two of the main frontrunners for the award.

This opened at Dallas -3 and 51 and has slightly nudged up to -3.5 and 51.5.

I have no positions on this game, but it should be a blast with a low spread and high total.

Official Bets

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