2023 NFL Week 14 Thursday Night Football Prop Bets

by DFSx42
2023 NFL Week 17 Thursday Night Football Prop Bets: New Orleans Saints @ Los Angeles Rams

Welcome to the 2023 NFL Week 14 Thursday Night Football Prop Bets!

The TL:DR disclaimer is that while I am a professional gambler, <1% of that income comes from football prop betting.

  • Many of these lines won't be available to everyone, do not bet a lesser line. I'm not originating, I'm finding bad lines.
  • Always do your homework and ensure market dynamics haven't changed - a lot can happen in the time between me writing this and you reading it. If I like -120 but you see -110 everywhere, then clearly something has happened where now not even -110 is good.
  • I'm not saying where the bad lines are to avoid conflict of interest & ensure you line shop.

You can also follow me on Twitter @DFSx42 for last-minute additions as I'll tweet out any updates. Sometimes there's some late value (a bunch of game props aren't released until the day of the event) before kickoff that I only have time to tweet.

Official Record: 193-149 +20.255u
Unofficial Bonus Bets for Degens: 50-44 +.466u (these all suck so 0.1u each)

Recap

Monday night was great for us. We went 8-3 to win 6.59 units bringing us back up to 20 units profit after a downswing that brought us close to losing money on the season.

Degen bets once again performed as expected, we went 1-3 there, for a little while the degen bets threatened to outperform the regular ones and that would definitely make it look like I'm just clicking buttons. Never happy with a loss, but you shouldn't be betting the degen ones anyway unless you hate money. They are "good" in the sense that if someone held a gun to your head and said you needed to make a bet but not in the sense that we can decide to not bet them. They are more there as a second opinion.

2023 NFL Week 14 Thursday Night Football Prop Bets

Continue the Betting discussion on Discord and discuss other betting lines with F6P Analysts!

New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers

The 2-10 Patriots and their new QB Bailey Zappe are visiting the Steelers and their backup QB Mitch Trubisky. This game has an absurdly low total and should be a real slow burn. As a Pats fan who wants nothing more than the Mac Jones era to pass, I am very torn here because the more losses the Pats get the better chance at getting another franchise QB but then again, I also love Zappe and hate the Steelers.

This opened at Pit -4.5 and 32.5 steamed heavily to -6 and now has retreated a little to -5.5 The total, as low as it was to start dropped down into the upper 20s before finding itself back to where it is now at 30. This one has been a doozy.

I'm actively shopping for the over. No real insights, just feels like a bit of an overreaction.

Official Bets

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