2023 NFL Week 15 Sunday Night Football Prop Bets

Ravens @ Jaguars

by DFSx42
2023 NFL Sunday Night Football Prop Bets

Welcome to the 2023 NFL Week 15 Sunday Night Football Prop Bets!

The TL:DR disclaimer is that while I am a professional gambler, <1% of that income comes from football prop betting.

  • Many of these lines won't be available to everyone, do not bet a lesser line. I'm not originating, I'm finding bad lines.
  • Always do your homework and ensure market dynamics haven't changed - a lot can happen in the time between me writing this and you reading it. If I like -120 but you see -110 everywhere, then clearly something has happened where now not even -110 is good.
  • I'm not saying where the bad lines are to avoid conflict of interest & ensure you line shop.

You can also follow me on Twitter @DFSx42 for last-minute additions as I'll tweet out any updates. Sometimes there's some late value (a bunch of game props aren't released until the day of the event) before kickoff that I only have time to tweet.

Official Record: 223-176 +26.835u
Unofficial Bonus Bets for Degens: 63-54 +.297u (these all suck so 0.1u each)

Recap

Saturday went exactly as we expect. Go about 50-50 but win a higher proportion of our multi-unit wagers. So our 9-9 result yield a surprising 4.655 units of profit. I was so shocked by that I triple checked everything because I was convinced I'd tabulated it wrong the first time. We also had a good showing in the degen category to give that a little bit more wiggle room of profitability.

Earlier in the year we had a more untraditional result of winning at a very good clip but disproportionately towards the smaller wagers. This is a big reason why our w/l is so impressive on paper but our units won and lost has not begun to look nice until well past mid-season.

Personally, I'm now 100% out of outs to bet these things. The last account I had that worked has now limited me to $50 and it's not even really worth it at that price with all the other stuff I could be grinding at higher limits. However, I'm still going to continue posting these anyway. I feel like it'd be pretty lame to just drop this project this deep into the season. Besides, it's fun and I'll soon find some new outs eventually (if you guys can get me reliable pph accounts - either fresh or I ghost your old account - please dm me on twitter - can make it worth your while).

2023 NFL Week 15 Sunday Night Football Prop Bets

Continue the Betting discussion on Discord and discuss other betting lines with F6P Analysts!

Baltimore Ravens @ Jacksonville Jaguars

The 8-5 Jaguars host the 10-3 Ravens in what should be a pretty good game.

This opened at Baltimore -3.5 and 43 and while the spread remains at -3.5, the total has dropped a bit. We haven't reached consensus as books are undecided between 41 and 40.5, but if I were to guess, I'd assume it finally lands at 40.5

Official Bets

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