2023 NFL Week 17 Saturday Night Football Prop Bets

by DFSx42
2023 NFL Week 17 Saturday Night Football Prop Bets | Lions @ Cowboys

Welcome to the 2023 NFL Week 17 Saturday Night Football Prop Bets!

The TL:DR disclaimer is that while I am a professional gambler, <1% of that income comes from football prop betting.

  • Many of these lines won't be available to everyone, do not bet a lesser line. I'm not originating, I'm finding bad lines.
  • Always do your homework and ensure market dynamics haven't changed - a lot can happen in the time between me writing this and you reading it. If I like -120 but you see -110 everywhere, then clearly something has happened where now not even -110 is good.
  • I'm not saying where the bad lines are to avoid conflict of interest & ensure you line shop.

You can also follow me on Twitter @DFSx42 for last-minute additions as I'll tweet out any updates. Sometimes there's some late value (a bunch of game props aren't released until the day of the event) before kickoff that I only have time to tweet.

Official Record: 255-217 +16.83u
Unofficial Bonus Bets for Degens: 79-66 +.469u (these all suck so 0.1u each)

Recap

Thursday's game was wild. Did not go according to the script at all. As a result, we lost two really good bets on passing unders that cost us 4 units. One of them was a terrible line that could have been arbed. So I stand by the decision. Fortunately, we hit everything else and salvaged the night with a half-unit profit to stay afloat.

I've said it before and I'll say it again, this entire system I'm using is based on market consensus, so when you take a low total game that explodes for a lot of points or vice versa, we're usually going to have a very bad night. So I look at this half-unit winner as a bigger victory than our massive nights where we win piles.

I was out with friends over the holidays last night, at one point snuck a peak at my phone and saw the box score and figured I was toast. Was pleasantly surprised to wake up to see that I somehow made money on the evening.

2023 NFL Week 17 Saturday Night Football Prop Bets

Continue the Betting discussion on Discord and discuss other betting lines with F6P Analysts!

Detroit Lions @ Dallas Cowboys

This now stands at Cowboys -5.5 and 52.5 total points. It had opened at DAL -6 and 51.5. There’s a surprisingly large amount of disagreement in the market right now with as low at -4.5 and u53 available.

I have no positions on this game my feelings are on the under, but I must emphasize, that these are just thoughts at this moment and I have not put any wagers on any of it so clearly I do not have any strong stances.

But… if you’re going to wager on this game. Line shop now and you’ll likely get a better line than if you wait until kickoff.

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