2023 NFL Week 6 Survivor Picks

by Mike Lott
2023 NFL Week 6 Survivor Picks

The 2023 NFL Week 6 Survivor Picks article highlights the best bets to win, straight up.

Last week was pretty clean and the most popular picks all won their games with the Detroit Lions and Miami Dolphins making up over 60% of the Survivor Pool picks on ESPN and over 80%(!) on Yahoo.

Week 6 features some heavyweights that should make your decision pretty easy, assuming you survived Weeks 1-5 while saving at least one of the teams listed below!

2023 NFL Week 6 Survivor Picks

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If you've been holding off on using one of the top teams in the league, this is the league to go ahead and finally use one of them. In Week 6, the Chiefs, Eagles, Dolphins, and Bills are all big-time favorites, with only the Eagles not currently a double-digit favorite heading into their matchups.

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos

Sean Payton and the Denver Broncos head to Arrowhead this Thursday night to take on Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs, and are currently 10.5 point underdogs. If the Chiefs offense was connecting on all cylinders right now, this could easily be a 14 point spread.

Speaking of the Chiefs offense, lets start with Travis Kelce. Kelce gave all of Chiefs Kingdom and Travis Kelce fantasy owners a heart attack when he caught a screen pass and almost instantly dropped to the turf. I know I immediately thought of Aaron Rodgers when I saw it, and figured it was a torn Achilles. Luckily it turned out to just be a low ankle sprain, and he returned in the second half and eventually scored a touchdown. Kelce should be just fine for this game, but it's something to monitor.

After a sluggish start to the season, the Chiefs offense is starting to come around, but still not that explosive offense we're all used to seeing Pat Mahomes run. However, if there is ever a get-right game, it's against the Denver Broncos. Just ask the Jets, who let Breece Hall loose against the Denver D, as he rushed for 177 yards and a TD.  Expect the Chiefs to do the same with Isiah Pacheco, as Denver is the worst run defense in the league, giving up 187 yards per game on the ground, over 30 more than any other team in the league.

Oh, and Patrick Mahomes is 11-0 lifetime against the Broncos.

Carolina Panthers @ Miami Dolphins

Can the Carolina Panthers head to Miami and beat the Dolphins for their first win of the season? Absolutely not. Will it be a close game at least? No chance. Are the Dolphins the lock of the week? 100%.

Carolina is coming off a brutal loss against the Detroit Lions who were playing without two of their top playmakers, but yet they still scored 42 points. They open up as 14 point underdogs against the Dolphins.

The Panthers can't stop the run, as they're in the bottom five in yards allowed, and tied for the league lead with 9 rushing TDs allowed. Do you have any idea what De'Von Achane and Raheem Mostert are going to do to the Panthers defense?

Miami is averaging 185 rushing yards through five games. Achane is the second leading rusher in the NFL behind Christian McCaffrey. He's exactly 50 yards behind, despite 61 fewer carries than CMC. Achane is one of three RBs in the league averaging over 100 yards per game, and he's averaging less than 10 carries per game. He has a 12.1 yards per carry average for the season. Every time he touches the ball, you assume he's taking it to the house.

Mostert is pretty good too. 14th in the NFL in rushing yards and tied for the most rushing TDs with 7.

You figure if they can focus on shutting down the run, they'll have a chance to win the game. But then you remember the Dolphins not only have the top rushing attack in the NFL, but they also have the top passing game with Tua Tagovailoa, Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle.

The Panthers will fall to 0-6, they'll continue to be the only winless team left in the league and will try to help Bryce Young capture his first W against the Texans in week 7.

Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Jets

Entering the start of the season, many people had a Eagles/Jets Super Bowl penciled in? That quickly was erased once Aaron Rodgers went down for the season without even completing a pass. Now the Eagles go into MetLife as 6.5 point road favorites.

As stated above, the Jets finally allowed Breece Hall to be let loose this past week against Denver (Can you blame them? Dalvin Cook is cooked), and he responded with 177 yards and a TD. That bodes well for the Jets moving forward as they can focus their offense around Hall. Unfortunately for the Jets, they face the Eagles in week 6. They have a defensive line that is built with straight up beasts and yes mostly Georgia Bulldogs. Jordan Davis, Jalen Carter, Brandon Graham, Fletcher Cox and the rest of the Eagles front seven simply do not let you run on them. Through five games the Eagles are only allowing 61 yards per game on the ground, which is best in the NFL.

So that means Zach Wilson is going to be leaned on heavily to spark New York's offense. Wilson has been playing better of late, completing over 70% of his passes the last two weeks, averaging 222 yards. We'll see how he handles the pressure of the Eagles pass rush, who are one of the best at sacking the quarterback. If Breece Hall can't get it going on the ground, I can see a vintage sloppy Zach Wilson performance against this swarming Eagles defense.

On the flip side, the Jets are near the bottom with just 11 sacks through five games and will have their struggles against the Eagles offensive line. Jalen Hurts should have ample time to find A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith deep, and if it's not there, he can find his tight end Dallas Goedert over the middle, or pick up yards with his legs. The Jets just had Russell Wilson run for 49 yards against them this past week.

D'Andre Swift and Kenneth Gainwell will handle the carries out of the backfield for an Eagles team that is second in the NFL in rushing yards, averaging 164 yards on the ground.

This is the most complete team the Jets will face so far this season, and it could easily wind up a double digit victory for Philly.

New York Giants @ Buffalo Bills

Why why why why do we have to watch the Giants on prime time for the 4th time in six weeks? Yes, we get blessed to watch Josh Allen throw dimes to Stefon Diggs, but most of us will turn this game off when its 24-0 at halftime.

The Giants are 14 point underdogs as they head up to Buffalo to take on the Bills and Bills Mafia. Honestly, there is no chance they cover that.

First of all, is Daniel Jones even going to play? He suffered a neck injury after taking his 6th sack of the game against the Dolphins and did not return. If he can't play, Tyrod Taylor will be under center for the Giants. At this point that might be the best thing for the team. Jones is lost, he's pulling a Sam Darnold and is seeing ghosts. Every time he drops back, he assumes he's going to be blasted for another sack. But can we blame him? This offensive line is atrocious. Evan Neal shouldn't be in the league, and the Giants are rotating in and out practice squad players.

Saquon Barkley is not going to suit up unless he's 100% healthy, as he's putting his health before the team, as he looks to be handsomely rewarded for his play on the field..when he's actually on the field. So if he is also inactive, the Giants will once again have a non-existent run game with Matt Breida and rookie Eric Gray.

Von Miller, Ed Oliver, Leonard Floyd and the rest of the Buffalo defense are absolutely salivating heading into this game.

New York's defense rarely gets after the quarterback, and if they didn't struggle to sack the quarterback already, good luck bringing down Josh Allen. Buffalo should have no problem picking up chunk plays, with Diggs and Gabe Davis as the Giants are the worst tackling team in the NFL.

As I said, it really could be 24-0 at half, and I can see a 30-40 point victory for Buffalo without even breaking a sweat.

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