2023 NFL Week 7 Survivor Picks

by Mike Lott

The 2023 NFL Week 7 Survivor Picks article highlights the best bets to win, straight up!

Last week a handful of entries lost, despite the undefeated San Francisco 49ers playing a Deshaun Watson-less Cleveland Browns team and the undefeated Philadelphia Eagles losing to Zach Wilson's New York Jets! This Browns defense might be one of the best ever in NFL history! They are allowing just 200 yards per game!

Week 7 sees six teams on bye weeks, including the Cincinnati Bengals and Dallas Cowboys.

2023 NFL Week 7 Survivor Picks

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Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots

I'm sure the majority of you have already used the Buffalo Bills this deep into the year, but if you have not, please go ahead and do so. With six teams on a bye, and not a lot of good matchups out there, the Bills are the safe pick of the week. Yes they're coming off a disgusting win against the Giants, following a bad loss to the Jags in London, but it's still Josh Allen and the Bills, so do not let that scare you away from them this week.  The Patriots are one of the worst three teams in the NFL, Mac Jones is in danger of losing his starting job every week, the offensive line can't create any holes for Rhamondre Stevenson or Ezekiel Elliott to run through, and their defense lost their best two players for the season in Matthew Judon and Christian Gonzalez.

Don't try to get too cute. Just take the Bills if possible.

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

The Seattle Seahawks are back at home to host the Arizona Cardinals, after an ugly loss to the Cincinnati Bengals 17-13. The loss snapped the Seahawks 3 game win streak, but they'll return home and be welcomed by the 12th man, as they've been on the road for three of their last four games.

Despite a 1-5 record, the Arizona Cardinals have surprisingly been a tough team led by Joshua Dobbs. For the most part they've been very competitive early in games, but fall apart late. Arizona has actually outscored their opponents 87-64 in the first half of games, but they have been totally outclassed in the fourth quarters 64-7.

After seeing Geno Smith struggle last week against the Bengals, I can see the Seahawks leaning heavily on Kenneth Walker III against Arizona. The Cardinals give up over 130 yards on the ground and have allowed 8 rushing touchdowns. We just watched Kyren Williams run for 158 of the Rams 179 rushing yards against these Cardinals. Crazy thing is, they only ram the ball three times for five yards in the first half. Again the Cardinals are a historically bad second half team this year.

The Cardinals secondary is also very beatable as they could not hold Cooper Kupp in check. He finished with 7 receptions, 148 yards and a score. Most of that damage coming in the first half. Matthew Stafford barely broke a sweat as he attempted just 24 passes on the day. So as much as it should be a Kenny Walker day, don't be surprised to see DK Metcalf or Tyler Lockett make some big plays of their own.

On offense, Arizona is still without running back James Conner, so aside from Josh Dobbs (7 rushes for 47 yards), the combination of Keaontay Ingram, Damien Williams, Emari Demercado and Rondale Moore managed just 83 yards on 23 carries. So it's hard to expect much out of their offense as they try to figure out their backfield.

Las Vegas Raiders @ Chicago Bears

Who would have guessed that seven weeks into the season, the Raiders would be a road favorite and have a chance to be above .500. Well they're going to get that chance this weekend in Chicago, in what looks to be a battle of the backup quarterbacks - veteran Brian Hoyer vs undrafted rookie Tyson Bagent from *checks notes* Shepherd University, a division II school.

We saw both Hoyer and Bagent get some work this past week after Jimmy Garoppolo went down with a back injury and Justin Fields left the game with a dislocated thumb on his throwing hand. Hoyer was solid against the Patriots, going 6/10 for 102 yards, while Bagent went 10/14 for 83 yards and a rushing touchdown, but Bagent was stripped sacked for a touchdown on his first drive, and threw a crucial INT at the goal line.

If losing Fields wasn't bad enough, the Bears are also without running backs Khalil Herbert and Roschon Johnson, leaving D'Onta Foreman as the lead back. A very banged up Bears offense right now, which combined with a defense that's giving up nearly 30 points a game, is a recipe for disaster.

The Bears offensive line with have their hands full dealing with Maxx Crosby as they try to protect the young rookie QB.

Vegas will look to continue to feed running back Josh Jacobs who just had 25 carries against the Patriots, but the Bears secondary has given up the fourth most passing yards per game, and the second most touchdowns through the air with 13. So Devante Adams should have a nice bounce back game this week.

Green Bay Packers @ Denver Broncos

Another road favorite here in Denver, as the Green Bay Packers come off their bye to take on the Broncos. The Packers are looking to benefit from the week off and get back Aaron Jones who returned to practice and will give their offense a huge boost.

Let's be real, the Denver Broncos are the biggest dumpster fire in the NFL. Sean Payton has become a joke of a coach and Russell Wilson is on the verge of losing his hall of fame status. Oh and their defense is giving up a league worst 440 yards per game. Great news for Jordan Love and the Packers offense.

Last week against the Chiefs, Russ was picked off twice, sacked four times and managed to throw for just 95 yards, which in today's NFL is nearly impossible. Jerry Jeudy looks completely uninterested in playing football, and he was even called out by analyst and ex NFL WR Steve Smith live on air. The body language throughout the team is just awful. There's really no positives to point out for the Denver Broncos so far this season.

Things won't get easier for Wilson and the passing attack, as the Packers are 9th in the NFL allowing just 190 yards through the air per game. Green Bay has given up just 5 passing touchdowns and has four INTs.

It appears that Aaron Jones will return for this game, after somewhat surprisingly missing Monday Night Football in Week 5. With the bye week, he had some extra time to heal and the fact he practiced on Monday is a good indicator that he'll be reedy to go against the Broncos. Christian Watson is another guy who benefited from the early bye week, as he should be closer to 100% as well. Having both Jones and Watson on the field together will only make things easier for Jordan Love and should be plenty to put up a big offensive night for the Packers.

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