2023 NFL Week 8 Survivor Picks

by Mike Lott
2023 NFL Week 8 Survivor Picks

The 2023 NFL Week 8 Survivor Picks article highlights the best bets to win, straight up!

After a brutal six-team bye week in which we saw a number of favored teams lose (49ers, Bills, Commanders, Raiders, and Rams) we are back to a full slate of games this week.

If you have not used the Kansas City Chiefs yet, they play the Denver Broncos this week and Patrick Mahomes is 12-0 against them lifetime. If there's ever a sure win, this is it.

Miami is hosting New England and the Dolphins should run laps around the Patriots (despite them just upsetting Buffalo). The Dolphins beat the Patriots back in Week 2 - 24-17 - but they led 17-3 going into the 4th quarter. Expect another double digit game going into the final 15 minutes here.

The Baltimore Ravens head west to take on the 1-6 Arizona Cardinals. Baltimore just embarrassed the Detroit Lions, and might have solidified themselves the second best team in the AFC behind the Chiefs. Lamar Jackson has that offense rolling right now, and they get their easiest matchup of the year with Arizona who has been outscored 104-30 in second half of games this year. Joshua Dobbs was a nice story in the early weeks of the season, but that experiment is over as he's completed just 51% of his passes over the last three games and Kyler Murray is on the brink of return.

2023 NFL Week 8 Survivor Picks

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New York Jets @ New York Giants

Who will be crowned Kings of New York? The Jets are coming in hot off of their bye week, beating the Broncos and Eagles in their previous two games, and the Giants are coming off a win against the Commanders as well. It has plenty of buzz around the game as it'll give fans in New York some bragging right.

The Jets are 3 point favorites in a game that only has an over/under of 36.5. Honestly, it could go under, and that's largely thanks to the Giants lack of offense. Gang Green should dominate this game on both sides of the ball.

This Jets defense is very very good, giving up less than 20 points a game. Most recently they shut down an elite Eagles offense, and did so without Sauce Gardner and D.J. Reed, holding Philadelphia to 14 points and picking off Jalen Hurts three times. Although they still are not cleared yet, the Jets hope to get both starting cornerbacks for their showdown with the Giants. Their pass rush will look to make Tyrod Taylor uncomfortable in the pocket, as we know the Giants offensive line cannot keep their QBs upright. Taylor has been sacked seven times in his two starts for the Giants.

As long as the Jets hold Saquon Barkley in check, expect the Giants to once again fail to score 17+ points, as they've scored 16 or less in six of seven games this year and average 12.1 points per game.

Offensively the Jets have looked better. Zach Wilson has done a better job at protecting the football and they've taken the reigns off of Breece Hall. Big Blue's defense has looked strong the last two weeks, but they do look gassed late in games as the offense isn't able to sustain long drives, so the defense is always on the field. This opens up a real opportunity for Hall to break off those long runs.

Expect the Jets defense to force a couple costly turnovers, which will ultimately crush the Giants in this one.

Houston Texans @ Carolina Panthers

This is a game that has been circled on a lot of football fans schedule for months now. Not because they really care about either the Texans or Panthers, but we get the battle of the first and second pick of the 2023 NFL draft going head to head. Will Bryce Young get his first win in the NFL, or will C.J. Stroud prove to the Carolina that they picked the wrong guy?

You have to love what C.J. Stroud has done so far to start his NFL career. He has the texans sitting at 3-3, already matching their win total from a year ago, and he's throwing for 276 yards a game with a 9/1 TD to INT ratio. Oh yeah, it also took him six games to throw his first INT, setting an NFL record for most pass attempts to start a career without an INT. Quite impressive. Another impressive stat is that Stroud was sacked 11 times over his first two games, and then went three straight games without being sacked, and was sacked just twice against the Saints in the Texans most previous win. This shows the growth of Stroud already, as he has a better feel for the pocket and is getting the ball out quickly.

Stroud benefits from having a good running back in Dameon Pierce and has a pluthera of good receiving options in Tank Dell, Nico Collins, Robert Woods and Dalton Schultz.

Speaking of Pierce, expect him to have a breakout game this week as the Panthers are giving up 144 yards on the ground, only the Broncos are worse.

On the flipside, we have Bryce Young who is 0-5 as a starter and has a 6/4 TD to INT ratio, while averaging 193 yards per game. To his defense, he doesn't have a ton of weapons to work with. However he has developed a great chemistry with veteran Adam Thielen who is 7th in the league in receptions and 13th in receiving yards.

These are just two franchises headed in opposite directions right now. Carolina is where Houston has been for so long, but they've drafted the right pieces and it's all starting to come together now for the Texans. As for the Panthers, it's going to take time as they'll need to put the right pieces around Bryce to make this thing work. I don't see their first win of the year coming here, as Stroud wants to make Carolina regret their choice to take Bryce Young over him.

Detroit Lions vs Las Vegas Raiders

Both the Lions and Raiders are coming off big time losses, as the Lions got blown up by the Ravens by 32 and the Raiders lost to the Justin Field-less Bears by 18.

This is a bounce back game for Detroit at home on Monday Night Football. Dan Campbell will have these guys ready to go, as their loss to the Ravens was eye opening and maybe a kick in the rear that they needed to bring them back down to earth.

Las Vegas just let D-II QB Tyson Bagent go 21-29 for 162 yards and a TD against them. Do you have any idea what Jared Goff is going to do to them back home in a dome? Expect a heavy dose of Amon-Ra St. Brown, Sam Laporta and possisbly even Jameson Williams, who they have to get going. He's too explosive of a player to have him put up a goose egg. Very excited to see Goff sling it around the field against this Raiders defense.

The Raiders gave up 173 yards and two scores on the ground to the Bears who were without Khalil Herbert and Roschon Johnson. D'Onta Foreman shredded the Raiders D for 120 yards on 19 touches and three touchdowns. You know Jahmyr Gibbs is salivating at this matchup, coming off his first career TD against the Ravens.

We all saw the Detroit defense have no answer for Lamar Jackson, who had the Ravens up 28-0 before the Lions could even record a first down. It's going to be a different story against the Raiders if Jimmy Garoppolo is still out. Brian Hoyer and Aidan O'Connell went a combined 27-45 for 196 yards, a touchdown and three INTs. This is against a Bears defense that allows the fourth most passing yards per game and has given up 14 touchdowns through the air, second worst in the NFL.

Josh Jacobs continues to be very bad this year as he managed just 35 yards on 11 carries, and now will face a Lions defense who is only one of two teams to allow less than 80 rushing yards per game.

This game has blowout written all over it.


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