I want to get to the 2023 PGA DFS: The Open DraftKings Value Picks because they tee off in less than hours.
So let's do some quick housekeeping.
Before you read below, check out Keith Fleming's weekly DFS picks and Allen Sandige's favorite bets in each tier as I think they covered most of the relevant ground on their strong suggestions. Or just listen to Allen and Keith's weekly YouTube show dropped on Tuesday night.
As usual for my value picks, I will start at the $7500 level and work my way down. So let's tee it up and take some swings at some value picks, listed here in descending salary order.
2023 PGA DFS: The Open DraftKings Value Picks
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Ryan Fox $7400
— Ryan Fox (@ryanfoxgolfer) July 18, 2023
Let's start with the easy reason: Fox has made four-of-six cuts at the Open Championship. That includes a best T-16 in 2019, but he's in the middle of one of of this best seasons yet. He notched a T-12 at the Genesis Scottish Open last week. The Scottish Open was his eighth top-30 finish and tenth made cut in 11 PGA Tour starts this year.
He has gained strokes on approach in six straight starts. That is never a bad thing, but in addition, he's a great fit for Royal Liverpool since he ranks 13th in 450-500-yard par-4 efficiency over his last 50 rounds.
Harris English $7400
I'm gonna skip the easy/stupid English and British Open joke. But English has been no joke having had a very good year....
Not only that, he's made five of seven cuts at the British Open, and I like him to do so this week. He's not a great upside play, but I do like him as a floor play at less than $7500.
Denny McCarthy $7300
The golfer with the second-most handle% to be the First Round Leader at The Open?
— BetMGM ? (@BetMGM) July 18, 2023
Caveat #1: I love Brian Harman even more at the same price of $7300, but Keith already covered him in his article and I didn't want to duplicate that pick.
Caveat #2: McCarthy has never played in a British Open, so there is some huge risk here.
But with those caveats out of the way, I will point out that McCarthy is certainly up to the challenge. He's made the cut in seven of eight career majors, including this year. He has been playing great golf lately, having finished in the top-6 in three of his past four starts, and had to "settle" for a top-20 in the fourth.
Robert MacIntyre $6800
Plain and simple, he's unbelievably mispriced. Coming in hot with a T-4 and 2nd the last two weeks, he also has a pair of top tens in his last three Opens. Love the blend of the tournament history and recent form. The statistical profile is strong also as he is Top 10 in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green on the DP World Tour. He hasn't missed a cut and has five Top 10's. Unfortunately, he'll be a popular pick at this price but that doesn't mean he isn't the right one.
Jordan Smith $6800
— Jordan Smith (@Jsmithgolf) July 19, 2023
I know I omitted Harman earlier because Keith mentioned him, but that's because I literally had nothing else to add on Harman. And while I love the info Keith gave you about Smith, I want to add a few other things.
First off, Smith gets to play in his host country. More importantly, he's been on an absolute tear lately. He has five straight paydays, including a T-20 at the U.S. Open as well as a T-12 at the Scottish Open last week. His shots are straight as an arrow on the DP World Tour and he owns the best percentage of greens in regulation on that Tour. That's a great combo for this course, which puts a premium on ball-striking.
Alexander Bjork $6700
Björk is currently eighth in the Race to Dubai. To quote Adam Sandler, "not too shabby". The Swede has cashed in 18 straight worldwide starts. And six of his last eight included Top Tens. Bjork leads the DP World Tour in scoring as welll, plus he’s also sixth in fairways hit and 11th in greens in regulation. Love the potential here!
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