The 2023 PGA DFS: US Open DraftKings Value Picks might be the last time you get an article from me. Because I am going to murder one of the many women in my house. Perhaps I can use the insanity defense because three teenage women plus their mother will drive any man insane. But I'm not banking on that. And I got this feeling that despite how much F6P loves my writing, they are not really wild about having actual murderers on their payroll.
Anyway, let's focus on the task at hand for now, picking some value golfers for the 2023 US Open at the LACC on Wilshire Blvd (which ironically has seen its share of convicted felons (cough) OJ Simpson (cough cough)). But let's focus on who is gonna kill it in DFS this week.
And usually, I give you a "six-pack" of golfers for our value picks. But I'm feeling particularly generous this week (perhaps to show the eventual judge I give back to my community?), so instead I'll give you ten DraftKings value picks this week!
Before you read below, however, check out Keith Fleming's weekly DFS picks and Allen Sandige's favorite bets in each tier as I think they covered most of the relevant ground on their strong suggestions. Or just listen to Allen and Keith's weekly YouTube show dropped on Tuesday night.
Meanwhile, I am going to go pretty deep this week, starting at the $7500 level and working my way down. So let's tee it up and take some swings at some value picks, listed here in descending salary order.
2023 PGA DFS: US Open DraftKings Value Picks
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I really wanted to talk about Saheeth Theegla, but he is $100 too expensive for this piece and Keith Fleming already discussed Rickie Fowler. So we start with Taylor Montgomery, who seems to be a forgotten man...
Tyler Montgomery $7400
Remember this guy? He finished out 2022 with seven-of-eight Top 20 finishes. Montgomery then started the year smoking hot with a T-12 at the Sony Open and followed that up with a fifth-place finish at the American Express. Despite having fallen under the radar, he still has made the cut in an impressive 16 of his last 20 tourneys.
He is 36th in SG: Total and an even more impressive 1st in Putting Average.
Harris English $7200
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) May 26, 2023
English was on my radar because he's been striping it pretty well lately. He has a runner-up at Bay Hill, a tie for third at the Wells Fargo, and more recently a tie for 12th at the Charles Schwab. However, what I did not realize is that he has quite an impressive record at the US Open. In seven US Opens, he has yet to miss a cut. That's pretty impressive, but he also has a pair of Top 5s (in '20 and '21).
Ryan Fox $7100
I've been a Fox fan for a while and he now has Special Temporary Membership after notching a Top-25 at the PGA Championship last month. Since then, he added another top-25 at Colonial. I'd love to show you how strong a statistical model bodes for him, but unfortunately, Fox doesn't have enough rounds to qualify for PGA stats. However, if he did, he'd be top-30 in driving distance, top-60 in tee-to-green, and top-15 in putting. He has missed the cut in his past three U.S. Opens, but he's playing so well right now, I think he reverses that trend.
Russell Henley $7100
??RUSSELL HENLEY US OPEN HYPE VIDEO?? pic.twitter.com/ycLCuy1jUY
— US Open Tracker (@USOpenTracker) June 12, 2023
Henley's missed cut at the PGA Championship last month still seems like an anomaly. He tied for fourth at the Masters in April, which was his first career top-10 in a major. However, he does have three top-25s in nine U.S. Opens, including T-13 two years ago. After the Masters, Henley cashed some hefty checks with top-20s at the RBC Heritage, Charles Schwab, and the Memorial.
Austin Eckroat $7000
Eckroat has gained an average of 6.8 strokes ball striking in four straight and has made the cut in five straight tournaments. At $7k, that's all we really need him to do. But I love the former stat and much of that is driven by his total driving efficiency, which he is ranked 6th on Tour. He's also third in longest putts and no one wins a US Open without putting well.
Do I think he will win this week? No. But a top-30 finish wouldn't surprise me one bit. Should he do that, he will be one of the best values on the board this week.
Patrick Rogers $6900
The Stanford grad is a perfect four-for-four in made cuts at US Opens so far in his career. That might be the floor of what we should expect however as he is having one of his better years yet, with four Top 10s this season already. He's 32nd in SG: Total, which is particularly impressive given his lack of accuracy of the tee (106th). However, as you read in Keith's article earlier this week, there are some pretty wide fairways at LACC, so I'm not concerned about that.
Furthermore, Rogers has made the cut in six of his last seven tournaments, including three Top 20 finishes. Even if his accuracy is a little off, he is still within the top 50 on Tour for scrambling and top 65 in shots gained putting. Expect a made cut and hope for more.
Hayden Buckley $6900
HAYDEN BUCKLEY HOLE-IN-ONE ?
Ace on the 17th hole (+250) ✅pic.twitter.com/UAnOgx4WLj
— DraftKings Sportsbook (@DKSportsbook) March 9, 2023
This might come as a surprise, but Buckley will be teeing it up this week in what will be the fourth major of his career. He managed a 26th at the PGA Championship last month but also posted a T-14 at last year's U.S. Open. Buckley has one of the better games off the tee, having ranked in the top-5 in SG: Off-the-Tee for a lion's share of the season.
Thomas Pieters $6800
For years, Pieters would crush on the European Tour but constantly came up empty against PGA fields. However, he seems to have turned that corner, ranking 25th in consecutive cuts made. He's also made the cut in five of his last six Majors. He also has two Top 30 finishes in each of the last two US Opens.
Consistently one of the better players off the tee on the European World Tour, that skill should translate well to the LACC this week. He won't be on the first page of the leaderboard, so his upside is limited, but another Top 30 finish is definitely viable.
Kurt Kitayama $6800
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) March 5, 2023
Go ahead, take a guess where Kitayama ranks in the OWGR. Top 200? Top 100? Maybe sneaks into the Top 50, perhaps? Yeah, that's what I woulda guessed. But try 20th overall!
He's missed four of his past six cuts, so obviously there is a ton of risk with this pick. But he also has a T-4 at the PGA Championship and how often do you get a top 20 golfer in the world at sub-$7000? I will definitely have a share or two of Kitayama this week.
Kit Kat's weakness is accuracy off the tee, but as we know LACC features wide fairways. This course could play right into his wheelhouse, as he's one of the better values on the board.
Sam Bennett $6500
I actually forgot that Allen discussed Bennett briefly, as I have hockey on the brain. So when I hear his name, I think of the Florida Panthers Center. But it might not be much longer that Bennett the golfer gets confused with the NHL. So, let's go into a little more detail.
When dipping this low, we are usually just hoping for a made cut and then anything else over the weekend is gravy. Bennett, the 2022 U.S. Amateur champion, however, is doing just that, including the cut at last year's U.S. Open. He made the cut at Augusta...and a T-16 is more like an extra scoop than just a cherry on top. He seems to have a lot of mojo going, as he then backed that up over the past couple of tourneys including the Memorial and a T-20 at the Canadian Open.
Moreover, the 23-year-old Texas A&M alum is showing he can handle the pressure of big-time tournaments at a very young age. I'm not betting against this kid.
Check out our complete 2023 US Open coverage!