The PGA Tour heads to Quail Hollow this week for the Wells Fargo Championship. Quail Hollow recently held the 2022 Presidents Cup and will host the upcoming 2025 PGA Championship. This is the strongest field in the history of the Wells Fargo with it being deemed an elevated event on tour. That brings me to my 2023 PGA DFS: Wells Fargo Championship DraftKings Preview.
Last week at the Mexico Open Tony Finau picked up his fifth win since August 2021. Finau is unquestionably one of the most likable guys on the PGA Tour. He went and caddied for his son mere hours after his victory on Sunday.
Tony Finau caddying for his kids hours after a win is another reason it's impossible not to love Tony Finau. 🤗
(📹: Twitter/ SharonShin92) pic.twitter.com/geJTL3PXnN
— Golf Digest (@GolfDigest) May 1, 2023
Last week I had a great week in terms of my DFS plays from this article and bets I made from our golf gambling show Two off the Tee on the Fantasy Six Pack YouTube Channel. They included three top 10 prop bets that cashed in Cameron Champ 10-1, Akshay Bhatia 8-1, and Brandon Wu +450.
I had a DraftKings lineup made entirely of picks from this article that did very well also. That entry placed 393rd out of 59,000 entries in a DraftKings pool. The lineup scored 624 points and would have cashed in any pool you entered it in. Let's keep the winning ways going this week!
If you are someone who does golf lineups on #DraftKings or wagers on PGA events. You should be checking out Two off the Tee on the @fantasysixpack YouTube channel. From the show this week we had 3 top 10 props cash in Champ 10-1/Bhatia 8-1/Wu+450. I also finished 393rd out of 59k… pic.twitter.com/l09Kpe2sk7
— Keith Flemming (@KeithFlemming) May 1, 2023
You can find me on Twitter @KeithFlemming to keep the conversation going!
2023 PGA DFS: Wells Fargo Championship DraftKings Preview
The Wells Fargo Championship at Quail Hollow is the last non-major elevated event until the Memorial Tournament in June. Even with the elevated event status only 21 of the 30 top players in the official world golf rankings will tee it up this week. The most notable admissions are the top two players in the world, Scottie Scheffler and Jon Rahm.
I would assume the PGA Tour is not thrilled to have the number one and two players in the world not appearing in this elevated event. However, from a gambling perspective, it should be considered wonderful news. Rahm and Scheffler have dominated the tour in 2023 with six wins. By them not being in this event it opens the door for some real value plays this week that have a chance of winning the event.
Past Winners/Odds #WellsFargoChampionship at Quail Hollow
2022: Held at TPC Potomac due to Presidents Cup
2020: No event
2017: No event due to PGA Championship played here
Post-2016: Course was lengthened and made more demanding by changing from par 72 to par 71 pic.twitter.com/3KXp9nBroe
— Ron Klos (@PGASplits101) May 1, 2023
Venue (Quail Hollow)
Quail Hollow was originally designed in 1959 and has seen many recent renovations (1997/2002/2016) by Tom Fazio. The course has been modernized to better handle the average length of today's PGA professionals. This course is a major championship venue. It hosted some big events including the 2017 PGA Championship, and the 2022 Presidents Cup, and will host the 2025 PGA Championship.
This course rewards players who are long off the tee but a player needs to be sharp from tee to green to find success at this venue. At most major venues players need to scramble and putt well to have a real chance of winning and that applies to Quail Hollow as well.
This week I am targeting players with a good track record at this venue and comp courses of Torrey Pines, Riveria CC, Bay Hill, and Muirfield Village. I also want players who are great ball strikers, excel on shots from 175+ yards into the greens, and putt well on Bermuda greens.
Quail Hollow Club - Course History for the #WellsFargoChampionship
-Includes average finish position and Strokes Gained per round since 2017
-6th most predictive annual course
-No Wells Fargo event here in 2017, 2020 and 2022
-2017 data is from the PGA Championship held here… pic.twitter.com/c2I2oe4vnL
— Ron Klos (@PGASplits101) May 1, 2023
Comp Courses
- Torrey Pines
- Muirfield Village
- Riveria CC
- Bay Hill
Keys Stats
- Course and Comp Course History
- SG: Approach 175+ yards
- SG: Around The Greens
- SG: Putting (Bermuda Fast Greens)
- Driving Distance
- SG: Off The Tee
My 2023 PGA DFS: Wells Fargo Championship DraftKings Lineup
Rory McIlroy ($11,100)
🚨🏆 3x @WellsFargoGolf Champion Rory McIlroy was 41-under-par with zero bogeys on par 5s from 2014-2018! He looks for another big week. Follow @TrackingRory for full tracking!pic.twitter.com/J6fWguKpLW
— NUCLR GOLF STATS (@NUCLRGOLFSTATS) May 1, 2023
I like Rory a lot this week with both Rahm and Scheffler not in the field. Rory has owned Quail Hollow with three wins at the Wells Fargo Championship and just one finish outside the top 10 in his last eight appearances. He holds the tournament record for the largest margin of victory at Quail Hollow and the course record. (He's shot 62 and 61 in this event).
Another option in this price range: Max Homa($9,400)
Rickie Fowler ($8,800)
WELLS FARGO WEEK! 🔥🏆
Rickie is BACK in action this at Quail Hallow where his he won his first Tour event! Great course! Fired up about this week! I have a good feeling a both this week! 💥#WellsFargoChampionship pic.twitter.com/8EmNhSLaja
— Rickie Fowler Tracker (@Rickie_Tracker) May 1, 2023
Fowler picked up his first win of his PGA career at this event in 2012. I've been saying on our show Two off the Tee that a victory is coming for Fowler. He's finished inside the top 20 in six of his last seven events. Fowler's game is tailor-made for this course. He hits it plenty far off the tee, is a great iron player, and excels around the greens.
Another option in this price range: Jason Day ($9,000)
Sahith Theegala
Sahith Theegala finds the hole with a chip that resembles Tiger Woods' famous shot on 16th in 2005.https://t.co/TauLsHrysY
— Sport Spy (@SportsSpyNews) April 29, 2023
Theegala is having a breakout year on the PGA Tour. He has three top 5s, four top 10s, and five top 20s in his last seven events on tour. What I like about Theegala the most this week and why I have him on my betting card at 45-1 is his record this year at three comp courses in Riveria CC, Bay Hill, and Torrey Pines. In those three events, his worst finish is T14 and he finished top six in the other two comp course events.
Keith Mitchell ($7,800)
Keith Mitchell decides to add some help to partner Sungjae Im, coaxing this birdie on 16 to join the lead at -24.
The +155 favorites with FanDuel. pic.twitter.com/dE7sWAUH7n
— Golfbet (@Golfbet) April 22, 2023
Mitchell comes into this event having struggled in his last two individual events, but before that, he was on a stretch where he finished top 25 in four of six events. At comp courses earlier this year Bay Hill and Riveria CC he finished 24th and 5th in those events. Mitchell has finished inside the top eight in his last two starts at Quail Hollow.
He is one of three players in the field to make the cut in their last three appearances and has multiple top-15 finishes. (Rory and Joel Dahmen are the other two) Mitchell is number one in the field in strokes gained off the tee and 20th in DK scoring in the field.
Another option in this price range: Wyndham Clark ($7,800)
Chris Kirk ($7,500)
“I’m so thankful for my sobriety. I’m so thankful for my family.”
In 2019, @Chris_Kirk_ took a break from golf to battle alcohol abuse and depression.
Four years later, he’s once again a PGA TOUR champion. pic.twitter.com/O8v9xG9Sr0
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) February 26, 2023
Chris Kirk is playing with house money for the rest of 2023 with his win at the Honda earlier this year. A win that put an emphatic exclamation point on Kirk's comeback in his battle with alcoholism. That received a lot of attention and rightfully so, but what hasn't garnered much attention is how solid he has continued to play since that win.
Kirk has finished top 40 in four of the five events since his win. Including a top ten at the Valero and 23rd place finish at The Masters. He hasn't played in this event since 2014, but he made the cut in three of his four appearances at Quail Hollow.
Alejandro Tosti ($6,500)
Channeling Alejandro Tosti's focus this AM as we try to figure out this cut line pic.twitter.com/AuIJckNZgH
— Golfbet (@Golfbet) April 28, 2023
Totsi, a Korn Ferry Tour member, was recently penalized at a KFT event for wrongful use of a shuttle. He received a special invitation to the Mexico Open last week. His top-ten finish at that event got him into the field for Wells Fargo.
Totsi has been playing great golf on the Korn Ferry and proved he could do it on the PGA Tour in Mexico last week. He's had five straight top-25s since March.
Another option in this price range: Adam Svennson ($6,900)
________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Be sure to check out the rest of our golf content, including my show Two off the Tee on the Fantasy Six Pack YouTube Channel Tuesday night. Each week, my cohost Allen and I will break down the tournament for that week and give betting/DFS plays.
