2023 PGA DFS: WMPO DraftKings Preview

by Keith Flemming
2023 PGA DFS: WMPO DraftKings Preview

The PGA Tour returns to a one-venue event following three consecutive multi-course events. That brings us to my 2023 PGA DFS: WMPO DraftKings Preview.

The first elevated full-field event of the year has arrived and brings with it eighteen of the top twenty players in the OWGR. The Phoenix Open is home to the most raucous crowd on the PGA Tour, with crowds exceeding 200,000 several times in the event's history.

Nine of the last ten WMPO winners had either won at The Players or a major. The top two names on the betting board are Rory McIlroy, coming off his win at the Hero Dubai Classic, and Jon Rahm the hottest player on tour who takes up residence in Scottsdale.

The field also includes last year's champion Scottie Scheffler, the man he defeated in a playoff Patrick Cantlay, as well as past winners Webb Simpson, Rickie Fowler, Gary Woodland, and Hideki Matsuyama.

Below I will talk about the venue, stats to look at when you select your lineups, and my favorite lineup/players for the WMPO.

You can find me on Twitter @KeithFlemming to keep the conversation going!

2023 PGA DFS: WMPO DraftKings Preview


TPC Scottsdale

The Par 71 sits at just over 7200 yards and trades a Par 5 for an extra Par 4. The course is below tour standards and is known for its elevation with firm conditions.

The course features three reachable Par 5s in the 550-600 yards range, as well as ten Par 4s between 400 and 500 yards. With several risk/reward holes, especially off the tee, you want to look for players who are strong off the tee.

The greens are firm and fast but yield the third-highest make percentage on putts outside of 15 feet on tour.

Course Comps

  • TPC Sawgrass
  • TPC Twin Cities
  • PGA National
  • Southern Hills
  • The Summit Club
  • Shadow Creek

Key Stats

  • SG: APP/ SG: BS
  • Par 4: 400-500 yards
  • Par 5: 550-600 yards
  • Birdies or Better Gained
  • Scrambling Gained
  • Bogey Avoidance
  • SG: P(Firm and Fast Greens)

My 2023 PGA DFS: WMPO DraftKings Preview (Lineup)

Xander Schauffle ($10,000)

You can't go wrong with any of the players listed above Schauffle this week but I feel he is a discount at this price. He has four Top 10s in his last five starts at this event. Over the last five WMPOs, no one in the field has gained more strokes than Schauffele.

Another option in this price range: Scottie Scheffler $10,300

Patrick Cantlay ($9,000)

I love the players in the low-to-mid seven-thousand-dollar range on DraftKings this week. This will allow me to have three players in the mid-eight-thousand to ten-thousand range.

Cantlay is arguably the best putter on tour and doesn't have a weakness in his game. Last year during his runner-up finish in this event he gained over five strokes gained putting on the field. Like Schauffele, Cantalay feels a little underpriced in this event and should be a favorite to win here this year.

Sahith Theegala ($8,500)

In his only appearance in this event, Theegala finished solo third and gained over eleven total strokes gained on the field. He finished 4th last time he teed it up at The Farmers two weeks ago. He gained over 8 strokes on the field tee to green and picked up half a shot on the greens as well. Last year in this event he gained strokes across the major categories on the field. It is something I think he repeats again this week at a venue that almost seems made for him.

Another option in this price range: Tyrrell Hatton $8,400

Keith Mitchell ($7,400)

Mitchell is the first of three players in this price range I have to round out my DraftKings lineup for this event. Mitchell has two Top 16 finishes here in his last three appearances at the WMPO. He's gained over 4 strokes on the field tee to green in his last two events on tour.

Last year in this event he gained over 9 strokes on the field tee to green. Last year he lost strokes to the field on the greens, something that is not that uncommon for Mitchell. However, he now has back-to-back events where he's gained strokes on the field on the greens. It's been almost two years since he missed a cut coming into the event with back-to-back strokes gained putting on the field.

Another option in this price range: Russell Henley $7,400

Chris Kirk ($7,300)

Kirk has eight straight rounds of 69 or better to start the 2023 season. He has two previous Top 15 finishes at this event in his last five appearances, including a T14 last year. In his first two events in 2023, Kirk has gained over 6.8 strokes gained tee to green, over 4.3 strokes gained approach, and at least 2 strokes gained putting on the field. It is easy to understand how Kirk has two third-place finishes in his last two events.

JT Poston ($7,300)

Poston likes playing at this event with his worst finish a T-37. He's finished T-23 and T-11 in his last two appearances here. Poston's recent form has been just as good with no finish worse than 21st in his three events in 2023. In his last four events, he's gaining a lot of strokes on the field both tee to green and approach. Furthermore, he's gaining at least half of a stroke on the greens in every event in 2023.

In his three events, Poston has eleven of twelve rounds in the sixties, including nine rounds of 68 or better. I think Poston is a great play for DK and a great prop bet for a Top 10 or 20 finish.

Another option in this price range: Brandon Todd $7,200

Check out last week's tourney preview to see how Keith did with his picks.

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