2023 PGA DFS: Wyndham Championship DraftKings Preview

by Keith Flemming
2020 Wyndham Championship DFS Golf

The PGA Tour tees it up at Sedgefield CC for the final event before the FedEx Playoffs start. That brings me to my 2023 PGA DFS: Wyndham Championship DraftKings Preview.

The Wyndham Championship is the final chance for players to secure their spot in the top-70 for the FedEx Playoffs. The field this week is not a particularly strong one, with none of the top-15 players in the OWGR in the field. Both the defending champ Tom Kim and the 2021 winner Kevin Kisner will not be in the field this week either.

There are some notable names in the field including Sam Burns, Justin Thomas, Sungjae Im, Hideki Matsuyama, Shane Lowry, Russell Henley, and Adam Scott. The field also includes past winners Jim Herman, JT Poston, Si Woo Kim, Davis Love III, Webb Simpson, and Ryan Moore.

The Wyndham Championship historically rewards elite putters, good wedge and mid-iron players, and puts an emphasis on driving accuracy. The course features eight par-4s from 400-450 yards with undulated and difficult Donald Ross greens.

This has led to repeatable results for certain players, especially putting specialists. In the last eight events, there have been five players who have produced 22 top-10 finishes and four wins. Webb Simpson has the best history of those players with ten top-10s in his thirteen career starts.

You can find me on Twitter @KeithFlemming to keep the conversation going! Be sure to listen to my weekly guest appearance Wednesdays at 1 pm Eastern on The Inside Drive on ESPN Northwest Radio. 

2023 PGA DFS: Wyndham Championship DraftKings Preview

Venue (Sedgefield Country Club)

Sedgefield Country Club plays as a 7,131 yard Par-70 layout. It features your standard mixture on Tour of two par-5s, four par-3s, and twelve par-4s. The course rewards precision off the tee and gives players repeated wedges and mid-iron approaches into the greens.

Strokes gained total last 5 years at Sedgefield CC Top Ten

  1. Webb Simpson
  2. Sungjae Im
  3. Billy Horschel
  4. Russell Henley
  5. Denny McCarthy
  6. Si Woo Kim
  7. Chesson Hadley
  8. Brian Stuard
  9. Byeong Hun An
  10. Ryan Armour

What makes Sedgefield CC unique is the amount of Par-4s that play 400-450 yards. That in turn leads to over 30% of the approaches into the greens playing 150-175 yards, which is considerably above the tour average.

Par-4 Scoring 400-450 yards Top Ten

  1. Russell Henley
  2. JT Poston
  3. Byeong Hun An
  4. Taylor Montgomery
  5. Chris Kirk
  6. Lee Hodges
  7. Chez Reavie
  8. Adam Scott
  9. Luke List
  10. Hideki Matsuyama

Proximity to the hole from 100-175 yards Top Ten

  1. Lucas Glover
  2. Hideki Matsuyama
  3. Justin Thomas
  4. Chris Kirk
  5. Chez Reavie
  6. Justin Lower
  7. Christian Bezuidenhout
  8. Sam Ryder
  9. Kevin Roy
  10. Greyson Sigg

Key Stats

  • Driving Accuracy/Fairways Gained
  • Proximity 100-175 yards
  • Birdies or Better Gained
  • Strokes Gained Approach
  • Strokes Gained Ball Striking
  • Strokes Gained Putting (Bermuda)
  • Par 4 Scoring 400-450 yards
  • Course and Comp Course History

Strokes Gained Off The Tee (Short/Positional Courses) Top Ten

  1. Justin Thomas
  2. Russell Henley
  3. Shane Lowry
  4. Hideki Matsuyama
  5. Sungjae Im
  6. Luke List
  7. Cameron Champ
  8. JT Poston
  9. Chris Kirk
  10. Adam Svensson

Strokes Gained Putting (Bermuda) Top Ten

  1. Andrew Putnam
  2. Ben Taylor
  3. Sam Ryder
  4. Sam Burns
  5. Ben Griffin
  6. Harry Hall
  7. Taylor Moore
  8. Matt Kuchar
  9. Thomas Detry
  10. Justin Suh

Seven Players Ranked Top-50 in Driving Accuracy, Strokes Gained Approach, and Weighted Putting

  1. Denny McCarthy
  2. Brendon Todd
  3. Andrew Putnam
  4. Adam Hadwin
  5. Carson Young
  6. Chez Reavie
  7. Christian Bezuidenhout

My 2023 PGA DFS: Wyndham Championship DraftKings Lineup

Russell Henley ($10,200)

Henley is having one of his best years on tour this season. In his last ten events, he's finished inside the top-20 seven times. He has three consecutive top-10 finishes at Sedgefield Country Club. Each of the last three years he's improved his finish at this event with a career-best T-5th last year.

Henley is a player who drives the ball straight, is a great wedge player, and putts as well as anyone on Bermuda greens. I have my doubts if Henley can convert a good performance this week into a win, but have little doubt he will be in contention come Sunday.

Another option in this price range: Sam Burns ($10,000) Sam Burns has earned the nickname "Bermuda Burns" with his success on Bermuda greens and Bermuda golf courses. You can make a real argument Burns is the most talented player in the field and he's a discount because of his less-than-stellar recent play.

JT Poston ($9,200)

I love the comments Poston made following his triple bogey on the 72nd hole last week at the 3M Open. He was quoted as saying "We're not coming here to finish second." I often question if modern tour players are happy teeing it up and cashing fat checks week after week if they are not winning. The answer for Poston is absolutely not.

There are plenty of reasons to be on Poston this week besides the way he handled himself last week. Poston has three top-6 finishes in his last four starts on tour. He's top-10 in Comp Course History and Strokes Gained Off The Tee on Positional Courses in the field this week. He won this event in 2019 and finished T-21st in this event last year.

Another option in this price range: Si Woo Kim ($9,000) Kim won this event in 2016 and had three consecutive top-5 finishes at this event until he was forced to Withdrawal last year. He's gained 21.85 total strokes in his last four appearances at this event. Kim is tailor-made for this course proved by his past successes at this venue.

Denny McCarthy ($8,700)

Denny McCarthy is exactly the kind of elite putter who finds success year after year at Sedgefield Country Club. He's second in the field in the weighted model of total strokes gained putting, strokes gained putting (Bermuda greens), and three-putt avoidance.

McCarthy had a poor performance at the Open Championship but is in the midst of a stellar 2023 season. He has seven top-20 starts in his last eleven starts, including three top-10s and four top-20s in his last five starts on tour. I think he is the best value on DraftKings this week at his price and one of my favorite bets to win at his current odds.

Another option in this price range: Chris Kirk ($8,200) Kirk is one of nine players in the field who rates above average in Proximity from 100-175 yards, Comp Course History, Fairways Gained, Par-4 Scoring (400-450 yards), Strokes Gained Off The Tee (Positional Courses), and Weighted Putting.

Eric Cole ($7,000)

My guy Eric Cole is the only player not named Scottie Scheffler with 50 rounds in the 60s this season on tour. He's been gaining over three strokes on approach over his last five starts and is top-7 in both opportunities gained and birdies or better over his last 24 rounds.

Cole has averaged just under 80 points per event on DraftKings over his last seven events. In those seven events, he's made at least 15 birdies in each of them and scored 75 points or more on DK in four of his last six. I do not understand why Cole continues to be priced in the mid to high 7k range on DraftKings, but I will have him in my lineup each time he does.

Kevin Yu ($7,000)

Last week, Nate from We Know Fantasy filled in for Allen on our show on Fantasy Six Pack's Youtube Channel and he discussed how high he was on Kevin Yu's talent. Yu went out and proved Nate again knew what he was talking about by shooting a 29 on the front nine Saturday at the 3M Open.

Kevin Yu did stumble on Sunday shooting a one over par 72 to finish 37th, but he proved his talent with his rounds of 66-67 on Friday and Saturday.  For DraftKings purposes, it's hard to argue there is a better value at this price than Yu. He has made 19 or more birdies in four of his last five starts on the PGA Tour. In those four events, he's averaged 94.13 pts per tournament on DraftKings.

In an event like the Wyndham Championship where it is very difficult to predict the winner, I think Yu is a good gamble play for DraftKings lineups. This is why he is in my official lineup and not one of my additional plays for this article.

Chesson Hadley ($7,000)

I'm hopeful people look at Hadley's graphic on DraftKings this week and keep scrolling due to his eleven cuts made in twenty-five events played. Hadley has a great track record at Sedgefield CC with five straight cuts made and consecutive top-15 finishes.

He is one of the nine players in the field who is above average in Proximity 100-175 yards, Comp Course History, Fairways Gained, Par-4 Scoring (400-450 yards), Strokes Gained Off The Tee (Positional Courses), and Weighted Putting.

Hadley has turned around an awful year where he had only two finishes inside the top-60 thru May. In his last six events, he's finished inside the top-45 in five of them, including back-to-back top-30 finishes with eight straight rounds of 71 or better.

Another option in this price range: Christian Bezuidenhout ($7,000) Bezuidenhout is the only player in the field who is top-50 in Driving Accuracy, Strokes Gained Approach, Weighted Putting, and also above average in proximity from 100-175 yards, comp course history, fairways gained, par-4 scoring (400-450 yards), strokes gained off the tee (positional courses), and weighted putting.

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Now that you have read the 2023 PGA DFS: Wyndham Championship DraftKings Preview, be sure to check out the rest of our golf content, including my show Two off the Tee on the Fantasy Six Pack YouTube Channel Tuesday night. Each week, my cohost Allen and I will break down the tournament for that week and give betting/DFS plays. 

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