Welcome to the 2023 PGA Tour: The Masters Tiered Bet Selections! If you have not checked out our DFS and Gambling show for the PGA Tour make sure you get over to YouTube and check us out. Last week was solid with Corey Conners outright 22:1, Corey Conners top 5 +500, Lanto Griffin top 20 +450, and Ben Martin top 20 +350.
For all the pageantry that it brings, "a tradition unlike any other", presents a unique opportunity for golf gamblers to make some serious money. With such a loaded field and the inclusion of LIV golfers, this may be the most anticipated Masters in a very long time. In this article, I plan to give you what we call a " first look" at one golfer I like at their respective price range. So let's get to it!
(All odds pulled from DraftKings Sportsbook)
2023 PGA Tour: The Masters Tiered Bet Selections
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Tier Alpha
I came up with this tier specifically for majors. There's generally a really chalky set of golfers who you have to respect as potential winners. So rather than add them to my usual picks, I created a tier specifically for those few elite golfers with odds under 10:1.
Rory Mcllroy +700
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As Keith Flemming has stated to me numerous times...only five golfers in the history of the PGA Tour have won the career grand slam. The elusive Masters win is within Rory's reach this year though.
Rory has finished in the top 10 six times in his previous eight trips around Augusta National. His lone missed cut was in 2021. Also, let us not forget this gem last year and shooting a final round of 64. Out of the top three in this range, I feel most comfortable with selecting Rory.
Tier One
I generally consider this the sweet spot range for most majors. You are just behind Tier Alpha and just before the range where guys are still trying to peak at the right time or bounce back. This range is filled with past winners and generally the most consistent performers at Major events. The typical price range for Tier One is +1100 through 2900.
Xander Schauffle +2200
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I used to pick Xander Schauffle to win every single tournament. His second career win at the Tour Championship back in 2017 remains my largest pregame odds win for any sport except horse racing. I parked the Xander wagon after he got covid as his bouts with staying physically healthy seemed to affect his consistency. Lately, however, I'm seeing some of the Xander and that has me excited again.
I am putting a premium on approach shots here at Augusta and Xander is one of my favorites when that attribute is necessary. The ability to land the ball safely on the green makes putting significantly easier for Xander than most on tour. He's had as high as a T-2 here at Augusta and has the profile that fits the course so count me back.
Tier Two
This range is where I like to find guys that I think have a shot, but I hedge with a prop bet. They are either unproven winners of smaller events or past winners of majors/ recent events.
This range is where you find the best bang for your buck on past winners who just get up for Majors (i.e. Brooks Kopeka). The price range you're looking for here is +3000 through 5000.
Will Zalatoris +3500
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Big Z is going to win a big one eventually. He checks all the boxes that many past winners of this event have checked. Zalatoris' greatest strength might be his composure. He also has the intangible that he brings his absolute best golf during majors.
The only area of concern would be the putting for me, but if the approach game is on point, he should be fine honestly. Out of the 8 Majors that Big Z has participated in, his worst finish is T28. Guess where he's arguably played his best golf for majors? Cue Jim Nantz!
Tier Three
This is the gambler's range right here. High risk, high reward! Here you can hedge with a prop bet or you can roll the dice on someone that you like because ...well you just like them. My most famous Tier Three win in a major was Gary Woodland back in 2019 at the US Open.
When it comes to golf gambling you can not be gunshy. The price range here is slightly smaller but +5100 through 7900.
Justin Rose +5500
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The lengthy history that Justin Rose has on tour and at Augusta is why I like him at these odds. Justin is above the tour average on all the key stats not only for this event but in general on the PGA tour.
Justin is gaining a stroke on virtually every metric. And I think there is still good golf left in him. It's been a few months since he last won, but the T-6 at the Players is a positive sign that he's properly rated coming into the Masters this week.
Long Shot Tier
This tier consists of anybody that you can throw $5 at and not be upset when it does not win. Yet you are hoping that this is the ticket that makes you a viral gambling sensation. Of all my 2023 Masters Tiered Bet Selections, this is probably the one most unique.
Chris Kirk +13000
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I may be too infatuated with Chris Kirk but I think he could pull off this upset this year. Playing in last week's Valspar is a good thing for Kirk as it allowed him to stay sharp. He did not get the win, but even with his game a little off he was still competitive.
With his knack to avoid three putts, I think it gives him a good chance at the long shot. Kirk is above tour average on strokes gained total and approach shots. This may be the liveliest dog in this price range.
Check out Keith's PGA DFS Masters Tournament DraftKings Preview
