2024 Fantasy Baseball Players to Avoid

by Joe Bond
2024 Fantasy Baseball Players to Avoid

The 2024 Fantasy Baseball season is right around the corner and the F6P staff is giving you some of our Players to Avoid in drafts. Whether you want to call them busts or overvalued, these are all players on our do not draft lists.

Of course, injuries to players such as Gerrit Cole, Devin Williams, Jordan Romano and Jhoan Duran are going to make them players to avoid at their original ADP. We are not going to discuss them.

Instead, we are going to give you players that we think will not return their value or not repeat their performance from 2022 which is why their draft cost is what it is.

You can find more players to avoid by looking at your rankings. Or an even better way to find players to avoid is to use our draft cheat sheet.

2024 Fantasy Baseball Players to Avoid

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Elly De La Cruz, 2B/SS, Cincinatti Reds

I get it De La Cruz is exciting to watch. I mean who wouldn't want to root for a guy who can do this.

Then you look at his stats in just 388 plate appearances and they are eye-popping. 13 home runs, 67 runs, 44 RBI and 35 steals!

Why I'm avoiding him is mostly based off his 27 overall ADP. When drafting somebody that high I want a sure thing and I'm not so sure about De La Cruz. It all starts with his plate discipline, which is driven by my concern over his 33.7% k-rate.

Also diving into his splits is worrisome too. His first 135 plate appearances (30 games) he hit for a .325 average, despite striking out 28.9% of the time. This was in large part to a crazy .440 BABIP.

After that time, the counting stats were still there, but the average took a massive dip. In 292 plate appearances, he hit .191 and struck out 36% of the time. If he can't start making more contact and better contact when he does, then we are going to regret taking him at his current price.

Jose Altuve, 2B, Houston Astros

Pick By: Michael Schneider

Jose Altuve has been a remarkably productive player since 2012.Two years ago, Altuve had an average draft position (ADP) of 74. This year his ADP is in the top 40. He has hit 76 homes and stolen 37 bases in the last three years despite being limited to 90 games in 2023 due to injury. Altuve does not hit the ball hard (ten percentile in hard hit percentage and five percentile in average exit velocity) nor is he fast (38 percentile in sprint speed)

No one knows how to take advantage of his ballpark like Altuve with the Crawford Boxes. However, Altuve will be 34 in May and the chance of a decline seems reasonable. There are a lot of great options going around Altuve such as Bo Bichette, George Kirby, Tyler Glasnow and Royce Lewis who offers a similar floor with a higher ceiling.

Cody Bellinger, 1B, Chicago Cubs

Pick By: DapScout

He is currently priced as if he will return the exact same stats as last season.

It has been previously mentioned that his regression in previous seasons was due to a shoulder injury (he dislocated his shoulder in Game 7 of the 2020 NLDS). The thinking is now that Bellinger is fully healed this should be the type of performance we should come to expect in 2024.

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The problem is the power numbers are not sustainable. His .301 AVG was much higher than his xBA of .264. Also, Bellinger xSLG of .434 was almost 100 points lower than his actual SLG% of .525.

I hate paying full price for a player who has an enormous year after several years of average to below-average performance. It makes the margin of error so thin at the high draft value.

Nico Hoerner, 2B, Chicago Cubs

Pick By: Corey Pieper

Hoerner is overpriced in relation to the other second baseman.

His contact ability makes him a safe selection for batting average. Last season, he was able to pair that high batting average with nine home runs and 43 stolen bases as he accumulated over 600 at-bats. Those are certainly fine numbers, but his current ADP is 59.Ā Compare that to other second such as Zack Gelof or Thairo Estrada.

Gelof was in the major leagues for half a season and hit 14 home runs, stole 14 stolen bases, and had a .267 batting average. His ADP is 80 spots lower.

Thairo Estrada dealt with an injury which limited him to 120 games. He still managed 14 home runs, 23 stolen bases, and a .271 average. His ADP is over 100 spots lower.

Jackson Chourio, OF, Milwaukee Brewers

Pick By: Chad Simpson

Chourio may very well be a great fantasy player someday. However, I believe that day won't be in 2024.

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At 20 years old, expect Chourio to struggle with getting on base for portions of the year. In addition to issues relating to AVG and OBP, he will be batting in the bottom third of a lineup that looks dreadful. This will limit his run and RBI potential.

Look for a year very similar to Anthony Volpe's uneven 2023 debut but with far fewer runs and RBI.

Check out the rest of theĀ Fantasy BaseballĀ content from all of the F6P writers.

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