2024 Fantasy Baseball: This Year’s Kyle Bradish

by Chad Simpson

We go into each Fantasy Baseball season looking for who the next breakout pitcher will be. The guy who goes from great late season add one year to Fantasy ace the next. One player we are looking to find is this year's Kyle Bradish as we enter the 2024 Fantasy Baseball season.

This year, Bradish was set to no longer be the unknown commodity after a dominant year that saw him finish 4th in AL Cy Young voting before injury derailed that plan. His current ADP and Ranking reflect the significant injury discount stemming from his partially torn UCL.

So our task is now to find a way to replace a potentially lost season elsewhere in the draft.

Let's look at the contenders as we break down three young pitchers who are on the cusp of Fantasy Ace-dom.

2024 Fantasy Baseball: This Year's Kyle Bradish

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Kyle Harrison SP, San Francisco Giants

Harrison was a third-round pick out of high school in 2020 and rose swiftly through the Giants' organization to make his debut in 2023.  In his brief stint in 2023, Harrison compiled 35 strikeouts in 34.2 innings to go along with a 4.15 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP.  For Harrison to ascend to a Bradish level, his control issues will need to be curbed and his strikeout rate will need to rise.

These are certainly possible outcomes but at just 22 years old it shouldn't be expected this soon. Expect a solid SP3 year out of Harrison who is coming off the board around pick 260 and look for a full breakout in 2025.

Verdict: Not quite ready for ascension

Ryan Pepiot, SP, Tampa Bay Rays

Ryan Pepiot checks all the boxes for me.

In a system known for unlocking pitcher's best stuff? Check.

The Rays traded FOR him? Check.

Solid rookie debut? Check.  38 strikeouts in 42 IP and a 2.14 ERA

Elite vertical movement in his arsenal? Check.

Utilizing a Curveball similar to that of recent breakout Nick Pivetta? Check

Passed the eye test in minor league and major league action? Check.

Pepiot is one of the few players that I have obtained in every draft this year as I see him as an immense value in the mid-late portion of the draft. He going right around pick 200 and one has to wonder how many times I've reached for him, if I haven't moved that average up 10-20 spots. Pepiot is a serious dark horse contender for Cy Young in a shallow, older AL pool of pitchers, if given a full workload.

Verdict:  Winner. A potential top 5 SP that you can get deep in drafts and have carry your team for the entire season

Bobby Miller SP, Los Angeles Dodgers

I ran a little contest on the Fantasysixpack Discord to name the third potential breakout pitcher. Miguelag0815 suggested Dodgers youngster Bobby Miller. Normally, Miller wouldn't quite fit this article due to his ADP, currently hovering around 75. However, a breakout year from him would be similar to Bradish.

It's not happening though, as Miller is my top SP bust candidate. While scouting Pepiot I got a great look at Miller and Gavin Stone as well. Miller often failed the eye test for me with good but not great stuff, poor pitch sequencing and some bad decision-making.

There are a lot of factors that could make that irrelevant, such as his catcher being different and the coaching staff at the MLB level getting a full spring with him amongst the top of the list. But where others see an ace I see Josiah Gray, a solid SP that never quite finds that next gear and cranks out high 3- low 4 ERA's with a average strikeout numbers year in and year out.

Verdict: Buyer beware


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