2024 Fantasy Baseball Top 10 Outfield Rankings

by Joe Bond
2024 Fantasy Baseball Top 10 Outfield Rankings

Welcome to the next installment of my 2024 positional Top-10 Fantasy Baseball Rankings, this one being for the outfield position. I will be going through each position breaking down my early top-10. If you missed the others follow the links below.

2024 Positional Top 10 Rankings

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The outfield position is absolutely loaded with elite talent. This entire top 10 will go in the first two rounds of just about every draft and many will go in the first round too. The reason for this is simple, five-category players.

When you look at this list, there are not many who are not true five-category contributors. The ones who are not are so good at the other four, it makes up for the fifth category not being as strong.

When I enter the draft, I'm not tied to taking an elite outfielder in the first round, but I will likely leave the second round with at least one of these players.

2024 Fantasy Baseball Top 10 Outfield Rankings

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No. 10: Luis Robert, Chicago White Sox

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The talent is dripping from Luis Robert and the potential of him being a top overall type player is there. However, there are concerns that prevent me from ranking him that high.

First off is his injury history. Until last season he had not played in more than 100 games.

Second, his strikeout rate rose from 19% to 28% last season. This was a main cause of his batting average, which had been a plus category for him, to drop to .264.

There might be safer players to draft ranked below him, but the potential is there for him to be even better than this ranking too.

No. 9: Yordan Alvarez, Houston Astros

If Alvarez stole bases, we would be talking about him being one of the top-3 players drafted. He is a plus-category player at every position, but is a negative in steals as he has only stolen two bases in his career.

The power is unquestioned. If he had been eligible, Alvarez would have finished No. 8 in slugging in 2023. In 2022 he finished second, only to Aaron Judge, who put up a historic season.

I have no doubt Alvarez will repeat as an elite power-hitter with a near .300 average again.

No. 8: Juan Soto, New York Yankees

One of the big acquisitions this offseason, the Yankees traded for Soto. He now gets to be paired up with Aaron Judge to create one of the best-hitting duos in the league.

Soto feels like a bit of a disappointment, but this is only because of how good he was right away and the amazing second season he had at age 20.

There are a couple of reasons why he does not rank higher on this list, despite being considered one of the best hitters in baseball.

  1. He will not provide nearly as much speed as a lot of the players ahead of him.
  2. His Batting Average has dropped from the elite range the last couple of seasons.

If you're playing in an OBP league, Soto is very much in play for one of the top overall picks. In average leagues, he drops just a bit.

No. 7: Aaron Judge, New York Yankees

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This one is pretty simple. Oozing with power. One season after hitting 62 home runs, he was on pace for 53. However, like in many years of his career, injuries got in the way.

The batting average dropped a bit in 2023, after two very solid years. This is in part due to the Yankees being a mess last season and when Judge was healthy, pitchers weren't giving him anything good to hit. With No. 8, Juan Soto in town now this will help him quite a bit.

No. 6: Kyle Tucker, Houston Astros

Kyle Tucker is a very strange case. We know the talent is there but due to the Astros regularly batting him in the middle of the lineup, he doesn't get the plate appearances that other first-round players regularly get.

This in years past has lowered his overall potential, but he still performs at a star level.

Last year was different, the Astros slotted him in the third spot about a third of the time. He saw about 70 more plate appearances than any other season and rewarded fantasy managers with a career high 96 runs and 112 RBI. On top of that, he was just one home run shy of 30-30 (an in-the-park home run in the last game of the season that was scored a triple robbed him of this).

Still, batting fifth or even sixth in the loaded Astros lineup is not a horrible thing. If that's where he slots in again this season, then he will still produce. Just know it lowers the ceiling a tad for him, especially in the runs scored department.

No. 5: Mookie Betts, Los Angeles Dodgers

Betts being the top second baseman, but the No. 5 outfielder should tell you everything about how good this position is. You can go back and read my full thoughts on Betts in the Top 10 Second Base Rankings.

TL:DR - Could have been MVP if it weren't for Acuna, still elite in four categories, just less speed than he once had.

No. 4: Corbin Carroll, Arizona Diamondbacks

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Corbin Carroll exceeded everybody's expectations in 2023. Having a 25/50 season in basically his first MLB season is unreal.

This one is pretty simple, he is good and you have very little to worry about with Carroll. Perhaps he has a few less steals and his average drops (his xBA was .269 last season), but he will still be elite. He is also young, so its likely that we see him grow into an even better player.

No. 3: Fernando Tatis Jr., San Diego Padres

Surprise! Tatis is still a very good player, despite testing positive for PEDs and dealing with injuries. He returned from a lost season and change to have a very good 2023 season. Even though it did not quite match his 2021 MVP-caliber season, it was still good.

I believe Tatis can be a 30/30 player, even a 40/40 player, but there are some concerns. For one, he has a pretty substantial injury history and even dealt with nagging injuries last season. This included an ankle that caused him to miss a couple of games. He was not quite the same after that injury and finished the rest of the season in a pretty big slump. I also believe that some of that has to do with the Padres team struggling down the stretch as they were feeling the pressure of not living up to expectations.

Another concern is his hard-hit and fly-ball rate dropped from 2021. I believe this is in part due to a mix of him missing so much time, dealing with the injury and him getting adjusted to a new position full time.

Despite these concerns, I still believe in Tatis. I get not taking him here to draft a "safer" player, but you can't deny the upside he provides.

No. 2: Julio Rodriguez, Seattle Mariners

The curious case of Julio Rodriguez. Last June fantasy managers were legit talking about selling J-Rod due to underperformance. It looked like he was not going to be able to build upon his Rookie of the Year 2022 campaign.

Full disclosure, I was not in that camp. In fact, I was saying to buy him if somebody was willing to panic sell. The reason is there was nothing that indicated that he would not be able to return to form. Sure he was hitting to the opposite field a bit more, but that was really it. Easy to correct and correct it he did.

If there is another player who can go 30/40 or even better, it is J-Rod. Enjoy the consolation prize to Acuna.

No. 1: Ronald Acuna Jr., Atlanta Braves

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I don't think I need to say much here about the reigning NL MVP. He had an epic season in 2023 hitting for .337, 41 home runs, scoring 149 times and hitting 106 RBI. Oh, he also stole 73 bases!

The odds are not good for that to happen again, but you don't need that to happen for him to be worth the No. 1 overall pick. If you're lucky enough to draft him, enjoy the ride.

2024 Positional Top 10 Rankings

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