2024 Fantasy Baseball Week 10 Drop List

by Corey Pieper
2024 Fantasy Baseball Week 10 Drop List

Five names are listed within the 2024 Fantasy Baseball Week 10 Drop List. Of those five, one is a former top-overall pick and a couple of former aces.

Exciting players are emerging every week on the Waiver Wire. Adding new players is always enjoyable, but it doesn't come without tough choices on who to let go. High-stakes fantasy baseball players play on the NFBC website. Their leagues have seven bench spots and no injured slots. As the injuries continue to mount it can lead to difficult choices. You may need to drop injured stars just to fill a starting roster.

If you enjoy that format, that's great. Fantasy Baseball should primarily always be about enjoyment. That's why if playing in a less competitive league, I recommend adding more injured slots instead of taking them away. You researched in the off-season and know which players you thought would have strong years. You should get to enjoy the reward when they are healthy again.

None of the players listed below are injured. Rather, they've underperformed to the point that they find themselves in the Week 10 edition of the 2024 Fantasy Baseball Drop List. Continue reading the full list below.

2024 Fantasy Baseball Week 10 Drop List

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Jackson Chourio, OF, Milwaukee Brewers (61% rostered)

If you own Jackson Chourio in any keeper or dynasty league, feel free to skip this one. There is too much talent in a young man who can not legally drink an alcoholic (Fantasy) six-pack until next spring training.

For redraft leagues, the production has been underwhelming. He has six home runs, 19 RBI, seven stolen bases, and a .214 batting average. The power and speed look nice, but the batting average is abysmal. The real problem is that the power and speed were also nonexistent in May. During May, he hit only one home run and stole just two bases. His average continued to lag as he hit just .215.

As the production has waned, so has the playing time. Milwaukee played 28 games in May. Chourio started only 18 of them. The Brewers have gotten consistent production from the oufield trio of Christian Yelich, Sal Frelick, and Blake Perkins. The designated hitter is an option, but the team has been using William Conteras and Gary Sanchez more in that spot recently.

Something small could click with Chourio and his talent could take off at any time. For now, in any league where fantasy teams only start three outfielders, he is expendable.

Spencer Torkelson, Detroit Tigers (51%)

This past week was the week that MLB teams decided to demote struggling starters. The New York Mets sent down Brett Baty (and Christian Scott, but he doesn't count as struggling). The Los Angeles Angels sent down struggling starting pitcher Reid Detmers. The Minnesota Twins demoted infielder Edouard Julien to activate Royce Lewis from the injured list. Perhaps the most surprising was the Detroit Tigers electing to demote former first-overall selection Spencer Torkelson.

Torkelson appeared to be taking steps towards stardom last season. He had 66 extra-base hits including 31 home runs and 94 RBI. That is while playing half of his games in Comerica Park which was the most difficult park by Statcast Park Factors to hit home runs in 2023. He still only hit .233. Unfortunately, everything has taken a step back this season.

The surface stats of Torkelson are four home runs, 18 RBI, and batting only .201. None of that is good, but what's even more discouraging is that the underlying data shows he has been lucky to even produce that. His expected batting average is even lower than the .201 at .192. All of his power metrics have fallen off a cliff.  Last season, he had an 89th percentile barrel percentage and 94th-percentile hard-hit percentage. This season, the barrel percentage is down to the 18th percentile and the hard-hit percentage has fallen to the 42nd percentile.

This may be a short stay in the minor leagues for Torkelson, but he has things that need to be worked on. When he was sent down he was in the middle of a 3-37 slump with 13 strikeouts to just three walks. That's not worth holding what may be a prolonged stay.

Zack Gelof, Oakland Athletics (40%)

Zack Gelof has been one of the most disappointing performers in all of fantasy through the first two months. He did miss some time with an oblique strain, but even when he has played it has been poor production.

Gelof exploded onto the scene as a rookie last year and helped fantasy managers win fantasy championships. In only 69 games, he had 14 home runs, 14 stolen bases, and a .267 batting average. Add in that he plays second base which is one of the thinnest fantasy positions, and he was a popular mid-round target for power and speed.

He has still offered some power and speed with four home runs and five stolen bases. The average is among the worst in all of baseball with at least 170 plate appearances at a measly .182. The precipitous average drop is a result of a BABIP correction and a spike in strikeouts. His BABIP has dropped from a lucky .331 to an unlucky .255. Meanwhile, his strikeout rate has risen from 27% to over 33%.

Could Gelof turn it around? He's young enough and there is enough pedigree to believe that it may happen. However, why would you keep him when Luis Garcia of the Washington Nationals is offering similar power and speed at upside at second base, but with a much more appetizing .273 batting average.

James Paxton, Los Angeles Dodgers (36%)

Looking at the surface stats of James Paxton, a drop recommendation for him makes no sense. So far he has pitched to a 5-0 record with a 3.29 ERA. For someone who you probably drafted with a late-round pick, that's a very good return on investment. The below-the-surface data make it appear that what we've gotten so far is fool's gold.

Let's start with the strikeout and walk rates. Paxton has 31 strikeouts in 52 innings. That means he is striking out only five batters per nine innings. Among pitchers with at least 50 innings pitched, that is the third-worst rate in all of baseball better than only Bailey Falter and Dakota Hudson. What ramps up the concern is that even as he strikes out so little, he is still walking plenty. He still has 28 walks. That means his K-BB%, which is one of my go-to statistics for pitchers, is a ghastly 1.4%. Once again, that is only better than Dakota Hudson.

There are also injury concerns that are ever present with Paxton. The last time he pitched over 100 innings was back in 2019. He's healthy now, but an injury could flare up on him at any time.

No matter which ERA estimator you prefer, you'll realize just how lucky Paxton has been. His expected ERA, FIP, and xFIP are all above 5.20. You've already banked two months' worth of production from him. This is a player where you want to be ahead of the curve when regression hits.

Justin Turner, Toronto Blue Jays (50%)

Justin Turner is coming off one of the most miserable months you're likely to see.

He dealt with a sickness in the middle of the month which caused him to miss a few games. Maybe that was the reason for some of his struggles because otherwise, it's hard to understand how he went from the highs of April to the lows of May.

At the end of April, Turner already had 4 home runs, 15 RBI, and was batting a robust .298. When the calendar changed, so did his fortunes. In May, he didn't hit a home run, had five RBI, and batted an alarming .111. He had only two extra-base hits (two doubles) the entire month.

If you're a person who looks for the silver lining, it would be that Turner still showed strong plate discipline with nine walks to only 11 strikeouts. His average has been adversely affected by his .234 BABIP. His previous career low in that category had been .292 because he hits so many line drives which hasn't changed.

What has changed is that his barrel rates and exit velocities continue to drop. His barrel percentage is at a career-low 3.5%.  His average exit velocity has also fallen to a new career low of 87.5 miles per hour which is two miles per hour less than last season.

The triple eligibility from Turner is beneficial in daily leagues. It's also possible that you currently have better options at each position.

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