2024 PGA DFS American Express DraftKings Picks

by Mark Strausberg
Amex

Once upon a time, I thought this week's tournament was wonderfully unique. Three different courses, each providing a different challenge to the players, leading to sometimes dramatic movement up and down the standings. But that time has long passed. When I recalled this tourney being on tap, I was a little less excited about doing the 2024 PGA DFS American Express DraftKings Picks preview.

And that's despite this week's field being one of the more loaded AMEX fields in recent years!

The 156-man field has 14 of the top 40 OWGR (Overall World Golf Rankings) consisting of a very top-heavy group of six of the top ten in the world including numero uno himself, Scottie Schefler. He and some of the other big boppers are going to have to rely on the other parts of their game as this week is far from a bombers' paradise. Strong putters and iron players will thrive on these three courses.

I'm not going to into too much course detail this week as each golfer will see each of the three courses once except those who make the Saturday cut (yes, you read that right) will play the Pete Dye-designed Stadium Course twice.

I am going to go with a pretty balanced lineup myself, but for this 2024 PGA DFS The American Express preview, I'll give you options in each range. Let's start at the bottom and work our way up, shall we?

2024 PGA DFS The American Express DraftKings Picks

Alexander DuMont de Chassart - $6,700

I picked him last week, as did a few others, and he nearly kept me from cashing. Fortunately, my other picks suggested did well enough, that I am able to overlook his disappointment. Having burned so many folks last week, many will refuse to go back to him this week. And that's why I am going with him again this week.

And this week's course is such a better fit for his game. This tournament often rewards those handy with the flat stick and Dumont de Chassart has that in spades. He was ranked second in putts per GIR on the KFT last year, as well as second in par 5 scoring. Worth the leverage play in my opinion.

Other Players Worth Considering in this range: Justin Lower - $6,400
Lower hits it straight. He also putts quite well and thus often competes on shorter tracks. Lower tied for 41st here last year.

Matthieu Pavon - $7,200

Speaking of making me look good, Pavon absolutely excelled in that last week and I thought he might actually win the Sony. He's off to a good start to 2024 as well obviously. But he finished off 2023 with four top 10s in his last seven tournaments.

He's currently 31st in SG: Putting. He's also currently 4th in SG: Total. Can he sustain that? I got my top DFS entry that says he should be able to this week.

Other Players Worth Considering in this range: Grayson Murray - $7,100
Murray was a two-time winner on the KFT last year and just added a PGA victory to his bulging resume at the Sony last week. He is underpriced. Period.

Tom Hoge - $7,600

Hoge made the cut here again last season but finished a "disappointing" 32nd. That's pretty telling, but hard to argue given that he had top 10 finishes two of the previous three years. He's played this tournament eight of the last nine years. He's obviously a fan of it and quite comfortable. At $7600, a made cut will do the trick, but don't count him out of finishing in the top 25.

Other Players Worth Considering in this range: Ryo Hisatsune - $7,500

I like him for all the reasons I liked him last week, but he now has added a Top-30 finish from last week to his resume.

Si Woo Kim - ($8,400) or Cam Davis ($8,600) or Adam Hadwin ($8300)

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I honestly keep shuffling these three in and out of my lineups. You probably know about Kim and his 2021 victory here, but that came on the heels of continued success here including a T-9 in his debut back in 2016, and has since followed that up with two more top-25 finishes.

Cameron Davis was T-8 in Par 5 Scoring last season which will be key this week. He's also one of the best putters on Tour, which will also come in handy. The same year that Kim won, Davis was just a few strokes behind him with a solo third. I like Davis to make a run again and erase the memories of his missed cut last year.

Meanwhile, Hadwin has never missed a cut in eight starts here and owns three podium finishes among six top-25s. Included in those rounds is a 59er, shot at La Quinta, one of just two sub-60 rounds ever shot in this event. Like Davis, Hadwin's putting alone can carry him to another top 25.

Christian Kirk - $9,000

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Kirk has started this season pretty well, wouldn't you say? He was right in the mix to win back-to-back and had to "settle" for another Top 20 finish last week instead. And now he returns stateside to the American Express where all he did last year was finish T-3.

He's currently 17th in Greens in Regulation and 18th in Putting Average. I'd climb aboard this ship if I were you.

Other Players Worth Considering in this range: J.T. Poston - $9,100

I really wanted to suggest and highlight Poston for so many reasons. But for all those reasons, his ownership is gonna be sky-high, offering GPP-ers no leverage.  But he's a cash lock in my opinion.

Min Woo Lee - $9,500

This is not the first time I've liked Lee. And it might be a little too early to jump on him now, I'd rather be too early than too late.

And no golfer on Earth might be hotter right now. He's been on a major heater since the fall season, when he won overseas twice. He won both the Macao Open as well as the Australian PGA Championship. And those came within a stretch of five straight top fifteen finishes. But he's shown what he can do stateside as well as evidenced by his top-10s in 2023 at THE PLAYERS and U.S. Open.

I don't care that this will be his AMEX debut. I think he finishes in the top 20.

Other Players Worth Considering in this range: Rickie Fowler - $9,200

The Fowler Comeback Tour culminated with the win at the Rocket Mortgage Classic in July, but he's still going strong. Fowler is a California native and I always like to have at least one player with local ties. Furthermore, he's made the cut three of the last four years including a couple of Top 25 finishes.

Patrick Cantlay - $10,800

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There are only three players in the $10,500+ range and I'm going to fade all of 'em. But if I had to pick one, I'd grab the cheapest, and in this case it's Cantalay. If you want an alternate, I'd pick Scottie Scheffler, because.....well, it's Scheffler. But Cantalay seems to have greater value based on his lower cost and moreover his past performances here.

In five AMEXstarts, he has three top-10 finishes. One of those was when he shot a 61 in the final round on the Stadium Course, which remains the course record. Unfortunately, he came up short against Si Woo Kim that year. Something tells me he's still hungry to fill that void left by that second-place finish.

 

Good luck and let's get that green!


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