The PGA Tour moves north up the coast of California from Torrey Pines to the gorgeous Monterey Coastline. That brings us to the 2024 PGA DFS AT&T Pebble Beach DraftKings Preview.
This tournament has had issues with middling fields over the year, but the top 67 non-LIV golfers in the OWGR will be teeing it up this week at Pebble Beach. That's because the PGA made this an elevated event and the 80-man field will not have to worry about a cut this weekend. This will also be the last event of the year over multiple courses (thank goodness!).
But even that is a change as well. This tourney usually features three different courses, but now will only feature two, Spyglass and Pebble Beach. And the latter will be the host for the final two days of this tournament. This iconic venue that has hosted six US Opens and a PGA Championship has greens half the size of your typical PGA tournament greens. Those players who can putt, scramble, and are second-shot artists should do well here.
Before we get into this week, I want to apologize for not getting a preview out last week as only our Discord members got the advantage of seeing my picks last week. Although, that's just another reason to get yourself an F6P Membership!
But I'm back at it this week and maybe one more next week before our primary golf writer Keith Fleming will take over again. But let's see what I can do to help provide some quality picks (again!) for this week's tournament.
2024 PGA DFS AT&T Pebble Beach DraftKings Preview
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Victor Hovland ($10,200)
You can have your top two options at over $11k and I will gladly take Hovland at $10.2, which is surprisingly $100 less than he was last year when he finished 13th. And he's playing even better right now, which helps explain why he is currently 4th in the OWGR (overall world golf rankings) right now.
But it's not just his current form or last year's finish. Hovland has won here as well, back when he won the 2018 U.S. Amateur played at Pebble Beach and Spyglass. I love his win equity this week.
Another option in this price range: Xander Schaufele $10,000
Jordan Spieth ($9,400)
Few dominate Pebble Beach the way Spieth does. All he's done is make 11 straight cuts during his annual trip here with a first, second, third, fourth, seventh and ninth place finishes. Proably because he's a master of those difficult midrange Pebble Beach par-3s that as a group might be the Tour's toughest. He should lead the field on those, as Spieth will looking to be build on the solo 3rd he has already this season.
Another option in this price range: Colin Morikawa $9,100
Nicholas Hojgaard ($8,100)
I'm gonna keep going back to the well on this one. As our Discord members know already, I was high on him last week. He made me look smart as he finished second last week at the Farmers. He's a solid 42nd in SG:Putting and even more attractive 5th in SG:Total. Most winners here have had much more experience playing this tournament than Hojgaard does so unlike Hovland, I don't love his win equity this week.
But another top ten doesn't seem like an unreasonable expectation.
Another option in this price range: Jason Day $8,400
Dennis McCarthy ($7,500)
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McCarthy is really good in tough conditions as wind and rain often bring the field down to him as he does not have a ton of distance off the tee. And it then becomes all about the putting. That's key because McCarthy is one of the better putters on tour. And that is easily what could happen at Pebble Beach this weekend. And yes, we know McCarthy is best when playing in the Mid-Atlantic (where the weather conditions aren't so wonderful), but McCarthy is starting to excel on the Pacific coast too.
He had a T-12 here two years ago and improved upon that mark with a T-4 last year, including a field-low-tying score of 64 on the final round. He is playing better to start this year than he did last year, including a Top 25 finish at the Sentry a few weeks ago. I think he'll be in the mix again this week.
Another option in this price range: Christian Kirk $7500
Nick Dunlap ($6,900)
An amateur no more, Dunlap is still ridiculously cheap. He is currently 72nd in the OWGR right now, making this price just ludicrous. Expect his ownership to be around 1%, making him a high-leverage pick for GPPers.
Another option in this price range: Tyler Montgomery $6800
Brandon Wu ($6,300)
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Brandon Wu finished 2nd here last year. Do I think it will happen again? No. But I think he can finish in the top 40 and at $6300 I will be ecstatic with that.
Another option in this price range: Mark Hubbard $6,300
Let's get that green!
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