2024 PGA DFS Houston Open DraftKings and Betting Preview

by Keith Flemming
2024 PGA DFS Houston Open DraftKings and Betting Preview

This week's PGA event takes place at one of the best public, municipal courses in the country Memorial Park Golf Club. In my 2024 PGA DFS Houston Open DraftKings and Betting Preview, I'll discuss the stats I leaned into for this event and the similarities between this venue and the home of golf's first major of the year Augusta National.

Peter Malnati's win Sunday, followed by his post round interview at the Valspar was an incredible moment. You could see through him holding back tears throughout how much this win meant to the PGA journeyman. The problem for the PGA Tour is the larger golf audience doesn't seem to care? At least if you are looking strictly at viewership numbers from this weekend.

These are scary times for the PGA Tour as a television sport. Thanks to the star power they've lost to players defecting to the LIV Tour. Lackluster leaderboards are becoming the norm in events not featuring the biggest names on Tour. New players will step up and eventually become household names. The question is can the Tour maintain decent viewership in the process?

Keep the conversation going with me on Twitter/X @KeithFlemming . You can also find me every Wednesday at 1 pm Eastern on @espnpc1043 Inside Drive talking golf with host Ryan Mulvey during my weekly segment previewing that week's PGA event.

2024 PGA DFS Valspar Houston Open DraftKings and Betting Preview

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The Venue (Memorial Park Golf Club)

Memorial Park Golf Course is a long par-70 course measuring over 7,400 yards in length. The course features five par-3s, three par-5s, with only 21 bunkers, and four water danger holes. The course's major defense besides its length is large, severe undulated greens with plenty of false fronts and runoff areas.

This event being moved from its Fall slot to the Spring for this year's event changes the surface the players are hitting from and putting on significantly. Similar to the Players Championship that was moved from May to March a few years ago. What was once a Bermuda course throughout, now features overseeded POA greens, and much easier ryegrass rough for players to hit from after errant shots.

The overseeded fairways and greens will make the conditions considerably softer for players' drives off the tee, as well as their approaches to the greens. Players who find the rough will find the shorter, thinner Ryegrass rough a picnic compared to the thicker, Bermuda rough from when the event was held in the Fall.

You can expect players with length to be even more aggressive than normal this week with the softer conditions and less penalizing rough. This will make driving the ball and hitting approaches into the greens significantly easier than this event has played in the past. The most significant difference will pertain to the rough with players not worrying about fliers or horrible lies when hitting their approaches into these undulated greens.

You can understand why the Tour moved this event from the Fall to just mere weeks ahead of The Masters. Memorial Park GC is a long course, light rough, surrounded by runoffs/slopes, with large undulated greens. This venue is a perfect tune-up for players preparing for Augusta National.

Key Stats

  • SG: Total on Difficult Scoring courses
  • SG: Approach
  • Good Drives %
  • Driving Distance
  • SG: Putting (POA Trivialis/Overall)
  • 3-Putt Avoidance
  • Scrambling on Difficult Courses

Comp Courses 

  • Augusta National
  • Riviera Country Club
  • LA Country Club

My 2024 PGA DFS Houston Open DraftKings Lineup

Scottie Scheffler $13.0k

I would avoid Scheffler in multi-entry events on DFS platforms but in cash games he's a must-start. Scheffler is playing out of his mind coming off of consecutive wins. This week he tries to join Dustin Johnson as the only other PGA Tour player to win three straight events in the last decade.

Scheffler's price tag is tough to stomach, I get it, but not enough to avoid having him anchoring my DraftKings cash game lineups this week. For starters, Scheffler has won five events(2 Players Championships, WGC Match Play, Phoenix Open) in the last 24 months on Bermuda courses that are overseeded.

Scheffler will not have the advantage off the tee he normally does due to driving accuracy not playing as important with light rough off the fairways. He will gain at this venue a huge advantage around the greens and on approach. The large undulated greens surrounded by severe runoff areas will play into Scheffler's biggest strengths. (scrambling from tight lies and his accurate iron play)

In this field, Scheffler ranks top-5 over the last 24 rounds in strokes gained approach, off the tee, and around the greens. Scheffler is first in the field by over half a stroke in strokes gained on long/difficult courses.

Another option in this price range: Alex Noren $9.4k/+700 top-5/+320 top-10

Jason Day $9.5k/+2200 to win/+450 top-5

Jason Day, in my opinion, is a real value on DraftKings and betting boards this week. He has a great track record at comparable courses, Riviera Country Club and Augusta National. Day plays both of those courses well due to his length off the tee and unreal abilities around/on the greens.

He's played this course well with multiple top-20 finishes since 2020. Being an Aussie he excels in windy conditions. Day is 5th in the field in strokes gained on Texas courses, 4th in strokes gained on courses with large greens, and 7th in strokes gained around the greens on courses where scrambling is difficult. My only concern with Day this week is his iron play on approaches.

Another option in this price range: Keith Mitchell $9.2k/+4000 to win/+800 top-5

Jake Knapp $8.0k/+5500 to win/+1000 top-5/+450 top-10

Jake Knapp is the first player I think of when I am choosing players for bomber-friendly courses. Knapp has elite distance with some to spare. His ball speed off his driver has averaged around 185-190 mph all season.

I like that Knapp has continued to have success following his win at the Mexico Open. Another top-5 performance at the Cognizant Classic followed by consecutive made cuts on courses that don't really fit his game. Memorial Park should fit his game in a multitude of ways.

Knapp is currently on Tour 17th in strokes gained total, 21st in strokes gained approach, 31st in putting, 20th in driving distance, and 64th in scrambling. His scrambling total is much better when not coming from the rough. Memorial Park is a course that mostly features closely mown fairway areas around the greens.

Mackenzie Hughes $7.8k/+6000 to win/+500 top-10

Mackenzie Hughes is the one player in my official DraftKings lineup without elite or borderline elite distance off the tee. I went with Hughes for his ability on and around the greens, his recent play, and his course history at this venue.

Hughes is first in the field over his last 24 rounds in strokes gained around the greens and you can see above his flatstick is currently smoking hot. Over his last five events, Hughes has four top-31 finishes with two finishes at longer venues Bay Hill and Riviera Country Club. Since 2020 in three appearances at this venue his worst finish is a 29th with two other top-16 finishes.

Robert MacIntyre $6.8k/+11000 to win/+800 top-10

At last week's Valspar Championship players were allowed to get creative with the name on the back of their caddies bibs. MacIntyre took the opportunity to troll the US Men's Ryder Cup by featuring the score from last year's event on his caddy's back. I support this fully until the US can win a Ryder Cup in Europe for the first time in decades.

MacIntyre's troll job is not the sole reason I have him in my lineup this week. In his last 24 rounds, MacIntyre ranks in the field, strokes gained off the tee 16th, strokes gained around the greens 17th, and 10th in strokes gained on long/difficult courses.

His debut season on the PGA Tour has not been as good as some advertised, but he finished 6th in Mexico, which is a course where players will hit drivers on a majority of their tee shots, which is what we will see at Memorial Park this week.

Another option in this price range: Cameron Champ $6.4k/+11000 to win/+850 top-5/+450 top-10

Cole Hammer $5.1k/+9000 top-5/+3500 top-10/+1100 top-20

Cole Hammer grew up in the state of Texas and played his collegiate golf for the Longhorns of Texas University. He is in the field this week on a sponsorship exemption. Hammer finished 27th playing well the last time an event was held here in 2022. That week he averaged nearly a stroke and a half on the field on his approaches into the greens.

Currently, Hammer is playing on the Korn Ferry Tour where he ranks 6th in total birdies and 29th in birdie average per round. I like the upside of Hammer in DFS with his experience at this venue and the comfort he will have playing in his home state. Hammer's prop bets for a top-5. top-10, and top-20 are outrageously high for a player who finished top-30 in his only start at this event.

Another option in this price range: Joseph Bramlett $6.6k/+360 top-20

There is no Two off the Tee show this week but check out all the other great content currently on the Fantasy Six Pack YouTube Channel

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