2024 PGA DFS Memorial Tournament DraftKings and Betting Preview

by Keith Flemming

The PGA Tour’s final stop before next week’s U.S. Open is at Jack Nicklaus’s magnum opus as a course designer, Muirfield Village. That brings me to my 2024 PGA DFS Memorial Tournament DraftKings Betting Preview. This PGA Tour season my DFS and betting plays have not been as successful as last year, particularly when predicting the winner of the upcoming event.

I gave Jake Knapp at +4500 at the Mexico Open early in the year, followed by reluctantly picking Scheffler at +350 (disgusting odds) to win the Masters, but I haven’t come close to a winner since Augusta National. Flash forward to Sunday with Robert MacIntyre entering the final round with a four-shot lead. The same MacIntyre who I said I liked to win at +7000 and top-10 at +650 in this article and on my weekly guest spot on ESPN NW Florida’s Inside Drive.

Normally in this situation, I’d be glued to the TV rooting the young Scot to victory. Instead, my Sunday consisted of a trip to Urgent Care and a fever peaking at 103 degrees. I didn’t realize MacIntyre had won until Tuesday evening when my fever finally broke.

You can find me on Twitter @KeithFlemming to keep the conversation going!

2024 PGA DFS Memorial Tournament DraftKings and Betting Preview

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Venue (Muirfield Village)

Muirfield Village is a Par 72 that plays nearly 7600 yards since its latest renovation. This venue is known for its thick rough, generous fairways and firm/fast greens. Players will need to put their tee shots in the fairway to find success at this venue.

For your betting cards and DFS lineups, you need to target players with a strong all-around game. This week I will target players who are elite in strokes gained around the greens and on approach.

The four par 5s are the only holes on the course that have a scoring average under par, putting a huge emphasis on par 5 scoring and bogey avoidance this week. Any player who hopes to contend this week needs to feast on par 5s and avoid big numbers.

Key Stats

  • Strokes Gained Approach
  • Strokes Gained Off The Tee
  • Strokes Gained Around The Green
  • Par 5 Scoring (550-600 yards)
  • Par 4 Scoring (400-450 yards)
  • Strokes Gained Putting (Bentgrass/Fast Greens)

Comp Courses

  • Bay Hill
  • Torrey Pines
  • Augusta National

My 2024 PGA DFS Memorial Tournament DraftKings Lineup

Viktor Hovland $10.2k/+1600 to win

  • defending champion of this event
  • since returning to his swing coach from 2023 he's finished T24 at Wells Fargo and 3rd at PGA Championship
  • average score in six events before returning to his 2023 swing coach(71.6), two events since(69.0)
  • 13th driving efficiency
  • 20th proximities on approaches

Another option in this price range: Scottie Scheffler ($12.5k) 

Collin Morikawa $9.8k/+1600 to win

  • finished runner-up at this event in 2021
  • 1st Good Drives gained over last 24 rounds
  • 4th in course history at Muirfield over his last 36 rounds
  • 3rd total strokes gained on Nicklaus courses over his last 36 rounds
  • 2nd driving accuracy
  • 15th strokes gained around the greens
  • 34th or better in scoring on par 3s/4s/5s

Si Woo Kim $7.7k/+5000 to win/+900 top-5

  • finished 13th or better in 3 consecutive starts at this event
  • 6th strokes gained tee to green
  • 9th strokes gained approach
  • 29th strokes gained around the greens
  • 5th driving accuracy
  • 23rd scrambling
  • 14th bogey avoidance

Another option in this price range: Corey Conners ($8.5k) +400 top-10

Denny McCarthy $7.6k/+7000 to win/+1200 top-5

  • finished 5th at this event in 2022 and runner-up in 2023
  • 5th strokes gained putting on fast/Bentgrass greens over his last 24 rounds
  • 3rd strokes gained putting
  • 24th strokes gained around the greens
  • 3rd scrambling
  • 19th bogey avoidance
  • 1st par 3 scoring

Another option in this price range: Tom Kim ($7.8k) +5500 to win/+1000 top-5

Sepp Straka $7.5k/+1100 top-5/+400 top-10

  • finished 45th in 2022 and 16th in 2023 at this event
  • 4th strokes gained approach over last 24 rounds
  • 3rd Good Drive % over his last 24 rounds
  • 2nd driving accuracy
  • 35th par 4 scoring
  • finished 8th or better in 3 of his last 4 PGA Tour starts(7 rounds of 68 or better in that span)

Stephan Jaeger $7.1k/+10000 to win/+650 top-10

  • finished 24th last year in his debut for this event
  • 22nd total driving
  • 32nd strokes gained tee to green
  • 26th strokes gained off the tee
  • 35th strokes gained around the greens
  • 35th in par 4 and par 5 scoring

Another option in this price range: Cameron Davis ($6.3k) +25000 to win/+400 top-20 

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Thank you for reading my 2024 PGA DFS Memorial Tournament DraftKings and Betting Preview! Be sure to check out my weekly guest spot talking golf on ESPN NW Florida's Inside Drive Wednesdays at 1 pm EST. You can listen on the ESPN 104.3 app or their YouTube channel.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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