2024 PGA DFS RBC Heritage DraftKings and Betting Preview

by Keith Flemming
2024 PGA DFS RBC Heritage DraftKings and Betting Preview

The PGA Tour moves to Harbour Town following Scottie Scheffler's thrilling Masters victory on Sunday. Before my 2024 PGA DFS RBC Heritage DraftKings and Betting Preview, I wanted to discuss Scheffler's win at Augusta National briefly.

Scottie Scheffler entered The Masters as the prohibitive betting favorite at +450 to win. Despite extreme wind gusts causing difficult conditions Friday and Saturday, Scheffler would win his second green jacket Sunday afternoon.

He opened with a round of 66 Thursday, followed by a gutsy even par round Friday in extreme wind conditions. Scheffler saved his best for the weekend, shooting five under over the two days, highlighted by a 68 on Sunday.

There is no doubt about who the best golfer in the world is at the moment. Scottie Scheffler has joined Tiger Woods as the only players to win multiple major championships while being number one in the OWGR. Since his victory at the 2022 Masters, Scheffler has participated in 45 events on the PGA Tour. In that period, he has won two major championships and seven PGA events. Most impressively, Scheffler has finished within the top-5 in 55% of those events.

If there is one knock on Scheffler, it's that his eight victories have come at four venues: Augusta National, TPC Sawgrass, TPC Phoenix, and Bay Hill. He's never won an event in his first appearance at a new venue. The remaining three major championships this year are all on courses Scheffler has never played. If Scheffler can get over this final hurdle and win one of the remaining majors, the sky's the limit for him.

Listen to me Wednesday's on 104.1 ESPN NW Florida's (Inside Drive) talking golf at 1pm eastern/12pm central. Follow me on Twitter/X @Keith Flemming to keep the conversation going! 

2024 PGA DFS RBC Heritage DraftKings and Betting Preview

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Venue (Harbour Town)

Harbour Town Golf Links is a par-71 measuring 7,127 yards featuring Bermuda grass greens. A Pete Dye design featuring many doglegs lined with trees that impact both tee shots and approaches. Forcing players to hit less than driver off the tee. Tee shots travel an average of 276.5 yards which ranks as the second lowest driving distance at a venue on tour.

Dye courses are known for featuring small greens and Harbour Town is no exception. The greens at Harbour Town are the second smallest played on tour. Due to the size of the greens players average hitting greens in regulation only 60% of the time. That's nearly five percent lower than the average venue on tour.

The combination of tight, dogleg fairways and small greens is a big reason Harbour Town is the 8th toughest venue for players to gain strokes on approach. This also means 46% of approaches come from distances of 150 yards or further into the greens. The fifth highest rate on tour for approaches from that distance or further.

Harbour Town features only three par-5s and all three are true three shot holes. Only 11% of second shots into par-5s hit the green. Exactly half of the percentage of the tour average of second shots into par-5s that land on the green. The issues players have hitting greens in regulation or par-5s in two put an emphasis on scrambling and strokes gained around the greens.

Scrambling and sand save numbers are easier than the tour average due to increased opportunities from players missing greens. Ability for a player to scramble and save par is imperative to find success at Harbour Town. Firm greens with tricky pin placements will test even the best short game players.

Key Stats

  • Strokes Gained Approach
  • Strokes Gained Around the Greens
  • Scrambling
  • Driving Accuracy
  • Proximity 150-200 yards
  • Bogey Avoidance
  • Birdie or Better %
  • Course History

Past Winners at Harbour Town and Betting Odds

  • 2023: Matt Fitzpatrick (-17) +2800
  • 2022: Jordan Spieth (-13) +4000
  • 2021: Stewart Cink (-19) +12500
  • 2020: Webb Simpson (-22) +3000
  • 2019: CT Pan (-12) +16000

My 2024 PGA DFS RBC Heritage DraftKings Lineup

Xander Schauffele $10.8k (+1000 to win)

  • Finished T-8 or better four of his last five starts on PGA Tour
  • T-4 2023 RBC Heritage
  • 2nd Strokes Gained: Total
  • 6th in Total Driving
  • 12th in GIR %
  • 6th in Scrambling
  • 8th Strokes Gained: Around the Greens
  • 16th in proximity on approaches from 100+ yards
  • 1st in 3-putt avoidance

Another option in this price range: Patrick Cantlay $10.2k (+1400 to win)

Sahith Theegala $8.9k (+3500 to win/+750 top-5)

  • 25th in Bogey Avoidance
  • 9th par-3 scoring
  • 48th in Scrambling
  • 23rd in GIR %
  • 30th in total driving
  • 13th Strokes Gained: Putting
  • 5th Strokes Gained: Total
  • 26th Strokes Gained: Tee to Green

Another option in this price range: Matthew Fitzpatrick $9.6k (+2200 to win/+550 top-5)

Cameron Young $8.7k (+2500 to win)

  • Finished 3rd 2022 RBC Heritage
  • Top-10 finishes in four of his last seven PGA Tour starts
  • 5th Strokes Gained: Ball Striking
  • 2nd in Proximity
  • Gaining nearly a full stroke on approach compared to his 2023 numbers
  • Gained strokes on the greens in five of his last seven events

Denny McCarthy $7.8k (+5500 to win/+1000 top-5)

  • 27th Strokes Gained: Total
  • 26th Strokes Gained: Around the Greens
  • 9th Strokes Gained: Putting
  • 21st in Sand Save %
  • 3rd in Scrambling
  • 3rd in One-Putt %
  • 18th in Bogey Avoidance
  • 2nd par-3 scoring
  • Finished top-10 in two of four tournaments directly after a major championship
  • Finished top-25 in two of three starts at Harbour Town

Matthieu Pavon $7.0k (+7000 to win/+550 top-10)

  • 6th Strokes Gained: Total
  • 6th Strokes Gained: Putting
  • 25th Strokes Gained: Approach
  • 8th in Driving Accuracy
  • 27th in GIR %
  • 3rd in proximity
  • 14th in proximity on approaches 150-175 yards
  • 12th in putting inside ten feet
  • 22th in Bogey Avoidance
  • 4th in par-3 scoring

Another option in this price range: Emiliano Grillo $6.9k (+9000 to win/+750 top-5)

Lucas Glover $6.8k (+7000 to win/+5500 1st Rd Leader/+1100 top-5)

  • 9th Strokes Gained: Tee to Green
  • 9th Strokes Gained Approach
  • 7th Strokes Gained: Around the Green
  • 6th in Driving Accuracy
  • 8th in proximity
  • 17th in proximity on approaches 150-175 yards
  • 28th in Sand Save %
  • 21st in par-4 scoring
  • Finished T-35 or better in six of last seven starts on tour
  • Made cut at Harbour Town seven of last nine appearances

Another option in this price range: Erik Van Rooyen $6.7k (+11000 to win/+850 top-10)

Thank you for reading my RBC Heritage DraftKings and Betting Preview. Be sure to check out all the amazing content on Fantasy Six Pack on our website and all social media channels.

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