2024 PGA DFS Sony Open DraftKings Preview

by Mark Strausberg

The Hawaii swing continues this week in Honolulu, and therefore time for the 2024 PGA DFS Sony Open DraftKings Preview.

It was an exciting Sunday last week at the Sentry Championship as at least four golfers were still in contention as the final group hit the 14th hole. Chris Kirk held off his multiple pursuers gamely to win and now finds himself inside the top 25 in the OWGR. He will be joined by seven other members of the top 25 in the OWGR as he tries to win again this week.

The Sony Open at Waialae Country Club however is the polar opposite of the venue that hosted the Sentry Championship last week in Maui. Instead of wide fairways and severe elevation. Waialae Country Club is a tight course that plays firm and fast.

Keep that in mind as you read through this week's preview.

You can find me on Twitter @MarkStrausberg to keep the conversation going!

2024 PGA DFS Sony Open DraftKings Preview

The Venue (Waialae Country Club)

As I mentioned above briefly, the course this week is nothing like the one that held the Sentry. Instead of a Par 73 with eleven Par 4's, this week is a Par 70 at 7,044 yards, well below the tour average. The players will only have two par 5s, but they are ranked as the easiest on tour.

The greens and fairways at this track play firm and fast, leading to lower-than-normal Driving Accuracies and Greens In Regulation percentages. The tournament officials grew the rough an extra inch this year to 3 inches. The tight fairways and doglegs are on a course with only two par 5s, eliminating almost all advantages for long hitters.

Players will find success this year with accurate drives, hitting greens in regulation, and class around the greens. The winners from the past five years--S.W Kim, Hideki Matsuyama, Kevin Na, Cam Smith, and Matt Kuchar prove many types of players can win here. For at least three of the last six years, the winner has started the week with odds to win of 55-1 or higher.

Correlated Courses

  • Pebble Beach
  • Colonial CC
  • Port Royal
  • Sea Island GC

Key Stats

  • Strokes Gained Approach: 125-200
  • Par 4 Scoring: 400-500 yards
  • Strokes Gained: Putting(Bermuda)
  • Strokes Gained: Around The Greens

My 2024 PGA DFS Sony Open DraftKings Lineup

Ludvig Aberg ($10,500)

I hate picking those favored to win a tournament, but it's hard to ignore what Aberg has done since he turned pro in 2023. He made the Ryder Cup team after his strong 2023, including a win at the RSM Classic. He's made 14 of 17 cuts overall as a professional. He played 11 PGA events last season and finished in the top 10 four times!

Aberg hasn't let off the gas pedal and is currently 30th in the OWGR. He's also currently 30th in Driving Accuracy. That, plus the rest of his game should help us find him on the front page of the leaderboard this week.

Another option in this price range: Tyrrell Hatton $10,300

Hatton is 14th on the PGA in Total Shots Gained. The seven-time winner has an extremely high floor this week despite this being his first time here. 

Russell Henley ($9,600)

Russell Henley of the United States plays his shot from the 16th tee during the first round of the Wyndham Championship at Sedgefield Country Club on...

Henley plays well on firm courses. He gains 0.3 strokes per round on the field putting on Bermuda greens.

He finished T-32 last year but lost in a playoff to Hideki Matsuyama the previous year. Oh, and Henley won here in 2013. Wouldn't be surprised if Henley is a potential leverage pick.

Another option in this price range: Chris Kirk $9,500

Kirk is coming off the win last week and finished third here last year. Nice set of converging trends!

Byeong Hun An ($8,700)

An is often a very streaky player, but given that he finished in fourth place last week, ride the streak while you can. He's fourth in Total Shots Gained, but even more encouraging is that he is 19th in SG: Putting. An has every part of his game going right now and should that continue, expect him to best his 12th place finish here last year.

Another option in this price range: S.W. Kim $8,600

Defending champ. 'Nuff said.

Adrien Dumont De Chassart ($7,300)

You probably don't know who is, but you might want to start right away. And while I was very aware of the Belgian who turned pro this year, even I was surprised to find out that he attended the University of Illinois. What I was aware of however is that he absolutely crushed on the Korn Ferry Tour last season for about six weeks when he had six straight top-ten finishes.

This is not a cash-game play at all, but I expect it to be a sneaky high-leverage GPP play.

Another Option in this price range: Andrew Putnam $7500

Putnam was 25th last season on the PGA Tour in Strokes Gained, and has done well here including a second in 2019 and T4 last year.

Erik Van Rooyen ($7,200)

Embed from Getty Images
An opening round 72 put a damper on EVR's chances last week, but he finished strong with a 65-69-65. And finishing strong seems to be his strength as he won his final event in 2023 at the World Wide Technology Championship. EVT also had a very strong fall season in general with half a dozen top-25 finishes. Not only he is playing well right now, but he finished T20 at this event two years ago.

The trends are converging for him similar to Kirk, but in a much lighter way. But $2K cheaper, EVR makes for a nice bargain play.

Another Option in this price range: Gary Woodland $7100

Woodland is more of one to root for as he underwent surgery to remove a brain tumor in September. But I don't think we see the 2019 US Open winner at $7100 for long. 

Matthieu Pavon ($6,700)

We are digging deep for this pick, but it's a good balance to the expensive and chalky Aberg. But my readers know I love finding these punt plays who can come up huge. He will likely have a decimal in front of his ownership percentage, but all the better for us. Pavon finished 15th or better in five of his last six events, including a fifth-place finish in November in the loaded field of the DP World Tour Championship. Shortly before that, he bested Jon Rahm to win the Open de Espana by four strokes to claim his maiden European tour victory.

Pavon is not winning this week, but he's underpriced at $6700.

Another Option in this price range: Robert Macintyre $6900

Not the first time I've mentioned Bobby Mac, I can't seem to quit him. Plenty of reasons to like him.

Check out the rest of our DFS coverage!

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