2024 PGA DFS WMPO DraftKings Preview

by Mark Strausberg

Some quick housekeeping before we get to my 2024 PGA DFS WMPO DraftKings Preview. This will likely be my last non-major weekly DFS preview of the year. Keith Fleming returns starting next week to preview the PGA's weekly tourney and provide you with his DFS picks.

Some will cheer this change; others not so much. But Mom, trust me, I'll be okay. Don't worry, I have plenty of other things on my plate.

But especially for those of you who didn't give birth to me, please know you will be in good hands with Keith. And even my seemingly shrinking fan club probably knows I'll be helping out elsewhere on F6P with the NBA and NHL seasons nearing the fantasy playoffs not to mention my offseason NFL coverage and of course my MLB DFS efforts.

But let's get back to golf as we finally are rid of those pesky multi-course tournaments. And this is always one of my favorite non-majors of the year. As most of you know, the WMPO is home to the most raucous crowd on the PGA Tour, with crowds exceeding 200,000 several times in the event's history.

This might have been a year for the event to take a dip sandwiched between two elevated events, but it still has an extremely deep field. It includes last year's champion Scottie Scheffler, who will try to go back-to-back-to-back at an event. But I'll give you a teaser, and tell you that I don't think he does it. And with that teaser out of the way, lets get into my 2024 PGA DFS WMPO DraftKings Preview.

2024 PGA DFS: WMPO DraftKings Preview

Venue

TPC Scottsdale

The Par 71 sits at just over 7200 yards and trades a Par 5 for an extra Par 4. The course is below tour standards and is known for its elevation with firm conditions.

The course features three reachable Par 5s in the 550-600 yards range, as well as ten Par 4s between 400 and 500 yards. With several risk/reward holes, especially off the tee, you want to look for players who are strong off the tee.

The greens are firm and fast but yield the third-highest make percentage on putts outside of 15 feet on tour.

Those three paragraphs above are from Keith's preview last year, but be aware that this week might not play like most of the years past. The forecast calls for plenty of rain. This makes Showdown entries unlikely to payout the same day and could force you to pay attention to whether players are in the morning or afternoon wave. But we still don't know exactly what this storm is going to do, so any strategy recommendations at this point would be premature. But pun intended, keep the weather forecast on your radar when making your final decisions before lock.

My 2024 PGA DFS WMPO DraftKings Preview Options

Sahith Theegala ($9,100)

If I could, I'd bet a huge chunk of change that someone in the $9K range or higher on DK will win this tourney. But even if I could find a book to give me that bet, I guess that it would be pretty lousy odds. This tourney is rarely won by first-timers and on-the-fringe golfers. And Theegala is neither of those. But I'm going bold and picking him to win this week.

Theegala almost broke through for his first PGA victory here two years ago. Unfortunately, he had to accept a third-place finish. However, he now has that maiden victory under his belt (the Fortinet Championship last year) and is coming in even hotter. He's currently 9th in the FedEx Rankings and 22nd in the OWGR (Overall World Golf Rankings). He started the year with a second-place finish in the Sentry and added another Top 20 last week at Pebble Beach.

He's a strong 32nd in Total Shots Gained. He has the length off the tee, but what I really like is that he is also 37th in SG: Putting. I've been riding the Theegala horse for a while, I'm not changing mounts now.

Two other options in this price range: Justin Thomas ($10,000) and Jordan Spieth ($9,500) both have an abundance of Top 20 finishes at the WMPO. If Theegala is too risky for you, give these two a long look and let others spend the extra $1500+ for Scheffler. He pretty much HAS to win to give you any value. 

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Min Woo Lee ($8,700)

I'll admit it, there's an incredibly pungent scent of fan favorites coming from my picks this week. But no other tournament allows fans to feed off golfers playing well and in turn those golfers to feed off that euphoria. And Min Woo Lee might be the textbook example of a player who fits that profile.

His putting admittedly scares me a little and I don't love his win equity this week. However, he is 15th in SG: Off The Tee and that will play extremely well here this week. He hasn't missed a cut since last May and I expect him to continue that streak this week. I think he'll come up a little bit short, but I love his chances to be on the first page of the leaderboard come Sunday.

Another option in this price range: I almost went with Byeong Hun An $8,800 as my featured choice given that he's made the cut all five times he's played here and his scoring average is a "Wait, did I read that right the first time?" 68.60. He's playing some of his best golf right now. Lee is more exciting, but An is an even safer bet. 

Akshay Bhatia ($7,400)

Bhatia has three Top 15 finishes in four of his 2024 starts. But you don't need a skeleton key to unlock what the difference is. He's always been strong with his ball-striking, but it is his putting that made the jump to hyperspace. Last year he was 183rd in SG: Putting. He switched to a long putter and is now 16th in that category!

But that's not the only category he's Top 20 in coming into this week. He's 15th in Shots Gained Total and also 10th in Longest Drives. I think we could easily see another top 15 finish from Bhatia.

Another option in this price range: Kevin Yu ($7,300) could not make it to three top ten finishes in a row, but still made the cut last week at Pebble Beach. I like him to make the cut again this week and he's a great leverage pick for your GPP entries. Or spend a little more and grab Thomas Detry ($7600) who is coming off of a T4 last week.

Billy Horschel ($7,100)

Now here is a sneaky pick. Billy Horschel has been pretty quiet over the last couple of years. But a quick look at his stats and you might wonder why there isn't more noise around him. He's 22nd in SG: Total which speaks volumes. He's a respectable 62nd in Shots Gained Off The Tee and 74th in Shots Gained Tee to Green. But where he really excels right now is with the putter, where is currently 12th in Shots Gained: Putting.

Billy Ho is Florida guy (born in Grant, Florida, and went to the University of Florida) so you might be surprised to find out how good he has been out west here in Phoenix. He has two top-ten finishes here in his last four years along with a third top-ten during the previous decade. This might be one of the better stops on the Horschel Comeback Tour.

Another option in this price range: Erik Van Rooyen ($7,100) has three Top 25s in his four 2024 starts. He should build on his T-50 here last year.  

Scott Stallings ($6,700)

It wasn't until I started looking for decent sub-$7000 options that Stallings caught my eye. He is ranked Top 50 in both SG: Approaching the Green and SG: Putting. A Top 25 finish at the Farmers has him coming in strong as well.

But he often plays this tournament well. Each of the past two years here he's finished with a Top 25 finish and has a third as well in his last five years here. If you are going to spend up for Scottie Scheffler, you will have to find some cheap options like Stallings. And he just might be my favorite sub-$7K option this week.

Another option in this price range: Cameron Champ ($6,600) is a GPP-only option, but as much as Champ has struggled so far this season, he's still number one in Shots Gained Off the Tee. My heart wants to see him make the cut this week and if he does, at this price, that's all we really need.


Check out last week's tourney preview to see how Mark did with his picks.

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