6 DFS Golf 2020 Players Championship Deep Sleepers

by Mark Strausberg
2020 Players Championship Deep Sleepers

There was no way I was going to let the warnings over COVID-19, aka the coronavirus, stop me from giving you my 2020 Players Championship deep sleepers.

While I write this, my kids are celebrating over their school joining the mass of many other schools in my state who have already closed school due to the spread of the coronavirus. I will refrain from going into a diatribe about it. I promise to make the rest of the article about the golfers we can select from for this week's PGA DFS slate.

The salaries were created before last week's Arnold Palmer Invitational concluded. In addition, the sites hope to draw additional money in this week and make the pricing generally softer. Some consider it the real start of the season. It is after all what the players consider the "fifth major".

A number of events this year including the WGC have had some weaker fields. However, 47 of the top 50 including all of the top ten ranked golfers will be teeing it up here at Sawgrass. So yes, you will pay for the favorites. Nonetheless, there is plenty of value to be had.

Collin Morikawa ($7900 DK, $10000 FD), Matthew Fitzpatrick ($7300 DK, $9200) and very under-the-radar Brendon Todd ($7100 DK, $8700) are some of my favorite value plays this week. But alas, none qualify as a deep sleeper. They are all above our $7K threshold for a DraftKings deep sleeper this week, in addition to our usual $8500 or below deep sleeper on FanDuel.

Keep reading to see who my 2020 Players Championship deep sleepers are.

2020 Players Championship Deep Sleepers

As I've done in the past, we will start at the bottom and work our way up.

Sebastian Munoz ($6100 DK, $7500 FD)

You don't reach 9th in FedCup Standings in the middle of March if you stink. And that's where Munoz sits, in part due to his win at the Sanderson Farms Championship earlier this season. He failed to make the cut last week, but previous to that he finished 14th in the loaded field at the WGC Mexico.

I don't foresee him finishing in the top 20 this week, but at this low salary, all you need is four solid rounds from him. The rough isn't as penal this week as it is in others. That's important because I wish he was a little more accurate. Yet given that he's 23rd in scrambling, he's pretty good at fixing his mistakes.

I suspect few DFS players this week will have two of the top three costliest DK options in their lineup this week. However, Munoz makes that far easier to do, and his high upside will make him part of a potentially lethal GPP roster. Or you could go more conservative.

Max Homa ($6600 DK, $8500 FD)

And Max Homa would be the conservative pick. He is going for his tenth straight cut made. Homa has missed just one cut the entire year and that was back during the first week of October.

He's playing far better since the calendar flipped to 2020 too. Homa has gained strokes on approach in five-straight tournaments, including 6.3 strokes on approach at last week’s API. In those five tournaments, he has five Top 25 finishes. He's putting extremely well too. He's 37th in shots gained putting and is a very respectable 71st in OWGR.

Joel Dahmen ($6600 DK, $8100 FD)

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Joel Dahmen is just two spots ahead of Homa in OWGR at 69th. He probably should be priced even higher than Homa. Dahmen is coming in hot after a 5th place finish at the API this past week.

But he has been showing signs of a breakthrough year all season long. He has three other top tens and hasn't missed a cut since Thanksgiving. He's not the putter than Homa is, but his other stats are strong across the board. He's 25th in Shots Gained Total and 11th in SG: Tee to Green, which helps explain his 37th overall in Fed Ex Cup standing.

But not only are Dahmen's stats and current form strong, but he has some success here at TPC Sawgrass as well. He finished 12th at the Players Championship here last year.

Denny McCarthy ($6700 DK, $7000 FD)

As much as I like someone like Dahmen, I think he's getting a little too much attention and will likely be owned far more than I prefer.

Perhaps I'm overthinking this too much, but McCarthy feels like a sneaky pivot away from Dahmen and some of those players priced $100 more or $100 less on either side of him. McCarthy is very under the radar. Part of that is because he's coming in a little colder than we might like.

Yet given that he's missed the cut his last two tournaments, his 2nd overall in SG: Putting is even more impressive. His work with the putter, however, overshadows some of his other strengths. He's 43rd in GIR (Greens in Regulation) and 8th in Birdie Average. At nearly every tournament he plays this year, he's making year over year improvements. He made the cut here last year and finished a respectable T-41st. Don't be surprised to see him even higher up the leaderboard this year.

Christiaan Bezuidenhout ($6800 DK, $8400 FD)

A fourth-round 79 was his undoing last week at the API, but he's been competitive all year. Bezuidenhout is of the most fun names to say in this loaded field. But his story is equally as remarkable as his name. He drank a coke bottle full of rat poison when he was two years old. He nearly died and was left with a stutter. But he has literally championed over those insecurities when he held off John Rahm to win the Andalucia Masters.

Last week's API was Bezuidenhout's first tournament stateside, so he doesn't have enough tournaments on this side of the Atlantic to qualify for consideration of PGA stats.

But few will consider him at all and that's a mistake. He is 48th in OWGR, ahead of popular Americans like Bubba Watson and Phil Mickelson and other international well-known contenders like Byeong Hun An and Jason Day. In addition to last week's T-18, he's made six of seven cuts overseas. That includes a 2nd place finish in the Omega Dubai Desert Classic, where he finished ahead of notables like Tommy Fleetwood and Bryson Dechambeau.

Ignore at your own peril.

Talor Gooch ($6900 DK, $7000 FD)

Finishing a few spots ahead of Bezuidenhout at 13th this past week was Gooch. Another Top 25 and another made cut for Gooch. He has not missed a cut since September and even Arnold Jackson from Different Strokes would like this Gooch.

Like the Gooch that bullied Arnold, Talor is kind of rough around the edges. His stats don't match with the success. But he's getting it done. Moreover, he can push aside plenty of the players more costly than him.

That will happen when you make shots like this:

That's our six-pack of 2020 Players Championship deep sleepers, but don't be surprised if I post another sleeper or two on Twitter later this week!

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