AAF DFS

AAF DFS Week 5 Picks: What Do We Do Now?

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I’ll admit, I did not see that coming. Two combined 19.5 point underdogs won outright this past weekend. So with an eye toward the AAF DFS Week 5 picks we are forced to ask ourselves, what the heck do we now? First off, relax. It happens. It is still a new league; we don’t know what will happen. But the next thing we do is look at what we know that hasn’t changed.

And that starts with something I mentioned weeks ago: Charles Johnson is a stud. I said he would be a staple in my DFS lineups every week. That hasn’t changed. I likely will have a couple contrarian lineups, but fade Charles Johnson at your own risk.

Yes, Charles Johnson is part of the reason, but another obvious fact is that Orlando is clearly the best team in the league. Orlando offensive players are going to be the chalk picks until proven otherwise. But we need to realize that the gap between the top and bottom of the remaining seven teams has shrunk considerably. The distance between second place Birmingham and the 1-3 Stallions and 1-3 Legends has suddenly disappeared. In fact, Birmingham might be headed in the wrong direction while the Legends might suddenly be worthy of DFS selection.


We also know that tight ends continue to be a limited source of fantasy points. I would not be surprised if that changes at some point but stay away from tight ends until we see evidence to the contrary. It’s nice to be a week ahead, but I’ll stick with what we know to pivot away from the chalk when making my GPP picks. Trying to pivot away from the pivot is just unnecessary.

The league is still new enough and we can only pick with what we might expect.

AAF DFS Week 5 Picks

Quarterback

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Garrett Gilbert is the chalk pick again, but be aware that the Birmingham Iron has given up the fewest amount of points this year. Conversely, San Antonio’s secondary has been picked apart multiple times; therefore, give John Wolford a good look this week. I like Wolford this week, but I’m sure though that many others will too.

I don’t like running with the herd, however. Plus I need to save some salary at quarterback this week. Therefore, the quarterback that interests me the most this week is the very affordable Logan Woodside. Going up against the unbreakable Iron this past week, Woodside had a meager 106 passing yards. However, it was actually the first week that Woodside did not throw an interception. And Woodside’s actual stats will scare most away. But Woodside is currently ranked third amongst quarterback fantasy points/game. He’s playing against an Arizona defense that is giving up an average of 21 points per game. I’ll take my chances.

Wide Receiver

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I’ll take my chances because as mentioned earlier, I’m grabbing Charles Johnson at wide receiver. Johnson is the most expensive player on the board with only Trent Richardson and his unsustainable TD rate (he’s averaging less than 3 yards a carry) even close. No player has both a higher floor AND higher ceiling than Johnson. I think Johnson still outproduces his salary this week.

Of course, I realize Johnson’s price might scare you away. One of my slightly cheaper plays this week is De’Marcus Ayers. I like Ayers as a stack with Woodside. I think the two combine for at least one touchdown this week. Furthermore, Ayers has had five or more targets each of the past three weeks. That’s a solid enough floor for me.

Looking for something even cheaper? How about a player at only $3100? Would one of Mitch Trubisky’s favorite receivers at Michigan interest you? Allow me to introduce you to Bug Howard. As I alluded to earlier, I think the Legends are starting to turn things around. Rising tides lift all boats and Howard saw a big 37-yard pass play this past week. I think that will be the start of a trend. Howard would make the scouts drool if he was at the Combine this week. He’s powerfully built with long arms (33 1/8″) and huge hands (10 3/8″). He’s not a speedster, but his other Combine stats were exemplary: a 37 1/2″ vertical and a 6.95 three-cone drill. At $3100, he’s worth the gamble.

Other WRs To Consider

Some other receivers I like this week include Rashad Ross, Jalin Marshall, and Quinton Patton, but my guess is all three will have fairly high ownership this week.

Running Back

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I expect Kenneth Farrow to have the highest RB ownership.  Farrow has one less carry than Richardson’s league-leading 67 carries. Yet unlike Richardson, Farrow has an impressive 280 yards rushing, second best in the league. However, I love the pivot here to San Antonio’s other back, Trey Williams. Williams scored this past weekend, but he is also first in YPC of backs with at least double-digit carries. Don’t expect 20 carries, but I think Williams continues to eat into Farrow’s workload and makes for a great pivot against Arizona’s 3rd worst rushing defense.

Another popular option will be Zac Stacy, who is $400 less than Farrow. Stacy has been relatively quiet lately and hasn’t done much since he topped the century mark two weeks ago. However, he’s still fourth in AAF rushing yards. Plus, he’s going against the Legends league-worst rushing defense.  My biggest concern with Stacy is he too might be a very popular pick.

So I am looking at far less proven options. Famed “OW” (offensive weapon) and former Jacksonville Jaguar, Denard “Shoelace” Robinson finally scored this past weekend. He makes for an interesting salary saving pick.  Atlanta might be the league’s worst-ranked rushing defense, but Memphis is only one spot ahead of Atlanta. Care to guess who Shoelace plays this week?

Other RBs To Consider


I’ll admit I’m still putting together lineups, but where I do have extra salary at RB, I’m going with two players I highlighted last week who had decent games, Jhurrell Presely and D’Ernest Johnson.

We will see how things unfold this week, but good luck in AAF week 5!

About Mark Strausberg

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  1. Pingback: AAF DFS Week 6 Picks: Hotshots Or No-Shots? - Fantasy Six Pack

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