Welcome to the Bottom of the Barrel 2023 NFL DFS Week 10 WR Edition!
Hello! The weekend is upon us, and Week 10 has already started! Thankfully, the game on Thursday is done and over with. Jokes aside, any professional football game we can watch or attend in person is a real treat! Last we left off I had mentioned the idea of being able to express ourselves. Whether it’s creatively or emotionally, in most cases we can see it clean and clear.
As we all wind down for the week and look to the weekend for a good rest, how did it all go? Seriously, how was your week? Hopefully, you were challenged or stumped. Maybe you were able to work through a tough spot stuff and came out unscathed. Would you say it made you better for having gone through it? Whatever situation you are currently in I hope lends itself some perspective.
Years ago, I thought each one of us, as individuals, had to be down and out to appreciate what we had once lost. Like losing everything was the key to having it all. What a sick way to think. That’s exactly how I used to be. Every moment of every day was spent sick and in an awful way. Yet, who knew? Certainly not me.
This story ends well! Not my life’s story per se but this article will. The only thing I can promise without a single doubt! This is my path. This is my way. Most of us have a say in our daily schedules and routines. No matter where you are now or where you’ve come from, how far are you willing to push it to make sure the ending is exactly as you’d like it to be?
What a week! Let’s turn our attention to football and more specifically the wide receiver position! It is deep and it is rich at first glance that is exactly what I thought too. Yet suddenly it became this small bubble with a handful of guys. So, what you see next is my Bottom of the Barrel WR plays for Week 10!
Ja’Marr Chase Bengals vs. Texans(4th)
Ja'Marr Chase missed practice on Wednesday, but at last, glance was back on the field as far as Friday morning is concerned. So Chase should be good to go after back-to-back practices. The Bengal's other star WR Tee Higgins, is not expected to play on Sunday. On paper very good. In seasonal fantasy football formats, Ja'Marr is a no-brainer. What about in daily fantasy sports formats?
It is a little more complicated in DFS formats this week. Let's go back to this time one week ago. All reports from the Buffalo Bills were specifically about how Ja'Marr Chase will not dominate them! By all accounts, they made good on all that talk. Chase was targeted 8 times but could only reel in 4 of those passes for an underwhelming 41 yards.
When we look at the Texan's secondary and overall defense it is not as bad as you think. Nine games into the season and Houston has been airtight only allowing the fourth-fewest WR fantasy points per game. Chase is a little banged up himself, no Tee Higgins, and against a more than decent defense awaits. I would never, ever, willingly tell you to fade Ja'Marr Chase. You're aware of the rules. We've been playing the game long enough.
Jahan Dotson Commanders at Seahawks(23rd)
With or without Curtis Samuel playing in Week 10 I love Jahan Dotson. Looking back to last week Dotson saw an increased target share. Over the last three weeks, Jahan has been targeted 26 times! Of those, he has caught 17 passes for 220 yards and two touchdowns. Has he helped Sam Howell start to grow? Has he been a part of Howell's next step?
Does not matter to me. No matter how we slice it Dotson has a nose for the endzone. Who are we to deny the 2nd year kid from Penn State? All fun and jokes because the Seahawk's defense is soft and vulnerable. Well, how soft Chris? So soft that their defense has allowed the eighth-most receptions to opposing wide receivers in eight games this season. Only right we use Bottom of the Barrel quarterbacks article and stack him up with Sam Howell and Curtis Samuel.
Should be an absolute field day for the Commander's pass catchers. Specifically speaking, Dotson should see 7-8 targets catch 4-5 passes, and hang 50+ yards. It would not shock me in the least if he also scored a TD!
Josh Reynolds Lions at Chargers(29th)
Fun fact about Josh Reynolds this year! Josh has accumulated the second most snaps among fellow Lions wide receivers. Over the last three games, with some quick math, we are looking at 79% of the offensive snaps for Reynolds. Yet, it hasn't translated into much fantasy action. It's one of those things where we could pull out all the cornball one-liners. Like, "Right place and right time!". Or the simple thought, "Something good is bound to happen!". While fun written and read in an article it doesn't get the job done in DFS land.
Everything we do on a day-to-day basis can be considered a roll of the dice. Plugging in Josh Reynolds Sunday on Fanduel at $6,100 isn't a risk I am willing to take. I'd feel more comfortable with Josh on DraftKings or Yahoo this week. He's averaging a robust 18 yards a catch but only seeing 2-3 targets per contest. A splash play, or two, should be had for Reynolds this week. More specifically, 2-3 targets, 2-3 receptions, and around 25-30 yards.
Curtis Samuel Commanders at Seahawks(23rd)
Absolutely no qualms if you wanted to start with Sam Howell and work your way down by adding Dotson and Curtis Samuel into the same entry. Granted, it's not as dirty and secretive as you'd think. Curtis was inactive last week in New England but from practice reports this week he has been around. Albeit limited but still able to practice in some form or fashion.
Leading up to Washington's win in New England last week Curtis had found a nice little rhythm. Having caught four, or more, passes in the Commander's last five games. Here's hoping once active again on Sunday he can get right back into that same groove! I see no reason why he won't!
A healthy 5-6 targets, 4-5 receptions, and 50+ yards await Curtis this week.
Rashid Shaheed Saints at Vikings(24th)
Every football season there are always ups and downs. We watch people grow and learn. Plus, we can make stuff up and go completely bonkers with player projections while we talk game theories and scenarios that never happen. When I look at Rashid Shaheed I cannot help but think back to last year's Saints.
Almost certain it was a Thursday Night Football video cause I had mentioned Rashid, on a whim, and the kid was a single-entry GPP star! The Saints head to Minnesota this week in what is now a big-time game for each squad! Like, unbelievably big to be fair. New Orleans is 5-4 overall and in 1st place in the NFC South. While the Vikes have won four straight games and look to keep pace with the Lions.
If ever there was a time for Shaheed to be more boom than bust it is this week. It is that anticipation for a big game I am after. Rashid is already averaging 19.3 yards a catch and has scored three times. Look for Shaheed to see 4-5 targets, 3-4 receptions, and get close to that 60-yard mark.
Michael Thomas Saints at Vikings(24th)
I am sick of Taysom Hill too. Whatever Hill is up to each game is never really expected. He got us good last week and the Saints completely forgot about Michael Thomas. I am not at all being over dramatic either. Michael went from at least six targets in each of the first eight games of the season to one target and no receptions last week.
Blows my mind but that's the beauty of DFS. We are allowed to start over again each week. Plus MT isn't that stud can't miss WR1 anymore so it's bound to happen. After all that I do believe Michael can be of some use to us all on Sunday. Minnesota has large gaps in its coverage. They should also have their hands full with Olave, Kamara, Johnson, and Shaheed running go routes all game. Meaning, that Thomas should be an asset in the red zone this week.
I have MT down for 6-7 targets, 4-5 receptions, and just over 50 yards.
Christian Watson Packers at Steelers(27th)
It's been tough sledding this season for Watson, who missed the first three games of the season to start the year due to a hamstring injury. Then was unfortunately banged up last week on his only catch of the game. He came down pretty hard and thankfully he escaped a concussion but still left the game after a chest and back injury. On a positive note, Watson was back at practice Wednesday and labeled a "full go" by Green Bay head coach Matt LaFleur.
When active Jordan Love will look his way. What a week to put all that other bullshit aside and just play football. Run your routes, be crisp, and shred the Steelers. This Pittsburgh defense has yielded the sixth-most yards per target (8.7) to opposing wide receivers this season. This is the week.
Look for Christian Watson to see 5-6 targets, 3-4 receptions, and 55-60 yards.
Jaxon Smith-Njiba Seahawks vs. Commanders(30th)
If DK Metcalk and Tyler Lockett were priced just a tad cheaper then they would absolutely be mentioned in Bottom of the Barrel this week. That would take away from them being DK Metcalk and Tyler Lockett though against an awful opposing defense. So, while I do love DK & Tyler they just don't fit the bill!
As of yesterday, Thursday the 9th, JSN was a full participant in practice. Seattle thought it wise to keep him on the sideline Wednesday but back to full steam as we end the week. On the flip side, this Washington defense has given up the second-most touchdowns (13) and most yards per catch (9.9) to opposing wideouts in nine games this season.
Unfortunately, all of this information is readily available to the general public. So once again using JSN in GPPs is not as sneaky or dirty as you'd think. I do not care. After Jahan Dotson, mentioned above, Jaxon is a close second when it comes to my favorite plays at WR this week.
Regarding JSN in Week 10, I feel good with 5-6 targets, 4-5 receptions, and 50-55 yards.
Jayden Reed Packers at Steelers(27th)
Should be a busy day for both teams' defenses. Which would be good news for the opposing offense, right? As this week has played out I have had a ton of weird thoughts and ideas about different players and team stacks. Nothing out of the ordinary but early this week I was really into the Packers WRs. While the thought hasn't changed the excitement and willingness to go all in on the Packer's offense has fluttered and gone away.
When this normally happens I have a few options. To keep it simple I will say two choices. We can fully fade that offense or double down and go to the extreme. I guess it's all about what can you live with. Been there and done that a million times. Making the wrong choice and feeling sick about it. In the case of these cheapie Green Bay Packers WRs, I am at my limit.
It hit me when I was doing my final score projections and again Friday morning. This game could be an under and leave us all in the dust. The under has hit in five of the Packers's last six games. While the under has come in each of the Steelers's last six games. Pittsburgh is scoring, on average, only 16.6 points per game, while Green Bay isn't far behind scoring just 20.0 points per game. This one is going to be low. Dammit. We cannot fight against the numbers. They are facts. I'm aware the outcome of this game is by no means set in stone but it does look grim.
Keep it simple and tone down the Green Bay exposure as I have Reed around 3-4 targets, 2-3 receptions, and 30 yards. While also getting a carry or two for about 10 yards.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine Titans at Buccaneers(31st)
Is anyone ready for another fun fact? Nick Westbrook-Ikhine is tied with DeAndre Hopkins for the team lead in touchdown receptions this season at three! While he falls behind D-Hop in literally every other statistical category there is some major GPP appeal for him on Sunday.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers gave up a whopping 470 passing yards last week and have allowed the second-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers this season. The ineptitude of the Tampa Bay secondary is mind-blowing and I think it best to tone down the Packers WRs and add in a few of these Titans guys!
Let's expect 3-4 targets, 2-3 receptions, 30 yards, and his 4th touchdown of the season!
Noah Brown Texans at Bengals(13th)
Talk about finding another gear and stepping up when your team needs it the most! The Texans are far from the greatest show on turf but now suddenly have a great one-two combo at WR with rookie Tank Dell and Noah Brown! I know right? Who would've thought?
Last week against Tampa Bay, of course, Brown caught a season-high six passes for 153 yards and a touchdown. Brown also scored his first touchdown of the season in grand fashion with a 75-yard catch and run. Guess it really is that simple. Catch the football then run with it.
I am not saying that all of this joy will come crashing down for Houston and Brown but I think it's best to manage our expectations. Yeah right, the day I start talking like that is the day you can drag me away. Given his lowly price tag compared to the immense upside we can't help but give the 6 year pro another shot!
Noah keeps it rolling as he sees 5-6 targets, 4-5 catches, and 55-60 yards.
Jameson Williams Lions at Chargers(29th)
Some folks are starting to get antsy with Jameson. Which is a fair thought. To a certain extent in my humble opinion. If we put our personal feelings aside and look strictly from a football perspective it makes sense. Yet, true to form social media has been a cesspool of negativity.
To the point where it's only about the negative plays. Or the dropped passes in I have never done well with ultimatums as an adult. So it gives me pause to say, "Now or never Jameson!". When realistically it's okay to think that way. Per usual there are a dozen different factors at play here with the 2nd year wide-out.
The Lions are playing well. The Lions look great. Their defense is finally starting to take shape. As a lifelong Detroit Lions fan I am not used to this. We are just predisposed to that feet-to-the-fire ideology. All of our first-round draft picks should be on the field and whether they sink or swim is up to them. Hold up. I am not going to brief you on the ups and downs of Jameson's early playing career. I care about Week 10.
I am getting this odd feeling and sense the Lions are ready to find another gear. It is time. What better time to make a splash and send a legit message to folks than beating up on the Chargers, in LA, on Sunday? I am looking at 4-5 targets, 2-3 catches, and around 40-45 yards for Jameson. This projection could quickly go out the window with one play. One deep touchdown reception and we are rolling!
Kyle Philips Titans at Buccaneers(31st)
As we all get into the weekend and hopefully get a chance to rest and recharge just know Kyle Philips's name is going to start popping up in deep dive DFS articles. To be fair, why wouldn't he? Since rookie Will Levis has taken over as the Titans starting QB he has continued to look Kyles's way each and often! Shoot, Philips led the Titans in receiving yards in Week 9!
As of right now, Kyle is the cheapest of the cheap with a little PPR action as well for Week 10. It's just something I cannot ignore. You shouldn't either. He's not going to be the highest scoring WR of the week but he's not going to screw us either. Actually, I'd give him a teeny tiny bump up from the mid-tier options that are available at WR this week.
We can safely, for now, put Kyle around 3-4 targets, 3-4 receptions, and around 45-50 yards. After some simple math if he finishes with 4 catches for 50 yards we are hooting and hollering all the way to the bank. Too cheap. Too involved. Just too damn effective, for now.
Rondale Moore Cardinals vs. Falcons(12th)
This entire article was done! Just floating here waiting for me to publish! As I always do I look over my notes one last time then I double-check the article. Cross-reference the two and we are off and running! Guess what? I jotted down Rondale Moore so small above Ja'Marr Chase I could barely see him! Hadn't thought of him for more than a second this week. So, that tells me, for some odd reason, Rondale Moore was nothing but the first-up type of gut call.
How many writers would you trust, or believe, that said, "Oh yeah I heard Rondale Moore went off and scored twice. That is so cool I was going to write about him this week!". Victory lapping a player to your readers on an assumption that you're being honest. I get it. Crazier things have happened!
With Kyler Murray back under center this week I can see Moore's targets and touches being more productive and plentiful. I am good with saying Rondale sees 4-5 targets, 3-4 receptions, 35-40 yards, 2-3 carries, and another 15-20 yards. If Rondale Moore can somehow find the endzone on Sunday he can provide such a spark to a GPP entry!
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