Welcome to the Bottom of the Barrel 2023 NFL DFS Week 12 QB Edition!
This time of year, we’re supposed to look around and take stock of what is most important to us. What we are most thankful for. While it’s still early in the week we have a few more days until Thanksgiving. Plus, I feel as if we’re all rushed anyway. We are always looking too far ahead.
At the end of this week, it is going to be all about Christmas. It’s rather shocking, to be honest, but such is life as an adult. The pressure and expectations can get the best of us. That is why, for a limited time, I am okay resting and taking it easy this week. No pressure and no expectations! We can all rest and relax without being judged!
How often have you heard, “Oh my gosh how come you didn’t go to work today?” from your significant other or parents? Save it Mom it’s the holiday season and I wanted to rest. That’s all you have to say, and it is perfectly acceptable. “Oh yes honey, you’re right it is Thanksgiving.”
And there you have it! Your perfect reply to any questions asked of you this week. We are all allowed to be lazy for fear of consequences or repercussions. If we’re lucky enough we even get paid to be off on Thursday!
When it comes to the Week 12 Main DFS slate it is slim pickings! There are only ten games due to Thursday’s action and that weird Amazon Black Friday football game. So hopefully you are okay with leftovers. That is the best way to describe Sunday's Main slate. Let's get into it!
Josh Allen Bills at Eagles(29th)
Josh was spectacular last week against the mighty Jet's defense. Allen wound up completing 20-of-32 passes for 275 yards and three touchdowns. As mentioned in last week's Bottom of the Barrel I had seen last week’s game as a do-or-die type scenario.
With their Week 11 win the Bills are 6-5. Interestingly enough the Dolphins are leading the AFC East at 7-3 while the Bills are on the Wild Card Playoff bubble looking in. Cleveland, Houston, and Pittsburgh are currently in while Buffalo remains out. So, much like Week 11, the Bills cannot afford too many more hiccups.
The Eagles are absolutely rolling at 9-1 but this game has some big-time heavyweight potential. I’m not ready to count out Josh Allen and the Bills just yet. I am counting on 25-26 completions, 275 yards, two touchdown passes, and another score on the ground for Josh.
Matthew Stafford Rams at Cardinals(26th)
Death, taxes, and fourth quarter comebacks by Matthew Stafford. The Rams Road to the playoffs is as tough as it gets sitting at 4-6 but as they all say, “One game at a time!”. Inching passed the Seahawks by a point was a tremendous feat. Now we need Matthew to really pour it on the Cardinals, in Arizona, on Sunday. I love his chances.
Given the fact that the season of perpetual hope and kindness is right around the corner let’s also assume the best for Cooper Kupp and rookie standout WR Puka Nacua come Sunday. Give me Stafford to complete 20-21 passes for 240 yards and two touchdowns.
Derek Carr Saints at Falcons(27th)
Without being out of line I am really hoping Derek Carr got his head right the last few weeks. Carr was concussed in Week 10 against the Vikings. Jameis Winston came into the game, cold, and immediately led the Saints down the field for a touchdown. Winston had one of his patented games with two touchdowns and two interceptions.
So far Carr has not been able to clear the protocol during their Week 11 bye. He still has time to rest and get right before kickoff on Sunday. In true professional football fashion, if Carr is active, we should be all over him in DFS formats. He was running hot before going down against the Vikings. Let’s hope his rest and relaxation are just as good as ours this week. If so, look out.
Baker Mayfield Buccaneers at Colts(13th)
Desperate times call for desperate measures. With a smaller-than-normal Week 12 Main slate Baker Mayfield makes for an interesting play. Of course, rostering Baker comes with its little pitfalls, like turnovers, but the good can outweigh the bad. That is what we can look forward to in Indianapolis on Sunday.
I am not at all comparing Rachaad White to Christian McCaffrey, but we have seen flashes from White where it’s sparked a little. “Oh wow!” moments. Meaning, White could take a quick out or screen pass to the house. Boom. Just like that. While Baker gets credit for the score without any heavy lifting.
Not to mention having Mike Evans and Chris Godwin at his disposal. The Indianapolis Colts defense doesn’t scare me, and it shouldn’t affect your decision-making at QB in Week 12. I love Baker to complete 24-25 passes for 250 yards and two touchdown passes!
Gardner Minshew II Colts at Buccaneers(30th)
Every week, without fail, there is a moment that hits me like a ton of bricks. A thought or idea that completely throws me for a loop. Case in point, a Gardner Minshew II vs. Baker Mayfield game stack. Who would have thought? Right? Not me!
Even more so the Tampa Bay defense is allowing the fourth-most fantasy points per game to quarterbacks. Realistically, Week 12 is a match made in heaven for Minshew and us DFS junkies. Let me be ambitious and project 20-21 completed passes, 225-230 yards, and two touchdowns. If we are lucky maybe he finds the endzone with his legs to make it three total scores! This Christmas coming early idea isn’t half bad!
Will Levis Titans vs. Panthers(8th)
Last week in Bottom of the Barrel we got lucky on a few occasions. In all honesty that is half the point of this article. Mix in some legitimate statistics, a few cockeyed ideas, and some hypothetical daydreaming-type game scripts on a pad of paper, and voila! Bottom of the Barrel is born.
The Titans got beat up last week by the Jaguars. It got nasty fast and by the time Levis and Tennessee knew what hit them, it was already 27-0. For whatever reason that is when the Titans decided to be creative and imaginative on offense. Will Levis was able to toss two touchdown passes. One of which was to DeAndre Hopkins on a 43-yard trick play.
So, to be fair let me lay it all out for you and leave the decision to you. While the Panthers are 1-8, they are still stingy in their secondary only allowing the sixth-fewest passing yards per game. On the other hand, Levis only attempted 17 passes last week after back-to-back weeks of 39 attempts. So, what gives? Where does that leave Will in Week 12?
If we’re going to do this then there is no reason to go in halfcocked. If we are adding Levis to our DFS entries in Week 12 then might as well stack up the whole kitten-caboodle. I have Will around 19-20 completed passes, 200 yards, and two more touchdown passes. One to Spears and one to D-Hop. Who’s coming with me?
Tommy DeVito Giants at Patriots(10th)
Tommy had an outstanding game against the Commanders in Week 11, throwing for 246 yards and three touchdowns. On the flip side, DeVito was sacked nine times and lost 45 yards. If we look at his game log starting in Week 9 against the Vegas Raiders, he has thrown for 1, 2, and then 3 touchdowns. So, in my mind, it is only logical he goes off and throws four touchdowns this week.
Bottom of the Barrel and logic rarely go together, but we have fun and there is definite success! The New England Patriots are crumbling right before our very eyes. It is a sad sight to see after all those years of winning. Well, such is life. While the Giants just mentioned Daniel Jones is having his knee surgery on Wednesday the 22nd we wish him the best.
When we kick it back to Tommy, he has seemingly taken a likely to Saquon Barkley. While Saquon is a tad too expensive for the article it is imperative you roster him with Tommy this week. Lastly, what I love most about this kid is the fact he’s just like us. On Thursday he will be at home with his parents and family just like us. Then on Sunday, he will hopefully complete 20-21 passes for 200 yards and a pair of touchdowns.
Jake Browning Bengals vs. Steelers(6th)
Bottom of the Barrel had to end Week 12 this way you know that, right? What is the point of a cheaply priced quarterback with such awesome options at his disposal if we cannot roster him? It stinks that Joe Burrow is done for the year. The NFL is just a better place when its superstars are active, healthy, and playing well. Much like Tommy DeVito above the world still spins and the sun still sets.
On the off chance the Bengals decide to get aggressive with Jake, we could see a multi-touchdown effort here. Anytime we get an AFC North battle you know it’s going to be brutally wonderful. Joe Mixon is the one you want in this game as I’d expect Cincinnati to lean on the ground game. All the while they pick their spots with Ja’Marr Chase and Tyler Boyd. In all honesty, Tanner Hudson is a wonderful idea too.
It is Week 12 of the NFL season. We are on the cusp of that nitty-gritty stage. For some teams, their seasons are already over. A few teams are already planning their playoff runs. While a team like the Bengals are exactly 5-5 and realistically still in the hunt. For Jake Browning, it is as serious as it gets. He has been given a golden opportunity he thought he’d probably never see. To be the starting quarterback in the National Football League. That idea alone is enough for me to root for him.
There is a great chance he completes 22-23 passes for 240 yards and a touchdown pass.
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