Welcome to the Bottom of the Barrel 2023 NFL DFS Week 4 QB Edition!
Being in a tough spot, and not being able to see a way out, it’s a tough situation to be put into. You feel as if you have all the potential in the world to do anything. To produce all kinds of great things. To be helpful to your friends. Also, to be loving to your family. There are a million good ideas that run through your mind, but they all just fade away. All because of that one bad spot you’re in.
That hangs over your head like a dark cloud. It follows you wherever you go. Whether you’re at work or home or at the grocery store you’re constantly consumed with not feelings of dread but more so, heavy doses of stress and anxiety. So, it’s this daily battle between knowing you have all this potential and so much to give to others but there’s no outlet for you to give it away.
In turn, you’re just stuck with nothing to do, nowhere to go, no one to see, and no one to talk to. The only friend that you have is this dark cloud that is unfortunately everywhere you go. So, you’ve unknowingly made best friends with a shadow.
I don’t want to give you the wrong idea here. It’s not all doom and gloom. There are positives to be plucked from any situation. I am sure of that. Sometimes they’re just tougher to see. They’re just tougher to reach. It’s up to us as individuals to find those positive little quips are quirks.
And it’s not always easy, more than likely it’s harder than hell. And depending on what kind of dark cloud is following you, it could be the toughest battle you’ve ever faced in your life. To be clear, at the end of the day, it’s worth it because if we’re not fighting, if we’re not thinking, if we’re not reading, if we’re not trying to be better by battling all this negativity then the dark cloud that hangs over you become permeant.
No, thank you! I cannot be the only one who turns to daily fantasy sports as an outlet of sorts. It’s not about gambling or money. It is more about strategy, conversing with others, and planning. Planning for a week-to-week battle!
Week 4 is here and so is Bottom of the Barrel to help as we start our battle plan!
Bottom of the Barrel 2023 NFL DFS Week 4 QB
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Josh Allen Bills vs. Dolphins(16th)
(FD-$9,000)(DK-$8,200)(Y!-$36)
Daily Fantasy Football pricing has always been a very interesting piece of the puzzle. A million different roads we could take with just that one sentence. Just when I think I'd be able to start pricing players ahead of each slate with confidence we get thrown an odd curve ball like Josh Allen in Week 4.
By all means, I'd prefer Jalen Hurts in Washington against the Commanders. Or even Justin Herbert and the Chargers in Las Vegas this week. Yet, on both FanDuel and DraftKings, he's the highest-priced quarterback. Why? This is when I get a little skeptical and for a moment think the NFL has an odd agenda.
Allen and the Bills are in a great spot against a Dolphins team honestly firing on all cylinders.
Russell Wilson Broncos @ Bears(27th)
(FD-$7,900)(DK-$5,800)(Y!-$27)
As each weekend comes to an end it's a weird thing to comb through social media and figure out what player quotes are satire and which are real. Case in point what Russell supposedly said after losing 70-20 to Miami last week. Obviously fake but still fun Wilson says, "Miami gave us the entire footlong today spice and all!" Still makes you think though given how corny he can truly be.
As we turn our attention to Week 4 the Broncos are in prime position to bounce bag, big time. As far as the Main slate is considered this week, twelve total games, only two other games have higher over/under than the Broncos at Bears. In some strange sadistic way, as the week opens up, I have an inclination to stack this entire game. Headlined by Russell Wilson!
Let's pencil in Russ for about 20-21 completions, 260 passing yards, 4-5 carries, another 20-25 yards, and two touchdown passes.
Justin Fields Bears vs. Broncos(30th)
(FD-$7,200)(DK-$6,600)(Y!-$33)
The few Chicago Bears fans I know of, personally, are still coping with the first three weeks of the season. How bad it has all gotten. How quickly things have turned on their head. Most folks would say it is a coaching issue.
Meaning, in some mythical fairyland, if we were able to pluck Fields away from the Bears and place him as the starting quarterback in Kansas City he would flourish. I have always written this article about daydreaming and expanding our horizons, but this thought takes the cake.
Back in real life, the Denver Broncos did just give up 70 points to a high-end Miami Dolphins team. So, if you’re a Bears slappy then clinging to the idea of getting right or scoring, at least, 30 points isn’t that far out! That seems more likely along with the thought, "If not now, then when?"
At first look his weekly projections might not be the best but there is always room to improve. I have Fields at 16-17 completions, 195-200 passing yards, 10-11 rushing attempts, 65-70 yards, and two total touchdowns. One in the air and one on the ground.
Joe Burrow Bengals @ Titans(22nd)
(FD-$7,200)(DK-$6,500)(Y!-$33)
In Game Two of the Monday Night doubleheader, the Bengals held off the Rams to win. Joe Burrow completed 26-of-49 passes for 259 yards. That is it though. More satisfying for Cincinnati's real-life football purposes but what about us, the fake football players?
This mother-flipping calf issue is what looks to be holding Burrow back. Joe himself did say he'd be fine and all would be well if, and only if, he was allowed to just hang in the pocket. The Bengals did their best to provide him with one of those Monday but we, collectively, still need more from Joe.
This week against the Titans is when the Bengals, including Chase, Higgins, and Mixon, will get rolling. The Titans are 1-2 and barely holding on. If Cincinnati wants to be taken seriously, for real-life football purposes, then will hang 30+ points and cater to us, fake football fans.
Joe will take a big step forward this week as he completes 24-25 passes, 275-280 yards, and three touchdown passes!
Brock Purdy 49ers vs. Cardinals(25th)
(FD-$7,100)(DK-$5,900)(Y!-$28)
Brock Purdy went 25-for-37 with 310 yards and two touchdowns last week as San Fransico beat the Giants. It was a tremendous showing from Purdy on many different levels. He did everything you'd want from a fantasy perspective and showed out from a real-life perspective.
Taken directly from NextGen Stats, "the Giants blitzed Purdy 33 times in 39 dropbacks (84.6%), and the 23-year-old QB responded with the fastest throw time of his career at 2.34 seconds and two touchdown passes." Upon closer inspection of that statistic, it really is mind-blowing. Under that much stress and pressure, this kid was cool as a cucumber.
Like it or not we need to start taking Brock Purdy seriously in daily fantasy sports and in the sports betting world. Maybe, just maybe, he is a below-average NFL quarterback but the fact is that he has a top 5 player at all three important skill positions. The supporting cast of Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, and George Kittle will go a long way to helping his cause this week against the Cardinals.
While the Cardinals are still a little hung-over from that victory against Dallas look for Purdy to complete 20-21 passes, 245-250 yards, and two touchdown passes.
Kenny Pickett Steelers @ Texans(17th)
(FD-$6,800)(DK-$5,100)(Y-$22)
I am just going to ask it. Are we starting to see the emergence of Kenny Pickett as a good starting NFL quarterback? Kenny completed 16-of-28 passes for 235 yards with two touchdowns and did not throw an interception. Pickett finally delivered a performance that makes you just smile. The fact he spread the ball around to seven different players is also great!
Pittsburgh has always been a rough and tough team. They are always able to make adjustments on the fly and stick with it. The fact Kenny Pickett and the Steeler's offense looked free-flowing and comfortable is a nice sign heading into Week 4 against Houston. The fact Kenny was able to connect to Calvin Austin III on that 72-yard touchdown pass turned my head as I shouted, "Kenny, you just made Bottom of the Barrel for Week 4 of the NFL season!"
Kenny steps up big time this week in Houston as he tosses two touchdown passes on 22-23 completions for 240-245 yards. He will also move the chains a few times with his legs scrambling 4 or 5 times for an additional 15-20 yards.
Bryce Young Panthers vs. Vikings(29th)
(FD-$6,800)(DK-$5,200)(Y-$23)
Unfortunately, we are still without an update on Bryce Young's ankle injury. He's week-to-week for the time being, which isn't the best thing for a Week 4 outlook but I just want to keep an eye on him given the match-up. Worst case we can always pivot to Andy Dalton. The Red Rifle didn't look half bad in replacement of Young and yes, before you even ask Andy is also in this week's Bottom of the Barrel!
Still too early for me to project any kind of playing time for Young but as this weeks practice reports come out I will update folks as best as I can.
Matthew Stafford Rams @ Colts(28th)
(FD-$6,600)(DK-$5,700)(Y!-$30)
Monday night wasn't the best example of Matthew Stafford as we start in our Week 4 research but there were a few positives to be plucked! The fact, he spread the ball around to six different pass-catchers is nice! The idea that Sean McVay and Stafford are looking for ways to get burner Tutu Atwell involved is nice! Matthew completing 18-of-33 passes for 269 yards with one touchdown is nice.
Now the bad, and I promise I'll make it quick. It's the interceptions. Stafford threw two of them on Monday Night and in most cases, we can overlook that kind of thing but the yardage and touchdowns have to outweigh the interceptions and negatives. Los Angeles heads to Indianapolis on Sunday and should be in a much better spot, for me. I have Matthew around 280 passing yards to go along with two touchdown passes.
Other Interesting QB for NFL DFS Week 4
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