College Basketball Pick of the Day 2-11-23

West Virginia @ Texas

by Aaron Ogdahl
College Basketball Pick of the Day

When researching college basketball markets, it’s important to look at statistics such as team history, current form, injuries, and team matchups. All of this can help bettors create an edge and find value in their wagers. In my models, I've tried to reflect those aforementioned factors in an ensemble methodology.

Ensemble betting is a method of combining multiple betting strategies together to yield higher returns than any single strategy could achieve on its own. This is done by diversifying the sources of information used to make predictions and by combining different techniques for placing bets.

Using an ensemble approach can be very effective. The combination of multiple strategies with different strengths and weaknesses can reduce the overall risk. Us "Ensemblers" try to maximize the return on investment by taking advantage of the strengths of each individual strategy, while also minimizing the weaknesses.

College Basketball Pick of the Day 2-11-23

Today's game: West Virginia @ Texas

  • Spread: Texas -6.5
  • Total: 149
  • TV: ESPN2

A huge Big 12 matchup looms this Saturday between the Mountaineers of West Virginia and the Longhorns of Texas. West Virginia will be flying into Austin to try and keep their mini-win streak going as they recently dump-trucked Oklahoma 93-61 and beat a good Iowa State team, 76-71. Both of those games were at home in front of a raucous West Virginia crowd. Can they continue this hot streak and play well on the road? Let's take a look.

West Virginia comes in unranked with a record of 14-9. Not insanely impressive, but because of their defense I have them inside my top 20 power ratings using my metrics. Currently, I have them as making the NCAA tournament if the season were to end today, even being in the bottom of the Big 12.

Texas comes in at 19-5 and I have them power rated at #10.  I think they're deserving of a 2 seed in the tournament come March and they'll come into Saturday's contest hungry to avenge an 88-80 loss to Kansas.

Prediction: My model has the Longhorns as 2-point favorites at home. Let's get inside the numbers a bit...

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