Welcome to the 2-15-21 edition of the Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell series.
When it comes to dynasty baseball it’s all about getting ahead of the curve. Buying players before they rise and selling players before their decline, similar to the stock market.
This article will be focusing on both hitters and pitchers, with a more refined look at younger players and prospects who can make an impact on your dynasty team.
I will also highlight players to sell when their value is highest and you are able to get the greatest ROI (return on investment).
You can always check our amazing Dynasty Rankings to find more players to buy and sell for Dynasty Baseball.
Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell 2-15-21
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Dynasty Baseball Buy
Alex Kirilloff, OF/1B, Minnesota Twins
Alex Kirilloff is the 26th ranked prospect via MLB Pipeline. He was drafted 15th overall in the 2016 amateur draft by the Minnesota Twins. He is the prototypical corner outfielder as he stands 6’2” 195lbs with a great hit tool( 60 grade).
Kiriloff made his MLB debut in 2020 however it was in a very limited sample size. He actually made his debut in game 2 of the 2020 AL wildcard game. Kiriloff was the first player in MLB history to ever make his debut as a starter in a playoff game.
On the 80 grade scale, Kirilloff has a 60 hit and 55 power. You can see he has the plus hitting ability. He has a superfluid and smooth swing from the left side of the plate. He has great contact skills as he only has a career 15.7% K-rate in the minors.
Kirilloff has power to all fields and can drive the ball into the gaps. In 2018 he had a bit of breakout season, in which he slashed 347/392/578 20HR 75R 101RBI combined across both low and high A ball.
He is slated to spend most of his time in right field (where he debuted in 2020). However, he did spend some time at first base in the minors. So he should be able to gain multi-position eligibility in the future.
Projected as a middle of the order bat that has a chance to eventually move to the 3-hole in the order. Kirilloff is a very enticing prospect that I project hitting in the range of 290/380/500 30HR 80R +100RBI in his peak.
BUY BUY BUY!!!
Kris Bryant, 3B/OF, Chicago Cubs
Kris Bryant is a name I’m sure most readers are aware of. He broke onto the fantasy baseball scene in 2015 and went on to help the Cubs win the World Series in 2016, as well as win the NL MVP in 2016.
In 2016 we saw Bryant breakout in a big way 292/385/554 with 39HR 102RBI and a league-leading 121R, this was enough for him to win the NL MVP award.
In 2017 and 2019 he would continue to rake at the plate as he averaged 110R 30HR and 75RBI. Clearly, Bryant is an above-average hitter with a plus hit tool.
However, 2018 & 2020 were both down years. 2018 he hit 272/374/460 59-13-52 and 2020 was just an all-around awful year for him as he hit 206/293/351 20-4-11. Even in a shortened year, he was still only on a 162 game pace of 88-17-48. The power was almost non-existent in 2020.
Bryant has a great skill set and has proven that he can hit, and excel at the plate. He has a 162gm average of 111R 31HR 91RBI which is clearly a dynasty asset.
Why am I advocating buying someone who has a great young career and presumably entrenched into another league-mates lineup? Well, Bryant started to have a bit of a drop off in productivity in 2020, which is the perfect time to strike. The Bryant owner in your league could possibly be growing impatient with Bryant's inconsistencies.
Due to the inconsistencies, the horrible 2020, and the numerous rumors about him being shipped out of Chicago before the end of the 2021 season. The time to buy is now!
Orelvis Martinez, SS, Toronto Blue Jays
I'm not going to jump into the full profile, if you want to see more check out the full prospect write-up by Jason Croft.
What I will say is buy Orelvis now while he remains “under the radar”.
Dynasty Baseball Sell
Tyler Glasnow, SP, Tampa Bay Rays
Let me premise this by saying I am a big fan of Glasnow. I have had an admiration for him since his days coming up in the Pittsburgh farm system.
With that being said, the time to sell Glasnow is now. You may be asking yourself why would I want to sell a 27-year-old that just finished 2020 as a top 30 SP?
With the off-season trade of Blake Snell to San Diego, it now leaves Glasnow as the ace of the Rays staff. I'm just not certain that he is up to the task of being the ace of a rotation.
Glasnow has never exceeded 125IP in a single season, not in the major or minor leagues. So durability is a big question mark with Glasnow. I don’t envision him being able to pitch 170IP+ year after year, which you would expect out of your ace.
Another red flag is his two-pitch mix. He relies too heavily on his four-seam fastball and curveball. While very rarely throwing his change-up. His two-pitch mix does correlate to a great K%(28.5%) however he has a career 4.43ERA. Furthermore, he only induces soft contact at a rate of 18.3%. Combine that with his home in the dreaded AL East.
These are the many reasons Glasnow is someone worth selling while his stock is high (SP30 in 2020).
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