Dynasty Baseball

Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell 3-8-21

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Welcome to the 3-8-21 edition of the Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell series.

Last week was pitchers and catchers, this week it’s the full squad reporting date. Spring training is in full swing and there are baseball games being played.

2021 spring training brings a new twist. Games vary in length as the two teams decide before the game on how many innings they want to play that day.

Games are generally between 5 and 9 innings, with the majority of the early games in spring being in the 5 to 7 inning range. I hate to say it but it makes some of these spring training games easier to consume.

Now let’s look at some buy or sell options for Dynasty Baseball. Dynasty baseball can be similar to the stock market as you try to buy low and sell high or at the most opportunistic time.

Check out Dave’s incredibly deep dynasty baseball rankings to see other player’s ranks as well.

Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell 3-1-21

Click here to read last week’s Buy or Sell article

Buy

Jameson Taillon, SP, New York Yankees

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When it comes to overcoming injuries and adversity, look no further than Jameson Taillon, he has battled his way through numerous injuries some of which were a case of bad luck.

The timeline of injuries is quite shocking.

   
April 2014Tommy John Surgerymissed the 2014 season
July 2015Hernia Surgery missed the 2015 season
July 2016Hit in the head by line drive remained in the game
May 2017Diagnosed with testicular cancerstill made 25 starts
August 2019Flexor Tendon Repair & second Tommy John Surgerymissed the 2019 season

Taillon was traded in the 2021 off-season from the Pirates to the Yankees. The former 2nd overall pick has always had a high pedigree that has not reached his full potential due to all the injuries and setbacks.

Taillon features a 5-pitch mix that relies on his 4-seam fastball to setup up his slider and curveball. His slider, which he added in 2018 is his better secondary offering (27.3 whiff% in 2019). The curveball can also be a plus put-away pitch as well.

Despite having two Tommy John surgeries, the velocity has not been affected. His fastball velocity in 2015 (pre-TJ) sat 94-95 and in 2019 (post-TJ) was still sitting 94-95.

Taillon attacks the strike zone and pitches away from contact. He sports a career 21.5 K% and a 6 BB%. Including a career-best 4.1 BB% in 2016.

In his last 228.IP (2018 & 2019 combined) he held a wOBA of .294 in 2018 and .284 in 2019 both of which ranked below the league average of .318.

When looking at the career zone pitching, he lives at the bottom of the zone and hammers the slider down and in to lefties.

Taillon is looking for a new start and a change in scenery with the Yankees. He is slated to be in the middle of a very tout New York rotation.

He should be able to maintain his high K% while compiling wins and quality starts. Taillon will return SP2 numbers while being a SP3 for several years to come.

Bobby Dalbec 3B/1B, Boston Red Sox

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Bobby was drafted in the 4th round of the 2016 MLB Amateur Draft by the Boston Red Sox. He attended college at the University of Arizona where he played alongside fellow MLB players Kevin Newman and Scott Kingery.

Dalbec is ranked as Boston Red Sox 3rd prospect via MLB Pipeline. John has him ranked as the 92nd prospect on his 2021 prospect list. Dave has him ranked 210th overall in his most recent 2021 dynasty rankings.

In 2015 the power really came into form as he led the 2015 Cape Cod league in HR with 12. More than the 2020 AL rookie of the year Kyle Lewis.

Dalbec’s power profile is what really has me excited. In 2017 he hit 13 HR in 85 games. In 2018 he exploded for 32 HR in 129 games across both High-A and Double-A. 2019 he hit 27 HR in 135 games across both Double-A and Triple-A.

In his debut in 2020 for Boston, he blasted his way to eight home runs in 23 games. He has an above-average launch angle (14.8) that ranked top 50 in all of MLB for 2020.

The swing and miss concerns are real (42.4 K% in 2020). That will be something to watch as his career goes on and whether or not he can make the necessary adjustments.

Even with the high K%, he was still able to slash .263/.359/.600,  .959 OPS and a 152 wRC+ in 2020. He has started 2021 right where he left off in 2020. He is off to a blazing start in spring training (4-10, 3 HR/5 R/4 RBI).

Bobby Dalbec has an elite power bat that can hit 30 HRs with 180 R+RBI a year in his prime.

Sell

Hunter Greene, SP, Cincinnati Reds

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Greene is a young (21yo) RHP pitcher in the Reds organization, he was drafted 2nd overall in the 2017 MLB amateur draft by the Cincinnati Reds.

He is ranked as the #2 prospect in the Reds system via MLB Pipeline. He is ranked #64 on John’s 2021 prospect list and #419 in Dave’s Dynasty Rankings.

One thing is for certain, his arm is electric, reaches 100+ with ease. He consistently repeats his delivery and regularly sits 97-102 mph. While the velocity is there, the movement is not.

The fastball is his calling card but he has yet to develop a plus secondary pitch. He lacks that solid above-average put-away pitch, his slider has flashed at times but he has yet to work and refine his changeup.

In April of 2019, he went under the knife and had Tommy John surgery, and missed the entire 2019 season. Then in 2020 minor leagues were canceled due to COVID-19 concerns. As a result, he hasn’t had a chance to throw competitive innings in the past two years.

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Unfortunately between not having the experience from the past two seasons, and the lack of a true put-away pitch. I believe his career path is that of a back of the end bullpen arm. This is not a true death sentence for dynasty leagues, but I would prefer to sell him to another owner.


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About Jason Beckner

Jason is based in Chicago. He is a baseball junkie. He eats, sleeps, & breathes baseball. Has a passion for dynasty formatted leagues. All opinions expressed are that of his own. You can follow Jason on twitter at @JRBecks

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