Welcome to the 4-5-21 edition of Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell. Be sure to check out all of our Dynasty Baseball content all year long.
PLAY BALL! We made it. Opening Day is finally here, and there are meaningful games being played. Spring Training is behind us; the cold and snowy winter is in our rear-view mirror, and crisp bright spring and summer are here to stay.
Opening weekend saw some satisfying moments. Walk-off home runs, extra-inning games, a bench-clearing brawl, a player starting a perfect 8-8 to begin his career, and many other notable moments.
The best or nothing.
— MLB (@MLB) April 4, 2021
Unfortunately, there was also an opening series that was postponed due to COVID concerns. So that was a reminder that COVID concerns are real and MLB is taking all the necessary precautions in order to keep the season on track.
Now let’s take a look at some players worth buying and selling. Make sure to check out Dave's freshly updated 900+ Dynasty Rankings.
Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell 4-5-21
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Randy Arozarena, OF, Tampa Bay Rays
Randy Exploded onto the baseball scene during the 2020 playoff and World Series run by the Rays. If you’re not familiar, he hit a record-breaking 10HR in 20 games while slashing 377/442/831.
Many people want to frown at his postseason breakout, claiming the sample size is too small. Which I can agree with to an extent. However, when you look deeper that is far from the truth.
Randy Arozarena, hitter of dingers, bringer of joy pic.twitter.com/sDmNOcHhmk
— Céspedes Family BBQ (@CespedesBBQ) October 18, 2020
During his time in the St. Louis Minor League system, his wRC+ increased year after year from .124 in 2017 to .150 in 2019. The wOBA also increased from .357 in 2017 to .409 in 2019. Even at the major league level, the wOBA increased as well (.380 in 2019 to .422 in 2020).
His 17% K rate and 9% BB rate in 2017 and 18% K rate and 9.5% BB rate in 2019 showcase the above-average plate discipline. He was able to drop his SwStr% down to an abysmal 8.5% in 2019.
Randy is entering his 26-year-old season and is on the doorstep of his prime years. He is set to be the number 3 hitter for the Rays, and has the ability to spray the ball to all fields. His right-handed swing is full of power that generates tons of hard contact (44.2% hard-hit rate in 2020).
Another great attribute that Randy can bring to the table is his speed. He currently ranks in the 93rd percentile for sprint speed and was able to swipe 61 bags across 3 levels in 326 games in the minors.
Randy should easily be able to reach 20/20 consistently while batting in the 270 range while having a wRC+ of 125+ for the next several seasons.
Aaron Bracho, 2B, Cleveland Indians
The switching hitting Cleveland prospect is someone to take note of. He is listed at 5’11” 175lb, so a bit on the slight side. However, what he lacks in size he makes up for with his hit tool.
He makes solid contact but the power hasn’t quite been there. Although only being 19 he has room to grow, so the power numbers should increase as he continues to bulk up.
#Indians 19yr old switch hitting (2B) prospect Aaron Bracho hitting BP bombs back home in Venezuela. Bracho's bat is the real deal & should get every bit of the same hype as George Valera. #OurTribe #Future ???? pic.twitter.com/X8wp2Dor00
— Guardians Prospective (@CleGuardPro) January 8, 2021
Bracho is currently ranked as Cleveland’s 9th best prospect according to MLB Pipeline and is ranked 213th on Dave’s Dynasty rankings.
Bracho was signed by the Indians in the 2017 international free agency period. In fact, he was scheduled to make his pro debut in 2018. However, that quickly changed as he was sidelined with a broken arm and ended up missing the entire 2018 season.
In 2019 he was healthy and made his debut. In 30 games he went on to slash 296/416/593 with an OPS of 1.0009 and complied 6HR, 25RBI and scored 29 R.Once fully developed he will be a middle infielder that will be able to contribute a high batting average with modest power. Ideally, he would hit .280-.290 with 20+ home runs.
Jose Abreu, 1B, Chicago White Sox
Let me preface this by saying that Jose is someone that I am really high on. I think he is a great heart of the order bat that produces 30 HR and 100RBI+. In addition, he has a career slash line of .294/.350/.520 coupled with 33 HR and 113 RBI based on a 162gm average. As you can see, the productivity is obviously at an elite level.
Even in an abbreviated 2020, Abreu won the AL MVP award. He was able to lead the league in slugging (.617), hits (76), RBI (60), and total bases (148).
Furthermore, in both 2019 and 2020, he was in the top 8th and 4th percentile for HardHit% respectively. Therefore his exit velocity has consistently been in the top 5% of the league averaging anywhere from 90-93mph.
All of the statistics, combined with the advanced metrics and accolades, are the main reason why it is time to sell high. Abreu is now entering his age-34 season. Therefore at some point in the near future, productivity is going to decline.
As of right now, I would be looking to sell Abreu when his value is at an all-time high. You should be able to get several productive players in return. Prospects and/or young players that can continue to produce for your team.
Please check out last week's Dynasty Buy or Sell.
Check out the rest of our 2021 Fantasy Baseball content from our great team of writers