Dynasty Baseball

Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell 5-10-21

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Welcome to the the 5-10-21 edition of Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell

It is the middle of May, and things are heating up for Dynasty owners. Many MLB teams are now beginning to call up their top prospects. We have already seen a half dozen or so top prospects be called up to join their big league clubs. Names such as Alex Kirilloff, Shane McClanahan, Daniel Lynch, Kyle Isbel, and Luis Patino, ust to name a few.

This is just the beginning, too, as many teams will be forced to call up top prospects due to either injury on the major league teams or because their hand is forced to pounce on top prospects continuing to excel at the minors. Whatever the case may be, I am excited and love seeing all these top prospects given the chance to make an impact.

If you want to learn more about which top prospects are being called up or are on the verge of getting the call, be sure to check out my top prospect weekly report that comes out every Tuesday.

Now, let’s jump into this week’s Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell.

Be sure to check out last week’s Buy or Sell article.

Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell 5-10-21

Buy

Corbin Martin, RHP, Arizona Diamondbacks

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The one-time surefire SP3 for the Houston Astros was dealt away in the deal that sent Zack Greinke to Houston. At the time of the deal, he was starting to develop as a middle-of-the-rotation type arm before being sidelined by injury.

Martin features a solid repertoire with his four-pitch mix.  While the fastball is his bread and butter that features lots of late movement and sits mid-90s. Both of his breaking balls (curveball & slider) are above average putaway pitches. His changeup is more of a fourth option and while average at times, he has recently put in the effort to try and develop and maximize the changeup usage.

The strikeout upside has always been a big part of Martin’s game, even dating back to his time at Texas A&M. His strikeout ability continued when he was in the Astros minor league system as well. Displayed by his 218K in 196.2IP.

Unfortunately for Martin, his 2019 debut season was cut short after just 19IP when he had forearm tightness and ended up having Tommy John surgery. Shortly thereafter he was then traded to Arizona. Now in 2021 fully recovered from Tommy John, he is hoping to make an impact for the Diamondbacks.

Martin was trying to win an opening day rotation spot. However, after a mediocre spring training, the Diamondbacks wanted to see more out of Martin and ultimately sent him to Triple-A.

I would be looking to buy Martin as he has the strikeout capabilities and the ability to throw strikes and limits walks. His 2.65 career FIP in the minors shows that he should be able to pitch at the highest level. Therefore should have no trouble producing as an SP3.

Nolan Gorman, 3B, St. Louis Cardinals

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St. Louis’ second overall prospect and number one hitting prospect, has all the makings of the next hot corner staple. Gorman was the Cardinals’ first round pick in the 2018 MLB Amateur Draft. Gorman is currently ranked at #243 in Dave’s Dynasty Rankings.

He was one of the top high school bats in the 2018 draft. Then he started off his professional career with a bang as he went on to hit seventeen home runs across two levels in 2018. Then in 2019, during his first full season with the organization, he hit 15 home runs with 62 RBIs.

Gorman even displayed power while with the big league club, hitting home runs in both 2019 and 2020 spring training.

Unfortunately for Gorman, the Cardinals just traded for another Nolan. Maybe you’ve heard of him? This past offseason, the team traded for Nolan Arenado, a player who has presumably blocked Nolan Gorman’ s path to the big league club for the foreseeable future. It eventually caused the Cardinals to move Gorman over to second base.

The move was accepted with open arms from Gorman. As he even reached out to former Red Sox second baseman Dustin Pedoria for tips on how to handle the keystone. Aside from working on his move to second base, Gorman has also been working on cutting down on his swing and miss concerns.

Gorman’s left-handed swing generates easy power. The hope is that he will be able to develop his in-game power. Gorman projects as a middle-of-the-order bat that will produce runs. I would be looking at add before his power numbers really take off in 2021.

Sell

Aroldis Chapman. LHP, New York Yankees

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Arguably the top closer in today’s game. Chapman is currently 34th on the all-time saves list and 3rd amongst all active closers with 283 career saves. Furthermore, he has the third-most saves in all of baseball since 2014.

The majority of Chapman’s success is due to the fact that he has an absolute cannon of an arm. He can easily reach triple digits. The elite-level velocity has given him elite-level strikeout numbers. He is currently in the top 1% of the league in K%, and in the past 6 years is consistently in the top 5% of the league or better.

Furthermore, Chapman excels at every positive advanced metric, he is currently in the top 1% of xBA, xSLG, wOBA, xwOBA, xERA, and whiff%. In addition to that he only has 34 blown saves in his career and has never had more than 5 blown saves in a single season.

Selling Chapman now is an obvious sell-high candidate. While the saves and K% is the best in all of baseball, he is now entering his twelfth season and is 33 years old. At some point in the near future, this great ride will come to an abrupt end.



Selling in Dynasty is all about selling before the regression comes or at the highest point. I feel as if the return you can receive for Chapman now will be the best you can receive compared to in a year or two.


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About Jason Beckner

Jason is based in Chicago. He is a baseball junkie. He eats, sleeps, & breathes baseball. Has a passion for dynasty formatted leagues. All opinions expressed are that of his own. You can follow Jason on twitter at @JRBecks

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  1. Pingback: Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell 5-17-21 - Fantasy Six Pack

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