Dynasty Baseball

Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell 5-3-21

on

Welcome to the 5-3-21 edition of Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell, where we go through

With the many different rule changes that have been implemented over the past year, the one rule that I absolutely miss is the universal DH. The one rule that I despise the most is the seven-inning double-headers. While they make a lot of sense in theory, there are some outlining issues that make the seven-inning twin billings not so much fun.

Does a no-hitter in a seven-inning game count as a no-hitter? Why do I ask? That is exactly what happened to Madison Bumgarner this past week when he started a game that was a part of a doubleheader and went the distance (7 IP) with no hits allowed.

Many baseball purists want to say it does not count, seeing as it was just seven innings and not nine. I must be one of those purists because, in my opinion, this does not count as a true no-hitter. You let me know what you think in the comments below. Was it a valid no-hitter or not?

Now let’s take a look at some players worth buying and selling in Dynasty Formats.

 

Take a look at last week’s article as well.

 

 

Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell 5-3-21

 

Buy

Grayson Rodriguez, RHP, Baltimore Orioles

Embed from Getty Images

Grayson was the 11th overall pick in the 2018 MLB Amateur Draft by the Baltimore Orioles. The towering 6’5” right-handed hurler is currently ranked as Baltimore’s #2 prospect behind only Rutschman via MLB Pipeline. He is currently ranked 224th on Dave’s Dynasty Rankings.

As you can see Grayson is ranked as a top prospect that has a lot of upside. In his first full professional season in Single A, Grayson went 10-4 with a 2.68 ERA and 129 K in 94 IP. That also included a perfect inning in the 2019 Futures Game.

Grayson continues to perfect his four-pitch mix that features an above-average fastball that can reach high-90s. The changeup is currently his best secondary option that is thrown in the low 80s, while his slider is the better breaking option.

The cancelation of the 2020 Minor League season has slightly slowed his development, as it did for many players. However, he was a part of the Baltimore Alternate Training Site, So he was able to continue to work with the other top prospects and players within the organization.

Still just 21 years old, he may not make his debut for at least another year or so. Despite this, he has the size, repertoire, and overall make-up to be a future ace. I would be looking to buy where possible.

 

Franmil Reyes, OF/DH, Cleveland Indians

Embed from Getty Images

One of the major pieces included in the blockbuster three-team trade that sent Trevor Bauer to the Reds at the 2019 deadline, Reyes was set free in Cleveland and finally saw the field. Before the trade, Reyes was stuck behind a crowded outfield in San Diego despite performing well at the minor league level.

The big (6’5” 265 lbs) right-handed outfielder has always had a knack for hitting the ball out of the field. Reyes hit 84 HR in 2933 PA during his time in the minor leagues. That equates to 1 HR for every 34 PA, or 1 HR a week.

eyes took his power to the majors when he debuted for San Diego in 2018 with 16 HR in 285 PA, good for a 9.7 offWAR. After his first season, Reyes enjoyed a huge power breakout, hitting 37 HR with an OPS of .822. While the swing-and-miss is a bit of a concern (career 29 K%), the power is most certainly not.

Aside from the power, Reyes also has a decent hit tool. He is able to maintain a batting average in the .260-.280 range. Hitting at that clip, you can see why I am so high on this guy’s potential for power. Since 2018, both his average and maximum exit velocity rank in the top 5% of the league every year.  Combine that with his 50% hard-hit rate and you end up with mammoth power numbers.

The breakout is still going strong so far in 2021. He has raised his slugging percent by almost 200 points since 2018. So far in 2021 Reyes ranks second overall in Barrel% behind only Ohtani. That’s better than Bryce Harper, Nelson Cruz, Aaron Judge, and even Mike Trout.

Reyes is only 25 years old; he should continue to develop even further. I would project Reyes to hit in the .275 range with the potential to mash 40+ HR a season for the next several years.

 

Sell

Victor Robles, OF, Washington Nationals

Embed from Getty Images

Boy oh boy, where do I begin? Tell me if you have heard this before: a top outfield prospect fails to live up to the hype. Robles was once ranked as a top-ten prospect while in the minors, at one point ranked as the second overall prospect.

Unfortunately, his time in the majors has been nothing but a succession of failures. While time is on his side, (he turns 24 on May 19th) Robles has done nothing to help his cause since making his debut in 2017.

Robles did have a bit of a breakout season in 2019 while helping the Nationals win the World Series, falling just three home runs shy of the 20/20 club. He finished with 17 HR, 28 SB, and 151/R+RBI.

That one season, however, is the only highlight of Robles’ career. If you look into his advanced stats, it gets real ugly. His StatCast page is utterly littered with blue boxes (blue = bad). His exit velo, barrel%, and xwOBA all rank in the bottom 4% of the league.

Furthermore, he has never hit above .290, nor has he ever had an xBA above .250. Robles has also had only one season with a wRC+ above 100 (100 is considered league average). Delving even deeper, his hardhit% has never been above 30%, and since 2019 has been in the bottom 4% of the league.

While he can offer stolen base upside, he has only had one season with more than 25SB. Robles has also seen a decrease in sprint speed since 2017. He currently ranks in the 76th percentile in sprint speed, down from 100th percentile in 2017.

I would be looking to sell Robles now while he still has some worth, and before the regression continues even further.



 

Make sure to bookmark our Fantasy Baseball page for great content all season long.

About Jason Beckner

Jason is based in Chicago. He is a baseball junkie. He eats, sleeps, & breathes baseball. Has a passion for dynasty formatted leagues. All opinions expressed are that of his own. You can follow Jason on twitter at @JRBecks

Recommended for you

1 Comment

  1. Pingback: Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell 5-10-21 - Fantasy Six Pack

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.