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Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell 7-19-21

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Welcome to the Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell 7-19-21

We are back. I hope everyone enjoyed the All-Star Break and got to take in all the events that MLB had to offer this past week. Whether it be the Home Run Derby, the Celebrity Softball Game, the Futures Game, the MLB Draft, or even the All-Star Game itself.

My personal favorite is the Futures Game, especially as a Dynasty Baseball enthusiast. I get to see first hand many of the top prospects go head to head in an exhibition game. You get to see top pitching prospects face off against the game’s top hitting prospects. It can be more entertaining than the MLB All-Star Game altogether. Let me know what you favorite part of the All-Star break was in the comments below.

Beer of the Week: Riverlands Brewing Neon River

 

Now let’s get into the Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell 7-19-21

Be sure to check out last week’s edition of Buy or Sell.

Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell 7-19-21

 

Buy

Jared Walsh, 1B, Los Angeles Angels

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There is a new slugger on the Los Angeles that you need to know about. No, its not Shohei Ohtani, nor is it Mike Trout. It is Jared Walsh, the former 39th round draft pick in 2015 is making a name for himself in 2021.

He is currently slashing .278/.336/.556 with 22 HR, 47 R, 65 RBI, and two stolen bases. His 22 HR is good enough for top-5 in the American League and top-10 in all of baseball. The power numbers are not out of the ordinary as he hit 29 HR in 2018 across three levels. He then followed that up with 36 HR in 2019 for Triple-A as well.

Its not only the power that makes him an enticing prospect. He also has advanced bat-to-ball skills. He has only hit lower than .25o once in his professional career, and that was during his debut season in 2019 when he appeared in 34games.

When we look at his advanced stats you can see why he has been so successful. His xSLG, xISO, Barrels, Brl% all rank in the top 30% of the league, while his max exit velo ranks in the top 6% of the league.

Walsh is absolutely destroying off-speed pitches. He is currently hitting 375 with a wOBA of .493 against off-speed pitches. He has also hit 22% of his home runs against off-speed pitches.

Walsh was struggling to receive at-bats with Albert Pujols manning first base. However Pujols was released in the middle of May, which opened up all the playing time for Walsh. Since Pujols was released Walsh has hit 15HR with 31 runs scored and 36 runs batted in, and maintained a .351 wOBA.

Walsh is entering his prime years of his career and has a guaranteed playing time. He will be able to contribute 30HR & 100RBI with good ratios for the next several seasons. Buy him now while the price tag remains relatively low.

 

Jordan Hicks, RHP, St. Louis Cardinals

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If you are looking for a cheap young option for saves, then look no further than Hicks. While he is not the Cardinals closer at the moment. That will change in the near future.

Hicks is a flame-throwing right-handed reliever that the Cardinals are very high on, and rightfully so. He was drafted in the 2015 MLB Amateur Draft by the Cardinals. Once being drafted Hicks made quick work of the minor leagues. Hicks jumped from Advanced-A to the Majors as a 21-year-old in 2018.

Hicks has held a closer role in the past. Since joining the Cardinals major league roster in 2018 he has closed 27 games and only has one blown save since the beginning of 2019.

Hicks has the repertoire to excel in high leverage situations. He features a triple-digit sinker, a cutter with late great movement and an occasional changeup. While he mainly relies on the sinker, it comes with great results. His ground ball rate has never been below 60% and is at an all-time best of 71% in 2021.

While Hicks is currently on the IL and possibly out for the remainder of the season and Alex Reyes is closing games for the red birds. The price tag on Hicks has never been lower.

The Cardinals want Reyes back in the rotation for the future and with Hicks coming back healthy in 2022. He should slide right back into the closer role and be closing or holding 30+ games a year.

 

 

Sell

Mark Canha, OF, Oakland Athletics

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Mark is your prototypical Billy Beane-type player: high OBP without the flashy stats or name recognition. However the former seventh-round pick might be having a mid-career breakout.

However the term mid-career breakout, is not s term that many Dynasty players want to hear. Mark made his debut with Athletics in 2015. Unfortunately, after a great rookie season, Canha did not see success again until 2019 as a 3o-year-old.

Now in his age 32 season he is showing success again. He is currently slashing 255/376/447 with 11HR, 55R, 33RBI, and 7SB. He is currently on pace to hit 20HR+ and score a career-high in runs.

While the counting stats are great, the advanced stats project a different player. He is not making a ton of good contact. His hard-hit rate of 41% is just league average as it ranks in the 50th percentile.

Furthermore his xBA is only .245 and ranks as league average as well. This also signifies that his .255 BA is what we can expect from Canha.

Fresh off the IL this past weekend. I would be looking to sell Canha while his price tag remains high and worthy of a solid return on investment.

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About Jason Beckner

Jason is based in Chicago. He is a baseball junkie. He eats, sleeps, & breathes baseball. Has a passion for dynasty formatted leagues. All opinions expressed are that of his own. You can follow Jason on twitter at @JRBecks

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