2019 Fantasy Baseball Week 17 Holds Targets: The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly

by Travis Argo
Dynasty Baseball Buy or Sell

In this week's edition of 2019 Fantasy Baseball Week 17 Holds Targets, I suggest a few streaming pitchers from a good team, a bad team and an ugly.

You figure out which one is which, and if you guess correctly, I'll pretend to send you the nonexistent grand prize.

Need help with getting an advantage in the saves department then check out the closer chart.

2019 Fantasy Baseball Week 17 Holds Targets

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David Phelps, Toronto Blue Jays

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David Phelps is fresh off the 60 day IL, and his elbow looks to be healed since he has been pitching lights out, 2.30 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, and 16 strikeouts.

In his last seven games, he has 1.13 ERA, 0.88 WHIP, and 8 strikeouts. Fantasy owners need to ride Phelp's hot streak because it's only going to get better since he is on the road.

The Blues Jays have two winnable roads series against Kansas City and Baltimore, and on the road is when Phelps is elite on the mound (1.13 ERA, 2.59 FIP).

The Royals matchup favors Phelps significantly since he has a career 2.48 FIP against Kansas City. So far this season, Royals batters have a .200 AVG, and a .209 WOBA when facing Phelps.

Paul Fry, Baltimore Orioles

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Paul Fry had a rough start to the season. In the first half of the season, he had a 4.29 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, and 17 earned runs. That horrible start led to him being sent back down to the minors.

Fry is back in the majors and has corrected his mechanics. In his last seven games, he has a 1.23 ERA, 0.68 WHIP, one save, and allowed only one hit.

The low scoring Orioles have chance to earn some victories against their Week 17 opponents, the San Diego Padres and the Toronto Blue Jays.

Their matchup against Toronto puts Fry in the best situation to succeed. It's a home series, and Fry has 3.10 FIP in home games. The Blues Jays have lit Fry up this season, .316 AVG, .409 OBP, and .379 WOBA.

That stat line is a very effective deterrent on using Paul Fry, but I believe that he'll continue this recent success since coming back from the minors.

Jose Alvarez, Philadelphia Phillies

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The Phillies' bullpen has not been great this season. They have one of the worst FIPs (5.05) in baseball. They're going  to rely on the few good pitchers in their bullpen if they want to stay in the race for the wildcard spot. The one weapon that they'll use a great deal in Week 17 is Jose Alvarez.

Alvarez is having a moderate start this year, 3.15 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 33 strikeouts. Nothing to brag about but competent enough to be useful for Fantasy owners.

In Week 17 Alvarez will face against the Giants and the White Sox. The San Francisco series should be the series where Alvarez will get most of his usage. The Giants are one of the hottest offenses since the All-Star break, and Phillies can't afford to lose this series.

Other than Hector Neris, the left-handed pitchers are the only pitchers in the Phillies bullpen who can get outs. The Giants are loaded with lefties, so, both Alvarez and Adam Morgan will be relied on to keep leads. I give Alvarez a slight edge over  Morgan since Alvarez has a better FIP (Albarez 3.27 FIP, Morgan 4,86 FIP) against right-handed batters; so he should get more of a workload against San Francisco.

Just like Paul Fry, Jose Alvarez has been on a hot streak. In his last 15 games, he has a 2.87 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, and 16 strikeouts. He has only allowed two hits in his previous seven games.

If Paul Fry scares then take the chance on Jose Alvarez since he is a pitcher on a hot streak and on a better team.

Freddy Peralta, Milwaukee Brewers

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Peralta, as a starting pitcher, did not work out this season. It did not work for the Brewers, and it certainly did not work out for Fantasy owners. Peralta has been moved to the bullpen, and it's been the best thing to happen to him.

As a relief pitcher, Peralta has a 2.25 ERA, 3.13 FIP, and 39 strikeouts. He even earned his first career save since being moved out of the starting rotation.

The Brewers have tough road games against Oakland and Chicago Cubs. Peralta has been useful on the road as a relief pitcher, 3.00 ERA, and 2.89 FIP.

It's small sample size, but Peralta has faced 10 batters in high leverage situations; he struck out five of those batters and allowed only one hit. It seems he can handle the pressure as a relief pitcher, but can't handle the pressure as a starter.

The moral of the Peralta story, the fewer innings he pitches, the better it is for everyone, especially for the Brewers.

Want to see where these players rank at their position for the rest of the season? Take a look at the latest updated version of the 2019 Fantasy Baseball Rest of Season Rankings

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