Fantasy Football

Fantasy Football 2014 QB Preview

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Fantasy Football season is right around the corner folks. Some of you have already drafted, while most of you will be drafting sometime in the next month. Over the next few days Keenan and I will be releasing our fantasy football position previews for the skill positions. So read up and get prepared for your fantasy football season.

Quarterback every season is a huge topic of debate. In single QB leagues, some feel it is necessary to draft one of the “stud” quarterbacks, Peyton Manning, Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers, while others will wait for theirs. It is hard to argue with those of you want to draft one of those top guys when you look at the season point totals put up each year by the top quarterbacks. It is nice to go into a week with a guy that can easily score you 30+ fantasy points, however, I’m going to have to disagree with this strategy. I think waiting is the way to go. Keep in mind that every season we seem to have guys drafted in the later rounds or possibly not drafted at all, Nick Foles to mention one, finish in the top 10 or even top 5 of f antasy quarterback rankings. Yes it takes a bit of luck to find those guys, but keep this in mind. Except for Peyton Manning and Drew Brees last year who had incredible seasons, Manning setting a record with 55 passing TDs and Brees throwing for 5,000 yards again, there was a 57 point difference in total points between the third ranked and eighteenth ranked quarterback. That is a week to week average of 3.5 points. So if you take a chance on your quarterback early and don’t land one that is going to put up ridiculous numbers you pretty much are on an even playing field with your opponent for quarterback, but put yourself in a hole for the other positions.

1. After the top three (Manning, Rodgers, Brees), which QB do you most want to own?
Aaron Rodgers (GB)If round that they were being drafted was thrown out of the question, it would be Matthew Stafford. Two seasons ago he threw for 5,000 yards and last year he had a good season, despite dealing with a banged up Calvin Johnson for most of the year and having his second and third leading receivers be running backs Reggie Bush and Joique Bell. This offseason they added weapons for Stafford to throw to in Golden Tate and Eric Ebron. Add that to a healthy Megatron and his running back duo and I think Stafford is in for a great season, one that could potentially challenge Brees and Rodgers for a spot in the top three.

2. Will RG3 and Matt Ryan bounce back from disappointing campaigns?
The short answer is yes they can, but I will go into detail. Let me start with Matt Ryan. The Falcons were a mess last year with injuries to receivers Julio Jones and Roddy White. Not to mention Steven Jackson looked old and slow, not helping Ryan out at all. This year he does lose hall of fame tight end Tony Gonzalez, but will be getting his star receivers back, and getting Devonta Freeman to go along side Steven Jackson could be huge.

Now to Robert Griffin III. I think it is safe to say that he should not have rushed back last season. He did not look like himself early on and it only seemed to get worse as the season progressed, he was pulled from the starting job late it the season, and I for one agreed with the decision. Getting a full offseason to work and prepare with his team should prove to be very beneficial for RGIII. Especially since he is having to learn a new offense with new head coach Jay Gruden in town. He’ll also have another star receiver to throw to besides Pierre Garcon in DeSean Jackson and a good third complimentary piece, Andre Roberts. Don’t forget that Jordan Reed will be returning this season as well. With a full complement of weapons and being healthy, I think RGIII can do some special things this season. Let’s not forget what Jay Gruden was able to do with Andy Dalton last year, who finished as the 5th ranked quarterback in fantasy.

3. Can Nick Foles repeat his 2013 performance?
Foles carried me to a championship last year, when I finally pulled the trigger on starting him over my drafted RGIII. Tough decision as a Skins fan, but you can’t play fantasy football with your heart or you will lose. In the final 13 games last year, Foles threw 27 touchdowns to only two interceptions. To say he will repeat that I think would be crazy. He is good, and in a very good system, but those are numbers you just don’t see. The offense is going to be a bit different this year too. Foles is gaining Jeremy Maclin and Darren Sproles, great for his fantasy outlook, but lost DeSean Jackson to the Redskins. As much as DJax was apparently a virus in the locker room, he performed on the field. I think Foles can still do well, but to expect him to perform at the level he did last year is a bit optimistic.

Under-Valued
Matt Ryan (ATL)Matt Ryan (ATL) – As I mentioned above, the return of his receiver weapons, a younger running back now on the roster to back up Steven Jackson, will have him back on track this year and finish higher than his current ADP as the 10th quarterback taken.

Russell Wilson (SEA) – Wilson finished as the eighth ranked quarterback in 2013, and yet it still being taken as the 3thquarterback, not even in QB1 range in 12 team leagues. I get it, I really do. The Seahawks run a lot, most in the NFL over the last two seasons. I still think they run a lot this season, but not as much with Marshawn Lynch not being able to handle the workload of years past. Add in a finally healthy Percy Harvin and Wilson could easily be a top 10 QB again.

Over-Valued
Tom Brady (NE) – It’s Tom Brady so of course somebody is going to think he’ll be able to beat all the odds again and be a top fantasy QB. But let’s be honest with ourselves, it very unlikely to happen. Danny Amendola can’t stay healthy and we can’t expect Julian Edelman to repeat his 105 reception season. Rob Gronkowski is his best option by far, but at this point how much can we really count on him to play. Brady is lacking the weapons on offense to be a QB1 this season, just like last year, when he finished just outside of QB1 status.



Cam Newton (CAR) – Talking about not having any weapons, Newton is actually in a worse spot than Tom Brady. The Panthers let their top four receivers walk this offseason. They drafted Kelvin Benjamin, but I don’t trust rookie wide receivers and that’s not going to change this season, especially Benjamin. The best weapon Cam has is himself. He led all quarterbacks in rushing points last season with 88 and that will have to continue, despite having surgery on his ankle, for him to keep his value up.

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About Joe Bond

Not just another "Average Joe" when it comes to Fantasy Sports, he is the fantasy brain trust behind the FantasySixPack.net website. Joe is one of the Experts included in the FantasyPros Consensus Rankings for Football, Baseball and Basketball and finished well each year. You can find him on Twitter, @F6P_Joe, where he is waiting by the keyboard for your question.

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