Fantasy Football QBs 2022: Who Will Unseat Rodgers as the MVP?

by Andy Stitzer
2019 NFL Week 11 ThriveFantasy Picks

There is still plenty of time left in the offseason, but it feels like it's never too early to start preparing for our fantasy football drafts. Today, let's look at some of the top QBs that should be on your roster in the 2022-2023 season.

Should the reigning MVP be on your shortlist, and does he have a legitimate chance at repeating as NFL MVP? Let's dive deeper and see. 

Joe Burrow No. 5 

Because of that old knee, people are steering clear of the new 'Joe Cool.' However, he shed the knee brace and is looking like he'll be moving off the 'Q' status soon. 

Joe Burrow is a winner. He took the Bengals straight to the Super Bowl last year, and he's only going to build from there. We won't see a sophomore slump out of him as he'll be an NFL junior in 2022-2023. 

There are a lot of upsides to Joe Burrow this upcoming season. However, he has a demanding schedule that keeps him around the No. 5 or even No. 6 draft position for me. Still, he has some new upgrades to his O-line, and after last year's performance, he'll get to chuck the rock downfield even more in 2022. 

I would take him as my top few choices, but I wouldn't shy away from him either as some models have him leading the league in passing in 2022.

No. 4 Lamar Jackson

You could say that kind of like how the UFC figured out Rhonda Rousey and Connor MacGregor; the NFL has figured out the conundrum that is Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Raven’s offense—kind of. 

Lamar Jackson is one of those players who seems to improve by leaps and bounds each offseason. That said, he was out the last four games of the 2022 season due to a bum ankle, so he may have some catching up to do this time around. However, I think that missing the end of the season will light a fire under his butt, and we'll see him come back laser-focused. 

If some of the other guys we are about to mention are off the board, you can trust that Lamar Jackson will provide plenty in 2022!

No. 3 Patrick Mahomes

The Grim Reaper still has a ton of weapons and one of the best coaches ever to coach the game of football. It's interesting that I have him at No. 3, and BetOnline.Ag has him 3rd in line to win NFL MVP. He's also tied for 1st on some other bookmakers odds board for throwing the most passing yards in 2022—right next to Tom Brady and Mathew Stafford. 

If you're playing in a Superflex league, you could get away with moving him up to a first-round draft pick even with Tyreek Hill heading off to the land of bikinis, beachfront nightclubs, and Cuban sandwiches. He has JuJu Smith-Schuster added into the mix, so I don't think we'll see much of a fall-off in completions. Plus, it should be noted that in two of the last four seasons, Patrick Mahomes has dropped an average of 29.9 fantasy points per game on opposing defenses.

No. 2 Justin Herbert

Bookmakers have Justin Herbert sitting with +800 odds to finish the regular season with the most passing yards in the NFL. This number is significant because I have him modeled only to be outgunned by Joe Burrow and Tom Brady. 

I expect Herbert to drop over 4500 yards in 2022. This is enough to propel your fantasy team to plenty of wins—assuming you don't blow it on the rest of your picks. He's also +550 over at Betonline to win the NFL MVP, second on their odds boards only to Josh Allen.

No. 1 Josh Allen

We saw that Josh Allen was the real deal last season. I believe he'll drop over 4000 yards on defenses in 2022, but he'll also pick up more passing touchdowns than last season. Josh Allen is my QB1 choice for the upcoming year ... that said, good luck getting him because in most fantasy formats, he'll be everyone else's No. 1 pick as well.

Last year, he averaged almost three points more than any other QB in expected fantasy points, and I wouldn't at all be surprised if this year, his actual points outshine last year's expected points average—26.7.

Sean McDermott is hitting his stride in Buffalo, and Josh Allen has found a fantastic counterpart in Stefon Diggs. If he's on the board when your pick rolls around, snatch him up and never look back.


Aaron Rodgers won't repeat as the league MVP. However, he's still a solid top 10 pick for your fantasy leagues. If you could get him or any of Jalen Hurts, Kyler Murray, Matt Stafford, or Dak Prescott—all honorable mentions—you'll still be in a solid place for your QB1. If you could grab any combination for QB1 and QB2, you'll be killing it with the ability to interchange them depending on the matchup. 

But as for the League MVP title, my money is on Justin Herbert and Josh Allen.

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