Minnesota Twins Trade Luis Arraez to Miami Marlins

Pablo Lopez & Prospects to Twins

by Alex Welch
Luis Arraez Traded to Miami Marlins

The trade rumors turned out to be true. The Minnesota Twins trade Luis Arraez to the Miami Marlins in exchange for starting pitcher Pablo Lopez, shortstop Jose Salas and outfielder Byron Chourio. What impact will this have on the 2023 Fantasy Baseball season?

Polarizing reactions immediately came from the baseball community. Some said the deal made sense for both teams, while others questioned the return the Marlins received.

Overall, the general consensus seemed to be that the Marlins didn't quite get enough value in return.

The Twins certainly sold high on Arraez, an All-Star and the American League batting champion last season, Arraez brings a career .314 batting average to Miami and the ability to play multiple positions. Lopez is coming off a solid season where he made 32 starts and posted a 3.56 xFIP, putting him among the top 20 starting pitchers in that category, among qualified starters.

Minnesota Twins Trade Luis Arraez to Miami Marlins

Fantasy Impact for the Twins

Lopez now moves to a better team with a slightly more favorable home ballpark. Statcast shows he would've given up five fewer home runs last year at Target Field compared to loanDepot park. He'll also get to face an overall weaker division moving to the AL Central. Lopez surely won't miss repeatedly facing the Braves, Mets and Phillies.

Health is the biggest concern Lopez, but he is coming off his best season in that regard. Unless the Twins decide to go with a six-man rotation, it will likely force Bailey Ober or Kenta Maeda into a long-relief role. Maeda is the better late-round dart throw for redraft leagues right now.

Arraez's departure opens up more playing time in the Twins infield. Roster Resource has Alex Kiriloff plugged in at first base now. That's good news for fantasy owners and for the promising 25-year-old if he can finally stay healthy. Jose Miranda should stick at third base, and Minnesota could move him over to first when Royce Lewis returns in the summer.

There are a lot of mouths to feed, but another name to keep an eye on is Edouard Julien. The Twins' prospect dominated the Arizona Fall League. There's talk about him playing a super-utility role in the future. Health is really the biggest question for a large part of the Twins roster, so Julien could eventually work his way into the lineup later in the season.

Salas boosts Minnesota's farm system a bit, bringing some speed and a potential 60-grade hit tool. He and Chourio still have plenty to prove, though.

Check out where Dave Eddy ranks the Twins prospects in his Dynasty Baseball Rankings.

Fantasy Impact for the Marlins

Arraez's arrival pushes Jazz Chisholm out of the infield. The Marlins apparently plan to put the oft-injured speedster in center field despite him playing exclusively in the infield as a pro. Chisholm suggested the idea to the team, so he at least seems eager to take over that job.

We're certainly not expecting a power surge from Arraez. However, it looks like the ballpark change could provide a slight uptick.

Lopez's departure allows Edward Cabrera and Trevor Rogers to round out the Marlins rotation. Depending on the health of this pitching staff, we could see Eury Perez get an opportunity to start later this year. The high-ranked prospect would be an instant pickup in most redraft leagues.

Check out where Dave Eddy ranks the Marlins prospects in his Dynasty Baseball Rankings.

Final Thoughts

It's a win for the Twins as long as Lopez's shoulder holds up long-term. They opened up some playing time in a crowded infield, and they added a top Marlins prospect.

Arraez will face some tougher teams in the NL East, but his projections don't change much. The tweet below sums it up nicely. Lopez's ADP could get a bump going to a team with more projected wins. He still feels a bit underrated - health concerns in mind - with a career 3.78 xFIP.

 


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