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MLB DFS 4-29-21 Pitching Primer

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Not all slates are created equal. Today’s schedule gives us a split slate, with five early games and four in the evening.

The White Sox and Tigers will play a twin bill after yesterday’s rainout but are only available off of the main slate.

While the quality of pitching isn’t really there if we can identify the right plays there is plenty of money still out there to be won, and the MLB DFS 4-29-21 Pitching Primer will help you get there.

On a slate such as this, my game plan is generally to abandon cash games and get funky with some lower entry GPPs.

Trevor Bauer sticks out like a sore thumb, and if we leverage off of him in GPP we will have a unique build with our hitters.

It’s a good opportunity to play the lottery, but definitely scale down from your usual buy-in amounts. I will be playing about 20% of my normal daily gameplay.

That said, let’s dive right in and win!

MLB DFS 4-29-21 Pitching Primer

Click here for MLB DFS Wisdom of the Crowd Projections

Jordan Montgomery, NYY ($7.6k FD, $8.8k DK) @ BAL

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Montgomery is the safest option on both sites, which speaks to the quality of the slate. The Orioles are the seventh-worst team in MLB at striking out. They have scored only two runs in the last two games, with only one runner reaching second base last night.

I would feel better if this game were in the Bronx. Montgomery is averaging 38 FanDuel points at home and only 18 on the road this year. He does however sport a .255 xwOBA and 32 percent strikeout rate against the Baltimore lineup. The Yankees bullpen is well-rested and ready to support Montgomery’s effort to earn us the win.

Chris Bassitt, OAK ($8.1k FD, $9.2k DK) @ TB

Bassitt has improved his fantasy production in every start this year and appears to be on a trajectory toward 2020 when he was third in the American League with a 2.29 ERA. His quality of contact against indicators back this up, as his Barrel rate, Exit Velocity, and Hard Hit Percentage are all improved thus far over last year.

The Rays offense has not so much as mustered even one extra-base hit in limited plate appearances against Bassitt. They tend to be among the bottom ten in strikeout rate. Bassitt has gone six innings in three of five starts in the early going, so the possibility for length is there. His salary makes for a quality GPP pivot from Montgomery in the day slate.

Matthew Boyd, DET ($8.5k FD, N/A) @ CWS

This game is only available on the FanDuel All Day slate. It is part of a doubleheader and will only be a seven-inning contest. This could play into the hands of the Tigers. They should be able to hand the ball from Boyd directly to Jose Cisnero and Gregory Soto, who has been surprisingly quite good.

The assumption is that possibly Yasmani Grandal or Yoan Moncada will be out of the lineup against the tough lefty with the doubleheader.

Surprisingly, of all pitchers on the slate, it is Boyd with the most success against the day’s opponent. With a hefty sample of 158 plate appearances against, the White Sox have struck out at a 31% clip against Boyd. His ownership will be non-existent against the perceived juggernaut that is the White Sox, making him the sneakiest GPP option in today’s MLB DFS Pitching Primer.

Dylan Cease, CWS ($7.8k FD, N/A) vs. DET

On the flip side, the Tigers offense is just pathetic. They come in dead last in the majors at scoring runs and aren’t far from last at striking out. Cease by nature is not a big strikeout pitcher, but he should run into a 9 K/9 in this matchup just because of the opponent. Whichever team wins this game will give us a pitcher that easily pays off 4x their salary.

Trevor Bauer, LAD ($11k FD, $11.3k DK) @ MIL

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There is not much to say here. There are few options on the night slate and Bauer will approach 100% owned, which he should. Bauer has been consistently good dating back over a year now. He should easily approach double-digit strikeouts. Don’t get cute with your cash game lineup, take the free square, or don’t play at all. Stacking against him with the pathetic Brewers lineup in a tournament could make you my rich friend if somehow he blows up. Funny things happen over 162.

Eric Lauer, MIL (N/A, $6.7k DK) vs LAD

The sneaky play is Bauer’s opponent, Eric Lauer. For some reason, FanDuel does not even recognize that Lauer is starting. Making his first start of the season, we could be looking at an opener or piggy-back start type of situation so tread lightly.

Lauer sports an impressive .215 xwOBA against the Dodgers lineup, with a 26.4 strikeout percentage. If he can get through five innings without blowing up, he should get to fifteen DraftKings points relatively easily. The best way to use him is to pair him with Bauer and hope for a low-scoring contest.

Martin Perez, BOS ($6k FD, $5.7k DK) @ TEX

Kyle Gibson is one of the hottest pitchers in the game the last two weeks. He is also one of the worst pitchers of the last ten years. With his recent moment, he may come in fairly high-owned tonight. I will be in complete fade mode, and by default Perez becomes a viable play in today’s MLB DFS 4-29-21 Pitching Primer.



The Rangers are next to last this year in extra-base hit percentage(would you believe the Padres are last?) They are dead last in team strikeout percentage. Perez is a quality starting pitcher who should be able to exploit these weaknesses and lead the Red Sox to a win as -125 road favorites.


Click here for MLB DFS Wisdom of the Crowd Projections

About Jeff Trela

Jeff is a 30 year veteran of fantasy sports as both a commissioner and player. He specializes in redraft, dynasty, and DFS. He plays in several NFBC Leagues and will be providing the DFS Pitching Primer this season. In 2021, Jeff will be taking his analytical and "game theory" approach to League 9 of the TGFBI. he is always available on Twitter @Jtrela20

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