Last night our DFS Projections liked Eric Thames for 12.59 FanDuel points. It was his 8th game back from a thumb injury and he had put up zeros in four games this past week. However, we highlighted him in yesterday's rundown as a key hitter. Thames tripled and hit a single to knock in three runs and scored twice himself.
Jason Heyward saw his projection increase the most in the afternoon, compared to our AM update, making him our Stock Up player of the day yesterday. The Cubs OF went 4-5 with a double and a run scored and is now hitting .324 in the month of June!
MLB DFS 6-22-18 FanDuel Rundown
Sean Newcomb, Atlanta Braves - $8900
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Baltimore has the 5th lowest wOBA vs LHP this year and Newcomb has reverse splits - is much stronger versus right-handers.
His wOBA, ISO, BB%, Hard Hit% and Soft Hit% all drastically improves, and we are projecting 8 righties in the Orioles lineup.
Grade: B (Cash & GPP)
Dallas Keuchel, Houston Astros - $8600
Keuchel appears to be the safest play on the slate as the Royals are projected the lowest runs today. However, the K’s look like they will be limited in this matchup.
The Royals have the 8th lowest K% versus LHP and Keuchel has a poor 17% K rate vs right-handed hitters. We expect him to face 7 righties.
For the month of June, KC has been struggling vs LHP but its been due to an unsustainable BABIP of .173.
I expect Keuchel to be owned in cash, but I wouldn’t be too excited for him in GPP.
Projected Runs: 3.10
Grade: B- (Cash)
Alex Wood, Los Angeles Dodgers - $7400
The Mets are one of the leagues worst teams vs LHP. Wood comes at a very cheap price today as he has only recorded 4 QS’s all year. However, he has been rather unlucky this year.
Wood has limited both righties and lefties under a .300 wOBA (.299/.260).
Because of his cheap price and the Mets struggles versus LHP, he is definitely on my radar.
Projected Runs: 3.44
Grade: B+ (GPP & CASH)
Shane Bieber, Cleveland Indians - $6600
One of my favorite GPP plays of the night, as he allows you to pay up for the more coveted stacks. Bieber's elite control has led to a 13:2 K:BB ratio in 11.1 MLB innings pitched.
Lefties have killed him this year but Detroit has been one of the worst teams versus RHPs this year. His upside for this price is too high to ignore.
Projected Runs: 3.95
Grade: B- (GPP)
Wei-Yin Chen, Miami Marlins - $5600
Chen has the worst xFIP in the league versus right-handed hitting, supporting a 6.50 xFIP. Even since the start of 2017 he still has the worst xFIP in the league versus right-handed hitting. Now he enters Coors Field and will have to face the 4th best team versus left-handed pitching.
Projected runs: 6.65
Grade: F (Fade)
- Patrick Corbin 9.2k vs PIT B-
- Jose Quintana 8.2k vs CIN C
- Jack Flaherty 8.3k vs MIL C-
- CC Sabathia 7.5k vs TB C+
- Chris Stratton 7.2k vs SD C+
The People vs. Wei-Yin Chen
Nolan Arenado and Trevor Story are 2 players I am focusing on using tonight. They matchup nicely against LHP Wei-Yin Chen at home. Nado holds a projected ISO of .291 and wOBA of .429, while Story holds .312 ISO and a wOBA of .415. Both of these guys mash left-handed pitching and Chen isn’t very good.
One Off Plays
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Freddie Freeman is another high priced option I am looking at against Alex Cobb and the Orioles. The stat that stood out to me the most is Cobb is lefties hit .375 off him. Cobb also strikes out fewer lefties, while giving up more hard hits. With Cobb being one of the worst pitchers on the slate and I like Freddie Freeman in any format.
Brian Dozier caught my at 2B for only $3.4k. Dozier mashes LHP and is the last hope for the Twins. Facing Mike Minor, Dozier shouldn’t have many issues getting on base.
The last one off I will be looking at is Brew Crew 1B Eric Thames. Thames is a HR machine and is very cheaply priced at $3.4k. Facing Jack Flaherty isn’t the best of matchups for Thames, but given his pop and lineup spot, Thames could be an elite option for value. With huge upside, I’d look to target Thames in GPPs.
There are a couple of solid, cheap outfielders that I will be targeting starting with Joc Pederson. Joc isn’t the safest play, but I really like his XBH upside against RHP Zach Wheeler. Pederson is currently projected to bat leadoff for just $2.4k.
The second budget outfielder I’m looking at is Wil Myers. This is just Myers 2nd game since coming off of the DL, so he is priced down at $2.6k. Myers is projected to bat leadoff against a pretty average Chris Stratton. Myers is more of a $3k and up player so I think you plug him into your 50/50 lineups and move on.
The last outfielder on my radar is Ben Zobrist of the Chicago Cubs. As usual, the Cubs are going to put up some serious runs tonight vs. Reds Luis Castillo. Zobrist is one of the cheapest options in all of the Cubs lineup and should be batting in the top 3rd of the order. Zobrist is a safe option that will give you 4 tough ABs for a good price.
- Colorado Rockies // 6.65 runs (Nado, Story)
- Houston Astros // 5.4 runs (Springer, Altuve)
- Atlanta Braves // 4.76 runs (Albies, Freeman)
- Chicago Cubs // 4.5 runs (Zobrist, Rizzo)
Last night Toro had this suggestion that could have won you a GPP!
— Toro (@Toro_DFS) June 21, 2018