MLB DFS Stacks: Beastie’s Picks

Today's Best Stacks

by Chris Robin
MLB DFS Stacks

My MLB DFS Stacks will be one of your best-used tools during the baseball season. I have handpicked the best teams and the specific hitters from those teams that you will want to focus the majority of your lineup builds around for the day.

Most baseball DFS articles take you through the entire slate, bouncing around from game to game while name-dropping several players. Don't get me wrong, those are great, but they are not actionable enough for me. There is no ill will and it is all love, but it can be a little overwhelming for folks to build. I speak from experience!

These Stacks plays below will help you win GPP contests on DraftKings or FanDuel.

Want to discuss your MLB DFS lineups, strategy, and more? Join the F6P Discord! Oh and of course be sure to check out Dave Eddy's MLB DFS Cheat Sheet.

MLB DFS Stacks: Beastie's Picks

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You will notice several important statistics and percentages I find to be important when stacking and playing MLB DFS. These are specific to my stacks and other ideas. Most of these are not common when enjoying a baseball game. Once more, I am going to assume you are smart enough to find the meat and potatoes when it comes to regular baseball statistics. Let's go through the four stats I will use this season.

AVG: In baseball, batting average (AVG) is determined by dividing a player's hits by their total at-bats. It is usually rounded to three decimal places and read without the decimal: A player with a batting average of .300 is "batting three hundred." If necessary to break ties, batting averages could be taken beyond the .001 measurement. In this context, .001 is considered a "point", such that a .235 batter is 5 points higher than a .230 batter.

Hard%: A 'hard-hit ball' is one hit with an exit velocity of 95 mph or higher, and a player's "hard-hit rate" simply shows the percentage of batted balls that were hit at 95 mph or more.

Why 95 mph? That's when exit velocity begins to "matter." Another way of saying that is that balls hit at 40 mph or 70 mph will affect your average exit velocity differently, but in terms of outcomes, they're just two varieties of weakly hit balls. For true production, you need to get to 95 mph. A positive outcome of hard-hit baseball is higher than not. Meaning, an extra-base hits or home runs and such.

 xwOBA: Expected Weighted On-base Average (xwOBA) is formulated using exit velocity, launch angle, and, on certain types of batted balls, Sprint Speed. I find xwOBA useful because it is more indicative of a player's skill than regular wOBA, as xwOBA removes defense from the equation. Hitters, and likewise pitchers, can influence exit velocity and launch angle but have no control over what happens to a batted ball once it is put into play.

Putting a baseball into play is the name of the game. Any sort of positive outcome at the plate for a batter will register points for our DFS lines!

xSLG: Expected Slugging Percentage (xSLG) is formulated using exit velocity, launch angle, and, on certain types of batted balls, sprint speed. Knowing the expected outcomes of each individual batted ball from a particular player throughout a season allows for the formation of said player's seasonal Expected Slugging Percentage based on the quality of contact, instead of the actual outcomes. Likewise, this exercise can be done for pitchers to get their Expected Slugging Percentage against.

The expected Slugging Percentage is more indicative of a player's skill than a regular slugging percentage, as xSLG removes defense from the equation.

There you have it! Baseball season is upon us, and I thank you for being a part of the Fantasy Six Pack family! I cannot stress the importance of checking out Discord regularly. I am also always available to you. If you have any thoughts, ideas, stacks, pitcher concerns, ballpark questions, or you want to say hello. Please send me a message! The idea of success starts with being open and honest with each other. I look forward to a fun and exciting baseball season with you! @DetroitBeastie


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1 comment

HollywoodTitan April 2, 2024 - 3:11 pm

Great stuff my man!

Reply

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