Daily Fantasy Sports

2018 NFL DFS Week 5 Picks


This last week in the NFL was once again, truly amazing.

Three overtime games, three more coming down to the final seconds, what a time to be a football fan.

This week seems to have no shortage of quality match-ups for us again, so sit back, relax, and let fantasy nerds like us help you get ready for the weekend ahead.

2018 NFL DFS Week 5 Picks

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Carson Wentz vs Minnesota Vikings

FanDuel $7500 – 18.52 projection
DraftKings $5800 – 19.18

I’m not sure what happened to the Vikings defense this year. While they are still a good rushing defense, they have given up the 5th most points to quarterbacks this season. Wentz has the weapons around him to give any defense headaches and his low cost leaves a lot of room left in your budget.

Derek Carr @ Los Angeles Chargers

FD $7000 – 16.56
DK $5200 – 17.58

Carr was performing on the low end of average all year until his huge game against the Browns last week. But I believe the teams he went against had more to do with his shortcomings than anything else. So far this year he played the Rams with Marcus Peters and Aqib Talib healthy, Denver which managed to completely shut down Pat Mahomes for half a game, and he Played in Miami which most quarterbacks struggle to do well.

So far this season the Chargers defense has severely underperformed and it’s clear they miss Joey Bosa. But with their high-powered offense, Carr should be forced to throw early and often. He’s a pick that is hard to feel good about making, but one that could return a lot of value for a small investment.

Josh Rosen @ San Fransisco 49ers

FD $6400 – 13.83
DK $4700 – 14.26

I know, I know, the Cardinals are a terrible offense. You’ve probably read a lot about how Josh Rosen’s stats were killed by dropped passes. If you adjust his completions and add just his intended air yards, his passer rating could have been over 125. The drops may continue to be a big problem as time goes on, so I don’t like to factor them out completely. But the thought behind using Rosen is strictly taking advantage of the matchup he is in. My theory is if Mitch Trubisky can throw for 350 yards and 6 touchdowns, 300 and 2 touchdowns is a reasonable expectation while playing a team that can’t seem to stop anybody so far this year.

Running Backs

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Matt Breida vs Arizona Cardinals

FanDuel $6200 – 11.29 projection
DraftKings $5700 – 12.72

Breida has been incredibly efficient when he’s healthy this season. When you match him up against the absolute worst run defense in the NFL from a Fantasy perspective, he is almost a must start. His committee with Morris has kept his price low so far this season, but he is the far superior player so far this season. C.J. Bethard looked good last week against the chargers, but that might not be the case if Patrick Peterson and Chandler Jones can take over the game like they often do. If the passing game can’t get going, Breida will be heavily featured and his volume could easily lead to high numbers.

Phillip Lindsay @ New York Jets

FD $6100 – 9.34
DK $4800 – 10.57

Despite being in a three-way committee, Lindsey has yet to score less than 15 PPR points in a game that he hasn’t been kicked out of. He’s currently averaging 5.93 yards per carry and has more pass-catching upside than Royce Freeman. So he is the big play threat, and the pass-catching threat in what should be a game where the Broncos control but not quite stop Matthew Stafford. If you’re looking for a cheap flex player at the end of your lineup, Lindsay is as good a choice as any.

Aaron Jones @ Detroit Lions

FD $6100 – 9.82
DK $4300 – 10.69

I wrote about him last week so I’ll keep it short, Aaron Jones is priced the same as Chase Edmonds and Malcolm Brown. So for handcuff money, you can have the most efficient running back in Green Bay. They also face the 4th worst rushing defense in the NFL, I’m taking this matchup all day.

Austin Ekeler vs Oakland Raiders

FD $6200 – 8.61
DK $4200 – 9.81

Everyone knows Melvin Gordon is the back to have, but in close games, the Chargers have given Ekeler enough volume to be fantasy relevant this year. He has yet to score less than 9 points this year and his big-play ability means he is a constant touchdown threat. So if the Raiders manage to get the offense rolling, Ekeler would stand to have a big day.

Wide Receivers

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Quincy Enunwa vs Denver Broncos

FanDuel $6100 – 9.55 projection
DraftKings $5200 – 12.30

Enunwa may play in an offense that is barely worth targeting in DFS, but he has been the lone consistent bright spot. He has yet to have less than 8 targets in a game and has proven to week in and week out be heavily used. Given that he runs mostly intermediate routes, the pass rush getting to Sam Darnold shouldn’t limit much of Enunwa’s value. Denver plays good defense and doesn’t often make mistakes, but Enunwa is one broken tackle away from a big week.

Dede Westbrook @ Kansas City Chiefs

FD $5900 – 9.43
DK $4700 – 11.6

Until his explosion last week, Westbrook has quietly been the most consistent receiver in this offense. Obviously, the inconsistent quarterback play limits his upside week to week. But this week with a good matchup and a re-injured Leonard Fournette, I have faith in the Jags passing attack. More importantly, I have faith in Westbrook to put up consistent and reliable numbers. In tournaments this weekend, I would rather play Keelan Cole as he is the most talented receiver on the team, but in head-to-head I prefer the consistency of Westbrook.

Christian Kirk @ San Francisco 49ers

FD $5200 – 6.79
DK $3700 – 8.5

I tried to sell you on Josh Rosen, but I also want to call attention to Kirk. He has been seeing more targets since Fitz sustained his injury. And while drops have been a minor issue of the team as a whole Kirk has been reliable with an 80% catch rate. If the rest of his team’s receivers continue to struggle Kirk could entrench his position as the player to have in this offense, and with an easy matchup this week Kirk is my low-cost dart throw of the week.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling @ Detroit Lions

FD $4800 – 4.67
DK $3300 – 5.94

This pick is exclusively a reaction to the news that Randall Cobb has been ruled out and Geronimo Allison (concussion) has yet to be cleared for Sunday. Valdez-Scantling had only one catch last week on three targets but with nobody else to throw to outside of Jimmy Graham, he is set to have enough volume to be relevant. But I just want to reiterate that he is very much dependent on other players being injured, so the Packers situation will have to be monitored going forward.

Tight Ends

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Vance McDonald vs Atlanta Falcons

FanDuel  $4600 – 7.1 projection
DraftKings $3700 – 9.13

McDonald, when healthy, has proven to be an excellent option at an otherwise bleak position this year. He’s had 5 targets in both of the games he has played in this year. And in what is most likely going to be a massive shootout he is as reliable an option as any to have solid production at the position. And as the far superior talent, he should outperform Jesse James any week they both play.

C.J. Uzomah vs Miami Dolphins

FD $4700 – 4.62
DK $2900 – 5.63

The Uzomah/ Kroft debate among fantasy analysts is one that really can’t be decided until we see how they play without Eifert. I have mentioned before that the fact both are competing for targets mean there will be week-to-week inconsistencies that will be infuriating. But of the two, Uzomah has gotten more targets so far this year and is my pick for the top tight end in town. But with all that being said he is just a high-end TE2, who is going to be touchdown dependent to return any value to whoever picks him this week.

Thank you for reading and as always, good luck!

NFL DFS Week 5 Team Stacks

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About Bobby Shepherd

Bobby has played fantasy football since he was first tall enough to reach a draft board. He eats sleeps and breathes stats and is always excited to share his findings.

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