Daily Fantasy Sports

2018 NFL DFS Week 8 Picks: We All Need Some Luck


Last week we were once again graced with another great set of games.

The number one offense played the number one defense in a game that ended with a fluke missed PAT.

Mitch Trubisky completed a one-yard short “Fail Mary” attempt. Sorry Bears fans.

Emanuel Sanders had almost as many fantasy points from passing the ball as Josh Rosen.

And the third-string tight end stole all of the touchdowns to be had on the lions. I’m also willing to bet that anybody who is not a Lions fan can’t name either of the other two TEs that they have.

Now, this week has already seen a Danny Amendola touchdown pass, a pinball-like completion to Davante Parker, and a ridiculous catch by Deandre Hopkins. I never once in my life thought I would actually think to myself, “he can catch better with his taint than I can with both hands” until I watched this game.

But anyway let’s get it started and take a look at the guys you should be starting in DFS lineups this week.

2018 NFL DFS Week 8 Picks

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Andrew Luck @ Oakland Raiders

Draft Kings 6300
FanDuel 8300

This play is about as chalk as it gets, but still worth mentioning. This is a man averaging 44.5 pass attempts per game going up against a team in complete disarray.

The pattern this year for the Raiders offense has been playing terrible football one week and putting up ridiculous stats the next. So if Carr and the Raiders can get a little offense going, Luck will have to put up one of his signature 50 pass attempt days.

Andy Dalton vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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Dalton is awful in prime time games. This of course was demonstrated by his total breakdown against the Chiefs last week. But now that he has a nice quiet 1 o’clock game he’ll revert to his usual self.

The key here is the catch rate and YAC. Tampa is giving up the 13th most yards after the catch, but they’ve surrendered the highest catch rate in the league at an even 75%. If Dalton can take advantage of a poor pass rush and remember who Tyler Boyd is this week, he’ll be in for big points.

Russel Wilson @ Detroit Lions

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Wilson as a whole has been a disappointment on the season. However, against a solid but not impenetrable defense like the Lions, Wilson might need to be his usual hero self again.

Some things to like here is with the return of Doug Baldwin, Wilson finally has a few weapons again. He also is coming off of his best rushing day of the season. Wilson has a realistic projection to be a mid to high QB2, but if he has another good rushing game he has QB1 upside.

Running Backs

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Joe Mixon vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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As I mentioned in the Andy Dalton analysis, Tampa gives up a healthy amount of big plays and can’t cover anybody.

What else is important to know is star linebacker Kwon Alexander had a season-ending injury and won’t be able to challenge Mixon up front. Like Dalton, he is a chalk play that can’t be ignored this week.

Phillip Lindsay @ Kansas City Chiefs

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I’ve been picking on Tampa all through this article and for good reason. But the worst defense from a fantasy perspective this season has been Kansas City. They did manage to stop Mixon from doing much last week, but this only keeps me from labeling Lindsay as my must start of the week.

Another reason I like Lindsay so much this week is because Royce Freeman is out. Lindsay should take full advantage of that this week in a game where should see in increase in touches.

Raheem Mostert @ Arizona Cardinals

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Simply put, you should play running backs against Arizona. Until they learn how to stop the run, or somehow manage to score points and force teams to throw, they’ll keep giving up a lot of points to running backs.

The reason I give the edge to Mostert is because of Breida’s injuries. I respect how tough Breida has been playing through them so far, but at some point, Shannahan has to give the guy a break.

When that happens, it will be a split between Morris and Mostert. So far it seems that Mostert is the best option, and it isn’t even close. Mostert is a great play if Breida is out with a low RB2 floor and higher upside. If Breida plays his value takes a hit and he is a high RB3 and low RB2 at best.

Wide Receivers

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JuJu Smith-Schuster vs Cleveland Browns

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There are three things we saw last time these teams played each other that need to be considered.

  1. It was an away game, which Ben never does well in.
  2. Nobody knew how respectable the secondary would look and the Steelers were as usual, underprepared.
  3. It was raining sideways in what is arguably the worst conditions to pass in.

All that being said Juju put up 19.9 PPR points. This game is a revenge game for the Steelers as a time to silence all of their critics. And we all know there are few teams in the AFC that can compete with a properly prepared, and pissed off Steelers team.

T.Y. Hilton @ Oakland Raiders

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As I stated above, a possible big day out of Andrew Luck means a big day for his receivers.

Hilton didn’t get much for yardage last week but he got two short-yardage touchdowns.

It is likely that¬†Jack Doyle is back in the lineup making Eric Ebron a less consistent option once again. From this point on it may look like the Colts we’re used to seeing, In other words, the T.Y. Hilton show.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling @ Los Angeles Rams

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MVS has very quietly put up solid back to back games. He has scored 16.3 and 19.8 points in the games Alison and Cobb have missed.

His production is directly tied to both their absence and the production of Davante Adams. So with Adams facing Marcus Peters and injuries keeping his competition sidelined, MVS could put up big points for a cheaper option.

It is worth monitoring the health of Cobb and Alison moving forward. If one is starting, there will be enough production to go around to three receivers. But if both return from injury this week there may be too many mouths to feed.

Tight Ends

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Travis Kelce vs Denver Broncos

Ignoring the facemask penalty in the picture above, there is a clear advantage in selecting top name tight ends. I said it last week about Zach Ertz and he had a monster day.

Last time these teams met, Kelce had 20 PPR points. It’s very likely that he manages to put up another great stat line. Kelce has had at least 14.5 PPR points in 5-of-7 games and has, along with Ertz, proven to be a small glimmer of consistency at an otherwise baron position.

O.J. Howard @ Cincinnati Bengals

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Howard is the most athletic option at tight end on this team. Of course being one of six pass-catching options limits him week to week. But the reason I give the edge to Howard over Brate is simple. Brate scores his points with touchdowns and Howard gets yards and catches.

Howard’s stat line last week was 5-67 with nine targets. For comparison, Desean Jackson had 2-25 on five targets.

C.J. Uzomah vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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While I like the usage of Tampa’s tight ends more, I also can’t ignore trends. Tampa has given up double digit PPR points to every tight end they’ve faced since Week 2. Uzomah also has the 4th highest RACR among tight ends with at least 15 targets with 1.67.

This basically means that when he does get the ball he has been getting yards after the catch. Uzomah is a good pick for anyone who doesn’t prioritize the position and needs a solid discount option.

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About Bobby Shepherd

Bobby has played fantasy football since he was first tall enough to reach a draft board. He eats sleeps and breathes stats and is always excited to share his findings.

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