2022 PGA Tour: The Open Favorites to Fade

by Tyler Marling
The Open: Favorites to Fade

The fourth major is upon us in the 2022 season and this week I'll be tackling our 2022 PGA Tour: The Open Favorites to Fade!

The 2022 Open Championship will be the 150th installment and no better place for that milestone than The Old Course at St. Andrews. The Old Course will be playing at nearly 7,300 yards this week and still features some of the largest and most undulating greens in the world.

The scuttlebutt out of Scotland is the golf course is playing firm, and it's expected to remain firm, meaning having a lot of length may not be a necessity. Remember, we've seen Tiger Woods win here hitting four-iron stingers off of a lot of tee boxes in the past.

Any way you slice it, The Open being played for the 150th time at The Old Course just makes this week extra special.

2022 PGA Tour: The Open Favorites to Fade

Xander Schauffele - +1200

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According to DraftKings Sports Book, Xander Schauffele is right behind Rory McIlroy (+900) as the odds-on favorite to win this week. It makes sense. Schauffele has won two consecutive starts, including last week's Genesis Scottish Open, which featured a very deep field.

Schauffele has every aspect of his game rolling at the moment. His last missed cut was at the Masters Tournament in April. He followed that up with a win in the Zurich Classic, playing alongside Patrick Cantlay. Since then, he has finished:

  • T-5th at the AT&T Byron Nelson
  • T-13th at the PGA Championship
  • T-18th at the Memorial Tournament
  • T-14th at the U.S. Open
  • 1st at the Travelers Championship
  • 1st at the Genesis Scottish Open

Schauffele is the hottest player in the world and even though (spoiler alert) I'm likely to include him in my DFS lineup, I don't think he wins this week, which would be three consecutive victories.

Not to mention, he's never won a major tournament. He always performs well in majors and has made the cut in each of the four Open Championships he's entered. He also has a T-2nd in 2018 at Carnoustie.

When looking at his form, this is a stupid decision. However, I'm going with my gut here, I think Schauffele performs well, I just can't see him winning.

Scottie Scheffler - +1400

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I've been bitten once by world number one Scottie Scheffler already this year when I selected him in the Masters Tournament: favorites to fade. However, I did correctly fade him in the PGA Championship, where he missed the cut.

Scheffler is currently a run away to win the PGA Tour Player of the Year and a win at The Old Course would have him in the conversation for one of the greatest single seasons in PGA Tour history. However, I didn't like what I saw out of Scheffler last week at the Genesis Scottish Open.

A 73-72 Thursday and Friday led to a missed cut in what will be similar playing conditions as this week.

I also question his experience in The Open. He did have an impressive showing last year at Royal St. George when he finished T-8th, but it's his only appearance in this tournament. In my opinion, experience goes a long way when you're playing in conditions that historically fall on players at The Open.

It would be fun to see Scheffler prove me wrong again because we would be witnessing something historical. A win this week would give Scheffler a 1st (the Masters), 1st (The Open), and a 2nd (U.S. Open) in three of the four majors, which would be incredible.

Check out Mark's 2022 PGA Tour: British Open DraftKings Value Picks!

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