Fantasy Football

Tomlin’s Tips: 2019 Week 10 Football Bets

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Last week saw another .500 week for my college picks and my NFL picks making a profit. I think I have found my stride with the colleges now so let’s make the 2019 Week 10 football bets even more profitable.

My 10-point teasers have been tremendous so far, sporting a +4.8-units profit. Maybe we should all just bet big on the teaser each week?

As always, a simple disclaimer: sports betting should be entertainment. The 2019 Week 10 Football Bets: Tomlin’s Tips will not make you rich. Anyone with picks saying they can make you rich is a liar and I would bet against them. The 2019 Week 10 Football Bets: Tomlin’s Tips will be about having fun wagering on sports while trying to stay even or break a small profit.

So let’s get to the 2019 Week 10 Football Bets: Tomlin’s Tips. All of the information in the Week 10 Tomlin’s Tips is up to date as of November 7.

Tomlin’s Tips: 2019 Week 10 Football Bets

Best NFL Bets: 2-3 last week, 21-23-1 overall

Each week I will pick my five best bets for the NFL weekend.  This is similar to the most famous handicapping contest in the world, The Las Vegas Supercontest, where the winner gets around a million bucks.

Cleveland Browns -2.5 vs. Buffalo Bills

The Bills are the worst 6-2 team in the history of the NFL. Per Pro Football Focus, they have the 25th best offense in the league despite playing the easiest schedule of defenses so far. The six teams they have beaten have a combined nine wins between them (and four of them were against each other). The Browns have been shown as so OVER-rated per their preseason expectations, they now might be on the UNDER-rated side.

Miami Dolphins +10.5 at Indianapolis Colts

Jacoby Brissett‘s status is still up in the air, but even if he plays I like this bet. Since Ryan Fitzpatrick re-entered as the starting quarterback for Miami, they have out-scored their opponents. They have covered four straight weeks and are actually trying hard.

San Francisco 49ers -6 vs. Seattle Seahawks

The 49ers are the only team in the NFL that is ranked in the Top 5 on Pro Football Focus on offense and defense. Jimmy G looks like he is coming back around and if Jameis Winston can nearly beat Seattle I think San Francisco can cover by a touchdown.

New York Jets +3 vs. New York Giants

Why is that Giants’ team that looked atrocious on Monday night giving points to anyone? I’ll hang up and listen.

Pittsburgh Steelers +4 vs. Los Angeles Rams

Mike Tomlin is 8-2-4 as a head coach as a home underdog. He thrives in these “nobody believes in us” situations. Everyone thinks that the Rams turned their season the right way because they blew out the Falcons before their bye week. What does that really mean at this point?

Other Games Picked: 5-3 last week, 43-38 overall

I’ll put my picks in for all of NFL games. Some people are in pools where the pick every game each week. Home teams are in CAPS.

Survivor Pool Plays: 1-0 last week, 7-2 overall

One of the most popular games now is survivor pools. You pick one winner, no spread, every week. You can never use the same team twice.

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Green Bay Packers

I know, there are bigger favorites out there. However, I love Aaron Rodgers coming off of a huge loss. He will not lose these two games back-to-back.

Other Options, 2-0 last week, 18-2 on the year:  Baltimore Ravens, Indianapolis Colts, New Orleans Saints

NFL 10-Point Teaser of the Week: 1-0 last week, 7-2 overall

My brother and I’s favorite bet: you take 10 points extra either off or on the spread. You combine three different teams with the 10 extra points and all have to hit to win.

Baltimore Ravens PK, Minnesota Vikings +13.5 and Buccaneers/Cardinals OVER 41

The Ravens are going to beat the Ryan Finley-led tank show of the Bengals. I don’t think the Cowboys can blow out a good offense by any means. Tampa Bay and Arizona both play little to no defense at all.

Game Total of the Week: 0-1 last week, 3-6 overall

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons, OVER 50

With Drew Brees, Alvin Kamara and Matt Ryan all looking like they will be starting, this should be an absolute shootout. The team total for the Saints should be around 31 points (take the total minus the spread and divide by two, add back in the spread). Do we really think that the terrible Falcons’ defense will hold New Orleans under 31?

College Best Bets: 3-3-1 last week, 22-32-1 overall

6-Point Tease: Alabama Crimson Tide PK vs. LSU Tigers and UNDER 71.5

I mean I have to pick the game of the year, right? As long as Tua Tagovailoa is playing, I think Alabama wins the game. With a current 6-point line, the teaser makes perfect sense to draw them down to a pick ‘em. I also think people are over-estimating the offensive capabilities against each other.

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Baylor Bears -2.5 at TCU Horned Frogs

TCU has major quarterback issues with one transferring and one hurt. On top of that, the last nine teams that were 8-0 and favored by less than three on the road against an unranked team are 7-2 against the spread.

Georgia Bulldogs -17 vs. Missouri Tigers

Missouri has some signal-caller issues of their own as Kelly Bryant might not play or will be less than 100% at least. They also are a team that is awful on the road. The Tigers are 0-3 straight up and against the spread, failing to cover by an average of 27 points when on the road. Georgia has to be happy with the CFP rankings, being the highest-ranked 1-loss team and virtually guaranteed a “win-out and you’re in” path.

Illinois Fighting Illini +14.5 at Michigan St. Spartans

Michigan St. is 1-6 against the spread the last two seasons as a 14-point favorite, including an outright loss to Arizona St. earlier this year. Illinois has its confidence going right now and should make this a close game.

Texas Longhorns -6.5 vs. Kansas St. Wildcats

The transitive property of college football is the opposite of everywhere else. If all three teams are on the same level of talent, A beats B and B beats C, then C usually beats A. It doesn’t make any sense, but trust me on this one.

Arizona St. Sun Devils -1.5 vs. USC Trojans

Arizona St. has lost to Utah and Colorado. USC has beaten Utah and Colorado. So why would the Trojans be the underdog? This line smells fishy to me. I think a lot of it has to do with USC’s struggles away from home. They are 1-3 straight up and against the spread this season on the road.

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BYU Cougars -17 vs. Liberty Flames

The Cougars had a massive win last week and look to be gaining steam. Over their past 32 games in the month of November, BYU is 23-9 against the spread. As an independent, this is where their schedule lightens and they take advantage.

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Louisville Cardinals +7 at Miami Hurricanes

I stole this one from the Bear: the Hurricanes are 1-5 against the spread and 2-4 straight up the week following the Florida St. game.


That’s it for the 2019 Week 10 football bets in Tomlin’s Tips! Be sure to check out our staff rankings!

About Michael Tomlin

Michael Tomlin is an ESPY-nominated, former college football player who stays associated with the game through Fantasy Sports. He has been writing his personal blog, Dirkland.blogspot.com, for three years and it focuses on Fantasy Sports, as well as handicapping. He was born and raised in the DFW Metroplex, and he follows all of the Dallas teams, along with Texas Tech athletics and Manchester City F.C.

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