Fantasy Football

Tomlin’s Tips: 2019 Week 13 Football Bets

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For your Turkey Day reading pleasure, I thought I would get the 2019 Week 13 Football Bets out a day early. I also wanted to put some extra bets in to try and boost my profit.

My college best bets continue to creep toward an even number. My teasers and overall NFL Picks are killing it. I have to say that I love the slate this week so let’s get to it!

As always, a simple disclaimer: sports betting should be entertainment. The 2019 Week 13 Football Bets: Tomlin’s Tips will not make you rich. Anyone with picks saying they can make you rich is a liar and I would bet against them. The 2019 Week 13 Football Bets: Tomlin’s Tips will be about having fun wagering on sports while trying to stay even or break a small profit.

So let’s get to the 2019 Week 13 Football Bets: Tomlin’s Tips. All of the information in the Week 13 Tomlin’s Tips is up to date as of November 27.

NFL Week 13 Tomlin’s Tips

*BONUS TURKEY DAY PICKS*

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Chicago Bears -3 at Detroit Lions, PARLAYED with the UNDER 39

I feel like the under is a damn near lock. The Lions couldn’t score on the freakin’ Redskins last week, losing to Dwayne Haskins. I think the Bears hate has gone too far and they are getting under-valued now. Their defense will get to Jeff Driskel and I totally see a defensive touchdown happening.

2-Team, 6-Point Tease: Dallas Cowboys -0.5 and New Orleans Saints -0.5

It boggles my mind that people are more fed up with Dallas after that loss to New England than others this season. They lost a coin flip game in terrible conditions that favored the best team in the league and were COMPLETELY screwed on two “tripping” penalties. I was encouraged by it and think they assert their divisional dominance Thursday afternoon. I also don’t think that the Saints will get swept by the Falcons.

Best NFL Bets: 1-4 last week, 28-31-1 overall

Each week I will pick my five best bets for the NFL weekend.  This is similar to the most famous handicapping contest in the world, The Las Vegas Supercontest, where the winner gets around a million bucks.

Green Bay Packers -6.5 at New York Giants

This line seems three points too short. If this was in Green Bay, I would expect the Packers to be giving more than two touchdowns. Danny “Dimes” has been a roller coaster this season. In three games against the awful defenses of the Jets, Lions, and Buccaneers, Jones has 966 yards passing, 10 touchdowns and zero interceptions. In his other six games, he is averaging 191 yards passing with just seven touchdowns and eight interceptions. Green Bay will bounce back and win big.

Philadelphia Eagles -9.5 at Miami Dolphins

Everyone is jumping ship on the Eagles after a blowout loss to Seattle. However, at 5-6 the Eagles completely control their own destiny. The Dolphins had their run of a few good games against bad quarterbacks. Now Josh Allen and Baker Mayfield have torched their defense in back-to-back weeks. Carson Wentz has his best day of the season.

Baltimore Ravens -5.5 vs. San Francisco 49ers

San Francisco has faced what I consider a running quarterback just three times this season. Rookie Kyler Murray covered the spread twice against them, almost getting a win on Halloween. Russell Wilson handed the 49ers their only loss. Neither of those guys is anywhere near what Lamar Jackson is running the ball right now. The 49ers will be a popular pick at this number, but I like the Ravens giving up to a touchdown.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1 at Jacksonville Jaguars

This is more of a fade against Jacksonville. I think they have completely given up on this season. When you lose three straight games in the NFL by at least 20 points then you have a serious problem. Whether it’s a coaching scheme or motivation, I don’t see that changing. Tampa is still playing hard and Jameis will be able to torch the Jags’ secondary.

New England Patriots -3 at Houston Texans

I’m not tripping by betting against the officials.

Other Games Picked: 5-3 last week, 57-47 overall

I’ll put my picks in for all of NFL games. Some people are in pools where the pick every game each week. Home teams are in CAPS.


  •  PANTHERS -9.5 over Redskins
  • COLTS -2.5 over Titans
  • Jets -3 over BENGALS
  • STEELERS +3 over Browns
  • Rams -3 over CARDINALS
  • Raiders +10 over CHIEFS
  • BRONCOS +3 over Chargers
  • Vikings +3.5 over SEAHAWKS

Survivor Pool Plays: 1-0 last week, 10-2 overall

One of the most popular games now is survivor pools. You pick one winner, no spread, every week. You can never use the same team twice.
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New York Jets

Just like I said last week, I’m trying to go off the board a bit. The Jets have been on fire especially on offense. The Bengals can lock up the top pick in the draft with a nice loss here.

Other Options, 3-0 last week, 24-4 on the year:  Carolina Panthers, Philadelphia Eagles, Kansas City Chiefs

NFL 10-Point Teaser of the Week: 1-0 last week, 10-2 overall

My brother and I’s favorite bet: you take 10 points extra either off or on the spread. You combine three different teams with the 10 extra points and all have to hit to win.

Philadelphia Eagles -0.5, Green Bay Packers +3.5, and N.Y. Jets +7

The Eagles are not losing to the Dolphins. I think the Packers line is too low already, so they especially are appetizing getting more than a field goal. Lastly, Cincinnati is not going to beat anyone by a touchdown.

Game Total of the Week: 1-0 last week, 5-7 overall

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers, UNDER 40

Devlin Hodges is going to start for Pittsburgh. How are they going to score? Pittsburgh’s defense has been lights out giving up less than 20 points per game since Week 1. It also looks like there could be some showers in store Sunday.

College Best Bets: 3-2 last week, 33-37-1 overall

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Texas Longhorns -9.5 vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders

Why would the Longhorns be giving nearly 10 points to anyone right now, especially to Texas Tech who has just one loss by more than a field goal since September? Sucker. Line. Furthermore, Texas has played the four best defenses in the Big XII the past four games. I think their offensive anemia has more to do with that since they were averaging almost 41 points a game before that stretch. Tech’s defense is not good so Texas will be able to score.

Georgia Bulldogs -28 at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Florida Gators -17 vs. Florida State Seminoles

These two games seem very similar to me. I think the SEC teams will take advantage of their intrastate ACC rivals. Not only are Georgia and Florida just better, but they will also have the weight of the SEC behind them to run the score up for the CFP committee’s sake.

Wisconsin Badgers -2.5 at Minnesota Golden Gophers

This is the rare case of the home team getting screwed over by the weather. It looks like it will be sleeting/snowing Saturday which will hurt Minnesota. The Gophers depend on their dynamic wide receiver duo of Tyler Johnson and Rashod Bateman to come up with big plays. Wisconsin grinds people out with the most underrated running back in the nation, Jonathan Taylor. Give me the Badgers.

South Carolina Gamecocks +28 vs. Clemson Tigers

South Carolina just plays ranked teams tougher than normal. The Gamecocks are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven such games. South Carolina has not lost a game by more than 24 points since 2016. I love their true freshman quarterback Ryan Hilinski and think he shows up to keep this game close.


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Alabama Crimson Tide -3 at Auburn Tigers

Auburn has been propped up by the Oregon game all season long. Well now that Oregon has fallen off of their pedestal, that lucky/fluky win means even less. Their other “good” wins are coin flip games against a mediocre Texas A&M team and a terrible Mississippi team. They have played better teams tough. But, I do think that Alabama is in statement-making mode. Mac Jones might not be the worst quarterback starting in this game. They need style points and some luck for their playoff chances, so they keep the pedal down.


That’s it for the 2019 Week 13 football bets in Tomlin’s Tips! Be sure to check out our staff rankings!

About Michael Tomlin

Michael Tomlin is an ESPY-nominated, former college football player who stays associated with the game through Fantasy Sports. He has been writing his personal blog, Dirkland.blogspot.com, for three years and it focuses on Fantasy Sports, as well as handicapping. He was born and raised in the DFW Metroplex, and he follows all of the Dallas teams, along with Texas Tech athletics and Manchester City F.C.

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